Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

>>The Yell: Those mysterious mechanism that transmits the trapped heat is called Fluid Mechanics, Heat Transfer and Thermodynamics - I suggest you look those up.<<

Yeah and they have basic rules that exist from the laboratory on up.  Unless you're pretending that the laws of thermodynamics are altered by scale?  Go ahead and build a model to prove it.

Nothing you're doing is "science".  You haven't got a hypothesis to be tested by experiment.  You're just deflecting criticism of your failed assumptions by insisting we have to build a model that includes those assumptions as a starting point.

--Current levels of CO2 have an insulating effect--   that is false.  It's shown by the failure of global temperatures to relate to increasing pollution.  It's shown by the record of this planet which has known higher CO2 levels in the past.


"Global warming gases have an insulation effect - so increasing the concentration will increase the global temperature "

False. Already disproved by the past 15 years.

" arguments can be made as to how much,"

Not really, since the past 15 years have shown global warming emissions on the rise, while global mean temperatures have gone DOWN.

>>and I will make the assumption that you have years of study into the evidence and read  peer reviewed articles on both the con and pro side and come to a reasoned and intelligent conclusion<<

The peers are whores.  We have exactly the position the USSR had with biologists who disputed genetics.  Every damn thing published on breeding livestock in the Soviet Union was "peer-reviewed" up the ying-yang, and anybody who believed genetics controlled physionomy was not published.

>.We also know that we exist because of a specific set of parameters, which includes both the composition of the atmosphere and the temperature of our environment. Now pumping GHG change both these things,<,

This ignores the fact that the dinosaurs enjoyed an atmosphere much richer in GHG than we could ever manage through pollution.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Sorry to knit-pick, it is bad form, but

>>This ignores the fact that the dinosaurs enjoyed an atmosphere much richer in GHG than we could ever manage through pollution.

I am pretty sure we are not dinosaurs - who were also cold-blooded and thus needed a warmer climate to exist in, which strangely came about at the same time as higher GHG concentrations

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

There were mammals about at the same time.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

29 (edited by The Great Eye 20-May-2014 22:24:02)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Mammals, yes.  However, until the dinosaurs died (note: as a result of a sudden global shift in temperatures toward colder climates), said mammals were mouse-sized creatures.  This is quite a distinction.  After all, a small mammal has a much easier time relying on the environment to determine the temperature it must survive in (for example, by burrowing in a small hole).  An elephant, in contrast, would largely be stuck with the temperature of the environment and their internal temperature regulations.

(That being said, the lack of large mammals in the environment could simply be because dinosaurs were there first in the "massive herbivore/carnivore" niches).


(Quick google search for a self-fact check)
http://dinosaurs.about.com/od/otherpreh … ammals.htm


Finally, this discussion has now made me want to start releasing more CO2 into the atmosphere in the hopes of eventually being able to ride a dinosaur.  big_smile

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Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

i also meant to point out Yell that the whole the earth is cooler than 15 years ago is false

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/04

Warmest it has been in April world wide, and 6th warmest jan - April since records began. 0.77 degC above 20th century april average and trend is going up.

I would also recomend this report
Brohan, P., J.J. Kennedy, I. Harris, S.F.B. Tett and P.D. Jones, 2006: Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophysical Research 111, D12106
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.ezproxy. … )2169-8996

though there are others too.

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

>>i also meant to point out Yell that the whole the earth is cooler than 15 years ago is false
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/04
Warmest it has been in April world wide, and 6th warmest jan - April since records began. 0.77 degC above 20th century april average and trend is going up.<<

I didn't say "cooler than 15 years ago".   The past 15 years have been cooler not warmer. 
If you want to say there's been a spike this year that only leaves 14 years of increasing global pollution without a corresponding increase in global temperatures.

If you want to argue "Pollution creates greenhouse effect lookit this spring" you have the problem of explaining why the trapped heat is heat this year and not for 14 years.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

**An elephant, in contrast, would largely be stuck with the temperature of the environment and their internal temperature regulations.**

Not unless they grew 3x as big and had hair and jumped into tar pits to stay warm

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Yell: Sorry did you not look at the records? Temperature is trending up. There was a dip/flatline between 2001 till now, but it is back up and heading up. But I suppose facts are not useful to your argument.

I choose 15 years, because that is about when readings really began all around the world. Although there is greater uncertainty, there are measurements from before and this april was still the warmest during human habitation of this planet.

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Fact is that if present concentrations of CO2 caused higher temperatures through a greenhouse effect, there wouldn't be dip for 14 years.  Fact is that IF CO2 caused higher temperatures but SOMETHING cancelled that out for a 14-year dip, there's no explanation of what that SOMETHING is, or, why it shut off after 14 and somehow pollution is driving climate again.

The anomalies are explained by saying pollution doesn't drive climate.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Or that there is statistical variance in the readings/data because they are a sample not the population, and that the "dip" was within expected error

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

36 (edited by The Great Eye 24-May-2014 06:35:24)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

... Was it?  It's all well and good to suggest that a deviation from predictions may be within expected error... however, that "expected error" isn't just a random insertion.  That's an actual thing that can be checked.  So no, you can't just say "hey, that could be assumed in the model" without pulling some sort of support and expect that to fly.

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Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Let's differentiate between 2 things : global warming and pollution.

- Global warming IS happening. I'll NOT say this is purely due to human interference, though we probably are contributing, but noone actually has any clue to what degree, really. Fact is that temperatures change over the course of time, with or without human interference. Hell, theres quite a few scientists who are saying this is the usual increase of temperature we tend to see just before a big drop, and that we'll have a mini ice age (no, not the wooly mammoth type) somewhere between 2020 and 2030.
- Pollution is bad. Anyone who says differently is just a dumbass. We are killing species at an astonishing rate due to it, poisoning our own habitat, and thus ourselves. If you still think it'll be allright and we can just go on like this, try the following : shit on your couch, then keep using it while avoiding your dumpsite. Keep shitting in your couch continuously and see how long you can keep avoiding it. This is what we are doing to our planet, and in the end, to ourselves. Tip : you can buy a new couch, but last i checked on ebay they were all out of fresh planets.

So the question is not if we should stop polluting to avoid climate change. Climate change will happen with or without us. We should stop polluting simply because it's the obvious thing to do. Otherwise we WILL enter the 4th stage of habitat-related evolution (step 1 : a dirty human in a clean world / step 2 : a clean human in a clean world / step 3 : a clean human in a dirty world - those we've had, there's only one left we havent had yet, im sure you'll figure it out).

When speaking your mind, it is of utmost importance to keep using it !

38 (edited by The Great Eye 24-May-2014 14:43:27)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

That would still leave open the fundamental issue in this debate: "Is CO2 pollution?"  In fact... hell, there may be a legitimate argument that even if CO2 in the atmosphere does increase global temperatures, if a mini Ice Age is about to occur, industrial CO2 is actually a stabilizing mechanism in the atmosphere (at least for the period of the mini Ice Age, which, if we're to look at the prior mini Ice Age, could be a few hundred years... by which time the industrial CO2 would have been long gone from the atmosphere).

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Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

The thing is, where in nature the transition from oxygen to CO2 will, in most cases (except in large scale fires, really, and even then) create negligible to minute amounts of the poisonous CO, industrial CO2-production creates vast amounts of CO (incomplete combustion), and im not even mentioning other sideproducts. CO2 is in itself not the issue (though too much is too much), its what we put out there while creating it that IS the problem.

When speaking your mind, it is of utmost importance to keep using it !

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

And that's why things like the EPA and Clean Air Act exist, to create regulations and pollution caps on many of THOSE chemicals.  But not CO2, because its status is still being debated... hence this debate.

That being said, there are fundamental differences between CO2 and the pollutants that may come with CO2 that warrant debate.  Off-hand, the mitigation strategy is different.  With many pollutants, for example, the environmental effects are generally localized.  In such cases, a company could effectively mitigate the damage it would cause with building a factory by placing that factory in a region where the pollution would cause little environmental damage.  With CO2, however, the effects are described as such that emissions anywhere contribute to a global impact, so relocation is meaningless.

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Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Thing is this question should be easy even for a fool.

Is there higher carbon rates downwind from China? Is there any measurable difference in these downwinds as the winds adjust?

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
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Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Flint: Last I checked we were having a proper debate. Your simplifications and lack of understanding don't contribute.

Zarf: You are right, I do need to check on my assertion, however I was merely giving a counter to Yell's position - i.e. there is another explanation for his assertion, and I note he gave no reference or evidence for his statement.

As a side point, I do not have the time to go off and reference my statement now, so I will leave it as a matter of opinion, and not of fact, so people are welcome to ignore it or not as they see fit.

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

China has thick, many mile wide, many miles high, many hundreds of mile long carbon dioxide/monoxide plumes.

These plumes can be shifted by a wind and have been so affected. They remain one of the strongest tools for saying "where is the heat difference". No one has ever noted any significant change even with plumes of CO2 in 3 to 4 (and sometimes many more) times the normal (current) concentration.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/tes … mp;sy=2014

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

if i get a  real computer isntead of this pos smartphone  i will  go  cite the IPCC reports since 1991 which did not say anything about greenhouse effect taking a  holiday for  15  years

the last time  global  average temps went up for 12  straight months, MC Hammer was bigger than Madonna

Flint you ignorant slut  you are talking about physical clouds of gas!  everybody here is talking about global warming which like skyrim only exists in propriertary software.  just because certain latitudes in the southern hemisphere which are half  bald oceans arent postulated to heat any differently than northern hemisphere  latitudes which intersect the G20, doesn't prove anything!  the model of  earth's climate is an altered amalgam of lots of regional measures that dont acyually  correspond to anywhere! that's science!

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

Message me your address, I have a spare laptop.

To be precise I have 2 powerful moster laptops, a medium laptop [broke screen maybe, if so I send a monitor also], a netbook, a flaky laptop, a Galaxy Tab 2 10.2, a Microsoft Surface Pro, and no less than 3 working smart phones...

High tech? Damn straight.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

I got a laptop thanks, I just don't have a wifi card anymore and no wifi at the house

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

48 (edited by Little Paul 01-Jun-2014 20:03:37)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

its like 10$ to buy a wifi stick and 30$ to buy an acces point. yikes
Or do you mean you don't have broadband?

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

He lives in California, the tax on the stick is 500% and he tax on the access point is 350%

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: I just crushed the AGW believers!

link to $10 stick please, I have a wifi antenna but no free service

have no broadband either


verizon was pretty lousy in my area

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.