Topic: How the 2014 Elections look
Democrats full in retreat, the Republicans win unless they piss their own party off.
Thanks to Obama, Pelosi, and other factors the Democrats are taking a beating.
During the shutdown Obama stretched for his hand in an obvious political ploy. He said "shut down everything" essentially,
He affected fishermen, dually run State and Federal Parks, un-manned monuments, highways going through national parks, businesses which leased rights on national parks and more. This on top of his stopping tours of the White House since the sequester.
He coincidentally stopped World War II veterans from visiting the long awaited WWII monument. This monument is not staffed on Federal Holidays but is open anyways, 24/7/365. He shut it down and Republicans and Veterans showed up in force over it.
22 MILLION Veterans are pissed at that, and 1 million active duty members. This group will drop checks in the mail, volunteer for duty, and help punish the Democrats for what Obama did. He gave us an army bigger than his Union thugs.
Obamacare is gutting his ranks. When a middle class Democrat finds that their premiums, deductible, and co-pay are all up much higher than they expected they quail. This is not how much they were willing to help others with.
More so he is making the low income lower income. Resteraunts are going all part-time, and the Census Bureau shows this in a recent survey. Most small businesses are not hiring, reducing staff for temporaries, or otherwise minimizing the damage. Many are no longer offering insurance either.
Businesses are not alone as Governments around the nation are cutting down hours, positions, and even dropping insurance. Some are getting notices of their plans ending and have to do work to see what they will need to do.
Oh plan terminations... this will kill people. People are dying now due to Obamacare and their stories will be up front. Also will be families, token union workers, and low income stories. We have a year of these stories coming
Obama and Democrats are unable to find a way out either. They need Obamacare for their slush fund but it is toxic. There was an effort to allow plans to continue if you still have them... but this makes those who signed into Obamacare (the very sick and needy mostly) an ultra expensive proposition.
You see the actuaries are now working on the 2015 pricings. Regulations mean this must be submitted a long time in advance. This means a price jump will happen. Yes a JUMP!
Of course the Democrats want that not to happen. Headlines before the election showing another huge jump will kill them, but inaction will also kill them.
Meanwhile Obamacare reduces cash to Democrats from all non corporate sources except Hollywood and Super Rich.
But this gift keeps on giving. You see Project Veritas is making the entire system their punching bag. First up are the Navigators. Hundreds of these are now on film giving instructions that would land a Republican in jail. Under Obama they get fired, suspended, shuffled, or promoted of course.
All of this hits Moderates and inactive Conservatives hard in the gut. Recent polls reflect this so strongly as to be believed.
But wait there is more. The IRS may be temporarily from headlines but this will not last. Thier targetting Tea Party types has made a long-term simmering anger. This will not be forgotten and has resulted in more deep level organizing than most suspect.
Additionally Obama will be charaded in areas where taxes are going up with his no taxes pledge. Low information voters do not know who is increasing their taxes all the time but they sure see their take home pay dwindling. Democrats stand to suffer for raising taxes in Democrat strongholds.
Jobs.... jobs are up in some States by huge numbers. To bad this is mostly Republican States. Pull those good States out and the numbers are grim indeed. Obama did that and Democrats supported him.
Financials will plague the Democrats as well. Their small donors will have less to give, Obama just put doctors in a vice then bis party tried for a little to put the Obamacare failure on insurance companies (who will remember that). Small businesses now blame Democrats for handicapping them and big business is worried about the future so are sitting on their cash.
Compared to 22 million pissed off Veterans, a Tea Party in ascension mode, and a swinging moderate base. Now if we can get conservatives like Chris to stop voting for Cthulu we can run laps around the Democrats.
Democrats are dissarrayed, scared, and losing ground fast. But can the Republicans win this?
What can kill the Republican Party
Any form of amnesty is a sure way to lose 40% of their votes. Snatching defeat from victory could not be done easier.
Mishandling Obamacare and giving the Democrats a scapegoat or a way out. Only will lose 35% or so but more than enough.
Infighting is a possible way for some Democrats to survive otherwise impossible odds. The Tea Party is coming out with fists raised and the Establishment is offering to make it a knife fight. This could get very messy (odds on this happening in my view are very high. Blood will flow).
Boehner.... simply put the man can drop 10% of Republicans on a given day that he tries to lick O's arse.
Right now Obama has dozens of other issues sitting and waiting to trip up Democrats.
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)