Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Einstein is partially right...the chance that someone gets the same result on a dice roll 4 times in a row is small. However, the chance for consecutive rolls to give a certain result is still the same for every individual roll. In the case of the dice, the chance to get a 6th on the 4th roll is still 1/6th, although getting a 6 four times in a row is pretty damn small!

Maar doodslaan deed hij niet, want tussen droom en daad,
Staan wetten in de weg en praktische bezwaren,
En ook weemoedigheid, die niemand kan verklaren,
En die des avonds komt, wanneer men slapen gaat.

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Alundra sounds crazzzzy

Leap ahead

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Ok i gotta co e clean.

Last night I played Wiwi like a card. He complained about having a complicated role. I figured mob wildcard guy or Q. To get him to come out if he was Q i acted HARD like I was 008)

Today to make Arby3 stop trolling I told him I was cop (figured he would shut up and leave me alone if town, kill me night one if mob) and then said another when he seemed not to bite... "and I know who Q is as well".

Arby said "I know wiwi is Q" or something like that (I will get logs in an hour)

At this point if wiwi is mob then Arby3 is as well. I caught him in a moment where he slipped up.

This is my insurance if i die tonight and am shown to be town.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

im so killing you tonight!

Solis - #7872

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Talked to Alundra on IRC and this is the log:

[23:01] <Alundra> keerb
[23:01] <Keerb> Alundra
[23:01] <Alundra> im making it a point of telling x amount of people just incase i get killed,one of the peeps has to be town lol
[23:02] <Alundra> arby3 is sticking up for wiwi. high chance he is mob
[23:03] <Alundra> and hydrop openly admitted he was mob. i think in an attempt to get cop to investigate him . meaning he will be mob who shows up as town

Not really sure what course of action should be taken. As we start with nightphase cop will need to do investigations, either for someone to ally with or to confirm some of the theories going around.

The Alundra/Wiwi/Arby/Hydro case should be possible to solve with lynching a key player in here and see if Alundra's theory holds true while cop investigates someone else.

You could also investigate Alundra, Wiwi or Arby to see if the information holds true.

In any case it seems both lynching and investigating more than one of these players will be a waste of an investigation/lynch which could possibly be spent better elsewhere. And investigating a townie/pro town role is a lot less worse than managing to lynch one by bad luck.

It's easier to organize a lynch on one of the names already out in the open without the cop having to show his/hers face yet, so I think we should go for a lynch of one of the mentioned players and the cop should investigate some of the more quiet players for now.

You're in an interesting dilemma here cop - make the most of it!

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Wow & first night phase isn't even out the way LOL big_smile

Miss Che Vias-Sprite
Yehes ha sowena whath dhewgh why ha 'gas henath

Be Troll Aware!

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Oh and I see now I failed to reason why Wiwi is in the discussion at all in my previous post. So here's that part of the log (Happened before the log I just posted)

[22:30] <Keerb> Alundra, what do you mean by your thread post?
[22:30] <Alundra> what one?
[22:30] <Keerb> Mafia
[22:30] <Alundra> oh
[22:30] <Keerb> About the lynch
[22:31] <Alundra> wiwi said he was trying to get into the mob chat
[22:31] <Alundra> but this is his first game right?
[22:31] <Alundra> we're not told about it until we get a mob role

I find it a little bit interesting how she uses the word "we" for mob though, so still unsure what to make of this whole thing.

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

last time i was mob we didnt even have a mob chat lol. everything was thru messages in tri.

Leap ahead

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

we as in mafia players collective tongue

Been dreaming, I've been waiting, To fly with those brave ponies
The Wonderbolts, their daring tricks, Spinning 'round and having kicks
Perform for crowds of thousands, They'll shower us with diamonds
The Wonderbolts will see me right here at the Gala!

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

and do you really think that if I was mob I would run into #mafia and openly broadcast that I am, trying to get myself lynched?

you guys need to learn what trolling is. to me, the game has not started until the first night phase ends and we see what damage is done.

for the record...I am a mere townie and no, I did not send in a PM for a special nickname. Im a boy not a girl

Solis - #7872

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

When does night phase end?

Also not surprising, Flint screwed my previous roles too hmm

Bad stupid is troll x(

"I lie down next to an angel, fall asleep and fly with the demons"
I once prayed to god for some planets, but quickly found out he didnt work that way

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

has it started? lol

- The Galeonis Empire

[00:26] <&Walking_Corpse> mapgen doesn't work right for me
[00:26] <&Galeonis> yeah yeah same with ur penis tongue

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

yikes

first login since my 10 day vac mode hiatus.  yay mafia game! big_smile

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

screw you Galeonis!  posting two seconds before me sad

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Satanic Spawn wrote:

and do you really think that if I was mob I would run into #mafia and openly broadcast that I am, trying to get myself lynched?

you guys need to learn what trolling is. to me, the game has not started until the first night phase ends and we see what damage is done.

for the record...I am a mere townie and no, I did not send in a PM for a special nickname. Im a boy not a girl


the last two games u have said who u think is what roles and other pekple have done it too and in other games too. im still learning and im trying out different things, i cant see anything wrong with that,

now u can say its trolling, but my point was u were saying you were mob so that cop would investigate you, you'd show up town and cop would contact you . and then if u were mob who shows up town like i thought, then mob would be in control of cop. and i quite believe that you are clever enough to try that. (do u understand what i mean now?)

only difference is, before i was wavering wether or not you were mob or town, i know for certain which one you are.

Been dreaming, I've been waiting, To fly with those brave ponies
The Wonderbolts, their daring tricks, Spinning 'round and having kicks
Perform for crowds of thousands, They'll shower us with diamonds
The Wonderbolts will see me right here at the Gala!

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

im not ragging you Alundra for saying what you say. I was merely pointing out my side of it. If people want to think I am mob (like they did last 2 rounds) I will just have to prove yet again that I am perpetually stuck with being a mere townie. Once that is done, I will hopefully get the roles to get with me and put an end to the mob here for another townie win

Solis - #7872

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

RD, that's exactly what I said tongue

flint is basically claiming that if you flip a coin three times and the first two times it comes up as heads, the third time can be nothing else than tails.
i suggest trying it.

NEE NAW NEE NAW

Primo

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

*me highfives Primo*

I did not bother reading through that whole list of pointless posts, too lazy tongue

Maar doodslaan deed hij niet, want tussen droom en daad,
Staan wetten in de weg en praktische bezwaren,
En ook weemoedigheid, die niemand kan verklaren,
En die des avonds komt, wanneer men slapen gaat.

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

No primo... I am saying it is more likely to be tails. Each progressive hewds means a more likely chance of tails. A binary table shows this.
A million random digitsis a binary file which will prove this. Every compression expert can tell you this stuff.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

On paper, of course the chance of it being tails is most likely, but only because the odds of flipping 4 heads in a row is low. In reality, it's still a 50/50 chance it will be heads/tails though. You're missing the entire point. It's 2 separate sets of information.

Modestus Experitus

Arby: A very strict mod, reminds me of a fat redneck who drives a truck around all day with a beer in one hand. I hated this guy at the start, however, I played a round in PW with him where he went as an anonymous player. Our fam got smashed up and everyone pretty much left. Arby stayed around and helped out the remaining family. At the end of the round he revealed himself.... My views on him have changed since. Your a good guy.....

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

lol, is this still going?

/me waiting for his money from this.

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

The Best educating in math website

Check the coin flipping section.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

lol sometimes i feel like a nerd for playing IC. Now I really feel like a nerd >_<

- The Galeonis Empire

[00:26] <&Walking_Corpse> mapgen doesn't work right for me
[00:26] <&Galeonis> yeah yeah same with ur penis tongue

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

Einstein wrote:

The Best educating in math website

Check the coin flipping section.

Einstein, you are confusing statistics with probability.

yes, the chances of tossing 4 heads in a row is 1 in 16;
however, if you have already tossed 3 heads the probability
of tossing another is 50/50.

Valour-the courage to do what scares you to death

Re: Mafia 42 - Shaken Not Stirred.

tell me flint
how does the coin remember it landed tails up last time?
and how does it influence the outcome?

NEE NAW NEE NAW

Primo