It was an off topic discussion but anyway, I think it would be best for US to have 1 language as well. For the reasons IA already said, but also to prevent future conflicts. The cost of having so much languages is high. Look to EU or Belgium.
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Imperial Forum → Posts by Little Paul
It was an off topic discussion but anyway, I think it would be best for US to have 1 language as well. For the reasons IA already said, but also to prevent future conflicts. The cost of having so much languages is high. Look to EU or Belgium.
Good thing for me is, I don't need to explain, everybody here in politics has seen the news. ![]()
in short for people who accidentally clicked this forum:
Spain is in trouble of renewing its debts. That's a problem as Spains econ is comparable to greece, irelands and portugal together.
Italy has an econ comparable to greece, ireland, portagual and spain combined.
If Italy fails, it will cost much more to save. Germany is tired of just doing that.
Point of debate is where it goes from there.
Will the Euro stand or become the N
idd, lol
idd, sorry TSD but I don't see that "recovery-boom" happening any time soon.
"Russia is already a dictatorship and may ally with germany"
but what after Poland is divided? ![]()
"1) China has huge corruption yes but it shows no signs of bursting into anarchy, democracy would be a good thing for the people though."
Its on the brink just like Iran or libia. Libia already bursted. Democracy does not grow in 2 years. Its a slow proces. It would be good, but it would also mean a slowed down growth in the short run and there is always a period of anarchy during periods of transition, doesn't matter what the name.
Let me note however IF it became democratic, how it will be much easier to make agreements between the large power blocks as it will be regarded as less dangerous. Its very hard to predict the future then.
"2) China is increasingly wealthy cost increases will be affordable as their economy grows."
their wealth isn't growing as fast as it did. And it will only slow down. With the average chinese being very poor and ever increasing costs, it will only worsen. But their neighbors grow wealthier as well, and Russia is a rising star with resources and farmland abundant.
"3) the population of US and Europe is ageing too."
Its not even comparable.
"what China will get in future is increased immigration and decreased emigration as their economy grows which will go some way to reduce the ageing."
where will they come from then? China probably holds 2 bilion people unoficially.
"4) food prices will affect america and europe too."
But less, as the average person is rich, and also because they have a much larger food production.
"a) the Irish economy has a different profile and isn't comparable"
fair enough...but all econs growing from nothing show the same profile. How about them?
"b) foreign investment may lower but china has now got some huge domestic corporations."
...in trouble as export will also lower and resource prices will rise.
"c) china like all countries will have to deal with ageing while europe and US has had a favourable situation with regards to little emigration and high immigration as China becomes wealthy they will be more attractive to live in."
Europeans treat foreigners kind compared to China. But its unlikely to become "open" that way. They cannot afford the security risk.
"pollution is unlikely to cause massive instability in china. unless it's nuclear radiation."
In some areas 1 out of 3 children have 6 fingers. But those spectacular events are only small compared to the air pollution comparable to ours in the primal industrial area.
"corruption allows china in some ways to pass projects that democracy would prevent or massively slow down in europe and us."
You're talking about decision taking, not corruption.
"China is investing heavily in sourcing food from affrica. food prices will go up but that will be a problem for everyone not just china."
but the lands with food production will gain more from it, while china has none, and its inhabitants no money.
"china is working to bring inflation down. it's lower today than it was in 1994 for example."
Only due to a global crisis. But its easy to step down from 1994 and still have waaay to much inflation.
"China is increasing military spending by about 12.5% p.a. (though it has varied over the last few years) but despite the loud warnings by the US and her allies China spends less than a $100 billion on the military. compared to America which spends closer to $500 billion."
But a lot more then before. They can't use it if they don't increase it. Nobody can predict the future but chances are they will make the same capital mistake the soviets did.
"Europe may be culturally more similar to America but as I've said before the EU nations can't even form a single EU state, moreover the alliance with the US has meant Europe has long neglected spending on defence."
giving more resources to their economy. It doesn't need to be one state to mean something. If north africa will become democratic as well, china will be even more isolated. On this moment aproximately only 40% of world's countries is authoritarian and by no accident less rich, powerfull and infuential.
As I said 10 years or so ago, I agree with this vision 100%.
justinian is right. Farmland is a key powertool in the future, direct and indirect influencing ones strength.
@EH:
energy resources won't be as abundant take 5 years from now. That alone will make farmland more valuable and kill china's growth.
But as this has turned into another china vs US debate -again sigh- here we go
1.) China suffers a huge corruption and internal tensions will probably burst one day in anarchy or democracy
2.) China's satellites are unlikely to remain Chinese as these is very costly to maintain, but they will try at huge expenses because it poses a security thread
3.) China's population is aging
4.) World population grows, food prices will follow
5.) China's growth, which is low given all foreign investment and cheep educated labour, can't be maintained.
5.a.) all countries with low econ profile that emerge from nowhere with this huge econ % cool down eventually.(eg Ireland) Its easier to grow 100% from 1 to 2 then 20% from 10 to 12.
b.) massive foreign investment is bound to lower as western nations econs face economical stagnation
c.) point 3
d.) health problems due to pollution (also causing point 1 some more)
e.) point 1 will hold back growth and increase internal safety spending
f.) point 4
g.) inflation
h.) the increased military spending to try to hold on against the rest of the world who despise them
6.) EU and US WILL come together more. Not only out of need, but also because they are cultural much more similar then most people think. Current antipathy for US will be replaced with hatred against china soon. Wile EU has no chance of surviving the future as a big power due to lack of resources, it will still be a huge power for the times to come.
I would have asked for a link, but unfortunately, I have seen this elsewhere already. Al tough its very hard to predict the exact amount, most economists agree its an insane number.
Altough a 3 years old has the same level, in a way, its good Wilders could speak his mind. If you can't debate about it, you can't argue against it.
Same counts for me. I Never smoked enough pot I suppose.
Pot Shops in the Netherlands to Ban Foreigners:
http://m.ibtimes.com/pot-ban-netherlands-amsterdam-marijuana-cannabis-coffee-shops-foreigners-banned-from-coffee-shops-po-160358.html
so now foreigners will still buy it illegal in the same legal shops. The irony.
I only regret this plan wasn't mine. No mercy for psychotic dictators.
a lot of CRA's want to give US a lower status now. Next crisis here we come. Maybe now Obama can save the entire planet with money from the Chinese.
I think arby3 ment this:
"Until October, the Chinese were generally making up for their decreasing holdings in Treasury bills by increasing their holdings of longer-term U.S. Treasury securities. Thus, until October, China
@east:
you're not that ugly ![]()
on a more serious note the mirror thing is to costly to produce for now. (if you mean the solar heating system)
but where will the energy for your battery come from?
Altough there are better candidates, if noone shows up and its between him and failin I just hope he wins and the reps might have a serious candidate running. What are your thoughts?
agreed as well
Imperial Forum → Posts by Little Paul
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