Topic: Reasons China will cause a war.

Apologists stand aside. Pacifists quit your nonsense.

China is reaching a series of cross roads. They have social unrest issues coming up more and more often. Corruption abounds (school children used to make fireworks, land grabs, illegal and easily collapsed mines, patent/copyright infringements, dissapearances by police, beatings by police, military run corporations violating sanctions, etc.) But then there is also social media issues where flash anger happens.

The Chinese Government is also trying to balance minor reforms with staying in power.

Then the heaviest problem.... China will soon have up to 100 million men who will have 0 chance to get a wife.

The only solution this leadership will see is the need for a war. They need a crisis that will end a lot of angry Chinese males lives, restore the sex balance, reduce concerns about corruption, make other social issues seem less than the 'current crisis' and so forth.

China is an expantionist nation. Since Mao lead a revolution China has captured Tibet, attempted to capture Vietnam, fought a very significant fight with India, has involved itself in the Korean War, fought a minimum of three border skirmishes with Russia/USSR, has demanded (often with military threats) Tiawan rejoin them, has threatened military force for oil rich ocean regions contested by many nations (all mostly peaceful except China), and their generals/admirals talk quite a lot of smack.

Chinese culture also plays into this with the description of themselves as the Middle Land. A sense of superiority pervades their nation.

History also plays a role. I forget the dynasty but in ancient times the Chinese (who were then advanced beyond measure over Europe) eliminated their version of Patents and Copyrights (resulting in a decline larger and more strong than the dark ages ever caused Europe). This made their society the first major 'your intellectual creations are our creations' nation. To them anything that does not help Chinese society must be taken to enhance China or to be reduced so it cannot threaten China.

There is also a racist component. Certain heritages in China are seen as 'more Chinese' or more pure. While not as strong as the Japanese Gajiin (sp?) Heritage there is a distinct advantage of being a Han Chinese person over most others.



There will be war. It is already being prepared for. Will we sit idly while they prepare, or will we grow to make the cost of war to much for them, and force them to find an alternative way to handle their internal issues (such as a peaceful transition to a Republic, granting freedoms as such the USA has, and such)?

Ignorance is not strength.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

2 (edited by Firewing 21-Dec-2011 08:44:52)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Russia has thousands of nuclear weapons ready to drop. They won't allow any aggressions in the north or to a former soviet republic.

In the West is Afganistan...

South west is India and its zone of influence, too big.

In the south is vietnam. The last chinese try was in the late 70s. Bad idea.

In the east are Japan, South Korea and the Philippines which are in the US zone of influence.

North Korea isn't worth it.

So, which nation shall china attack?

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

I have been worried that China may try invading Sakha. It's rich in minerals and gas. And no, Russia probably won't nuke over it. Nukes won't be used by one nuclear power against another unless there is nothing to lose.

And Flint is right. The circumstances in China favor militarism. Moreover, such population imbalances highly correlate with militarism.

Which is why we need to stop toying with Russia, and help them build up their military so they can fortify their southeastern border.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

100 million soldiers could easily occupy Afghanistan... and a few dozen other nations.

I rather suspect that there will be aiming at a nation with a coast line however since their aircraft carrier is 'a test bed for future construction'.

Given the extensive tunneling they are doing in their north Justinian could be correct.

However I suspect the Phillipines, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and Indonesia. Possibly Japan as well as there is a lot to be gained in treasure in their view, and it removes a big thorn in their side at the same time.

You must remember they have talked a lot about building up to counter the United States. Those generals get promoted.

The launching of their first ICBM carrying submarine also shows intent.

The only reason they lost in Vietnam was that Cambodia counter invaded to stop China. The ability of these two nations to fight China off now is slim to none.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Who'd have ever thought 'we' would want to help the Russians strengthen their military...

Words will always retain their power.  Words offer the means to meaning, and for those who will listen: the enunciation of truth.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> Einstein wrote:

> 100 million soldiers could easily occupy Afghanistan... and a few dozen other nations.

> I rather suspect that there will be aiming at a nation with a coast line however since their aircraft carrier is 'a test bed for future construction'.

> Given the extensive tunneling they are doing in their north Justinian could be correct.

> However I suspect the Phillipines, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and Indonesia. Possibly Japan as well as there is a lot to be gained in treasure in > their view, and it removes a big thorn in their side at the same time.

This sound like a science fiction book i have read about 10 years ago. China conquered most of Asia and South America. Only Europe and the US can stop them in the end.

Seriously, if china would go the aggressive way, the world would contain them very fast. After Afganistan and Iraq it is obvious that the times of aggressive wars are over. China may try to export its males in other nations, e. g. to africa, marriage there and build up a new pro-china population to gain support.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Le sigh, where to begin:

"Then the heaviest problem.... China will soon have up to 100 million men who will have 0 chance to get a wife."

Individually, every male has a chance to get a wife, also any gap between male and female is not contained to one area (ie. there won't be 100 million men standing around twiddling their thumbs demanding a wife). Also there has been change, will be more change, that allows for a second child when the first is a girl (this means there will be families with 1 boy, 1 boy and 1 girl, or 2 girls) which, as well as stopping the death of chinese girls, will level out the male to female ratio.

"Chinese culture also plays into this with the description of themselves as the Middle Land. A sense of superiority pervades their nation."

No, it is a sense of self-denegration. Yes it is called the "middle kingdom", but have a look at what they call other nations, The US is called 美国 "mei guo" which means Beautiful Kindgom, England is called 英国 "ying guo" 英 meaning "Brave". "Saving face

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Rome used to control most of Europe, does this give them the right to invade everyone else?

Other points later

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Well China keeps challenging both Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, of who controls what territory.  Actually their hopeing for an incident with any one of them, to move in military forces and take a hold of those lands.

If anything their no longer saber rattling.  Their down and out taking their hand jabbing their finger into someone elses chest...awaiting for a physical attack back, that way they can be viewed as the innocent in the case.  That way they could justify a military venture against one of those territories.

China right now might have a lot of missles, tanks, jets, and military ground forces....but their seriously stupid.

=^o.o^= When I'm cute I can be cute.  And when I'm mean, I can be very very mean.  I'm a cat.  Expect me to be fickle.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

I notice the guy in China does not refute My retort.

China may have once spanned the region, but times change.


Should we give Mongolia leadership of all of Continental Asia?


His answer is of course no.



Illegal land grab is illegal.




Notice he cannot refute they started ALL the wars I mentioned as well?

Arogance breeds thick there.


War is coming. China will be the cause. It is more clear than Germany in WWI and WWII, more clear than the Napoleanic Wars, more clear than Alexander the Greats campaign in India.

Ofc if China gave up Tibet they would show they are for peace.

Better to prepare and scare them from the idea than sit blissfully thinking no one wants war anymore.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

11 (edited by ~Wornstrum~ 23-Dec-2011 05:43:08)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

"I notice the guy in China does not refute My retort."

The guy in China sleeps different hours to you...sorry if my desire to sleep doesn't produce PROMPT retorts...also, it is rich coming from you, the guy that ignores most retorts...


"China may have once spanned the region, but times change."




"Should we give Mongolia leadership of all of Continental Asia?"

I thought there was a giant wall to stop the Mongols? Also, Mongolia was part of the Qing Dynasty...Mongol empire collapsed, a long time ago...


"His answer is of course no."

My answer is much more of a grey area. If we take the Mongol Empire, it collapsed, same with the Rome Empire. Britian governed 25% of the world's population in the early 20th century, and it did so without hesitation. Only when it was unable to control those lands, was control handed back. Your "retort" doesn't exactly argue my point either, considering places like Taiwan were under Japanese imperial rule before being handed to China, and the political party still has claims over the WHOLE of China. They consider themselves the "rightful" party of China.

Also, can someone maybe enlighten me as to why Hawaii is considered part of the US? As well as various other islands in the Pacific? The French also still have the French Polynesia (they thought it would be fun and exciting to detonate Nukes there)...I feel your issues with China go deeper than just territorial claims, and it is a sense that they are the "enemy" that threatens your survival. I get the feeling that US attitudes is that if someone is not directly supporting the US, then they are the sworn enemy and any action they take is considered bad (unless it is to support the US). Why is it that other nations are ok to claim certain islands in the Pacific, but if China has a historical claim, then they are nothing more than warmongering.


"Their down and out taking their hand jabbing their finger into someone elses chest...awaiting for a physical attack back, that way they can be viewed as the innocent in the case. "

I call again on the fishing boat incident last year, Japan detained Chinese fisherman, and China sought a diplomatic resolution. As for South Korea, when North Korea attacked, China was calling for calm in the region.


"Illegal land grab is illegal."

Britain still governs land around the world for its Navy, maybe they should also give up those land entitlements, same with the US in the Pacific.




"Notice he cannot refute they started ALL the wars I mentioned as well?

Arogance breeds thick there."

Wow, just wow...maybe you would like me to start pulling up all of the threads you start but never respond to ALL of the refuting information....also, this comment is nothing more than a personal attack...don't refute what I said but just attack me...but I will indulge you...

"attempted to capture Vietnam, fought a very significant fight with India, ..., fought a minimum of three border skirmishes with Russia/USSR"

France controlled Vietnam, the US also tried to "capture" Vietnam and prop up their own groomed leader...and the USSR and the US also had skirmishers, mostly though proxy wars...I find it funny that one nations "border skirmishers" are bad, when the US itself has fought in these places too.

As for India, I think India will be capable of looking after its own interests also. They too can throw millions of soldiers at China, have their own Nuclear arsenal, and their rising economy will allow a boost in military expenditure.

"Ofc if China gave up Tibet they would show they are for peace."

So this is your entire point? Free Tibet?

"Better to prepare and scare them from the idea than sit blissfully thinking no one wants war anymore."

It is better that the US has global hemegony than anyone else that might challenge your authority.


Now Einstein, before you start running your mouth next time "claiming" that because I haven't responded that I CAN'T respond (especially since you should be able to work out my sleeping patterns since you know I am in China...your first "refute" was just after midnight for me), wait for some time before you act all big and tough, but since you started this...I wonder why you havent responded to these posts:

http://www.imperialconflict.com/forum/viewtopic.php?id=152666&p=2
http://www.imperialconflict.com/forum/viewtopic.php?id=152827 (this one you even said you would even post more on)
http://www.imperialconflict.com/forum/viewtopic.php?id=152288
http://www.imperialconflict.com/forum/viewtopic.php?id=150571 (you blatantly ignored my post here...calling me an "extremist" for pointing out a simple fact...interesting)
http://www.imperialconflict.com/forum/viewtopic.php?id=152838 (no response...)

This list could go on...

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

I happen to agree more with Einstein this time.  It is naive to discount the possibility China will enter into conflict in an expansionist war.  I'm betting Japan and Taiwan would be their target.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

They've shelled installations on rock islands claimed by the Philippines.  South China Sea is wild and wooly

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> The Yell wrote:

> They've shelled installations on rock islands claimed by the Philippines.  South China Sea is wild and wooly

Source?  Link?

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Wornstrum,

I think Flint is naive to maintain that America's foreign policy is morally superior. However, it looks like you are unfairly defending China.

With my realist-like outlook that assumes:
1. The interests who triumph in the competition for power get their way.
2. Beyond its convenience to interests, morality is meaningless in politics.
3. Do unto others before they do it to you. "The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must."

It is no contradiction for me to be concerned with China's future potential, and actively promote efforts to curtail it and maintain America's hegemony on the world stage. It is in my own self-interest to do so. If my nation or the nations aligned with it aren't dominating, then my nation will be dominated. The bizarre part is that you also stand to lose by such a shift in the balance of power, yet you embrace this possible outcome with destiny and joy. Then you also have no problem calling us arrogant. Seriously, wtf?

When you call my nationalism arrogant, my response is simply "dominate or be dominated." If it's not America with the power, then it will be another nation. Only a fool would think that an alternative wouldn't use their power when it suited them.

China is no less morally bankrupt than other nations. They are all scum. Human rights are a sham, and American Exceptionalism is a myth. But for sensible people like myself who understand the consequences of China's disturbance to the balance of power, there is no reason why we shouldn't be concerned about China using its power to benefit itself.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> xeno syndicated wrote:

> I happen to agree more with Einstein this time.  It is naive to discount the possibility China will enter into conflict in an expansionist war.  I'm betting Japan and Taiwan would be their target.

There is a difference with considering the possibility and outright certainty...I disagree with Flint on the reasons WHY it would happen, but also consider it a low possibility. And my prediction is Japan would be the first to buy it, I have always said that I will know the start of World War 3 by Japan disappearing overnight...I am however very tired, have been up all night drinking and singing, so it's bed time for me (I feel I need to say this as not to give Einstein the impression that I am ignoring his posts...)

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

17 (edited by ~Wornstrum~ 24-Dec-2011 16:22:33)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> Justinian I wrote:

> Wornstrum,

I think Flint is naive to maintain that America's foreign policy is morally superior. However, it looks like you are unfairly defending China.



"The bizarre part is that you also stand to lose by such a shift in the balance of power...Then you also have no problem calling us arrogant. Seriously, wtf?...When you call my nationalism arrogant, my response is simply "dominate or be dominated."...Only a fool would think that an alternative wouldn't use their power when it suited them.

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> ~Wornstrum~ wrote:

>"Illegal land grab is illegal."

Britain still governs land around the world for its Navy, maybe they should also give up those land entitlements, same with the US in the Pacific.



I also want to add that borders in the world have changed so many times it is not funny. Europe is a perfect example.

And also have a look at the map of Africa, alot of straight lines. This is because when the imperial nations began to move out, lines were drawn on a map to divide the continent. This is why there is alot of problems in Africa, because instead of land being given to each ethnicity, each country consisted of more than 1 with each struggling for power.

Why are borders stationary now? Well they are not. East Timor, Sudan and South Sudan, Pakistan and India, and you are also calling for Tibet to secede. So borders move, so who decides who is entitled to what land? Some of your examples were ruled by the Japanese Empire, so who then rules these areas?

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

19 (edited by xeno syndicated 24-Dec-2011 16:52:14)

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

"it is only when those economic means begin to fade does the world need to worry"

True, and this scenario is somewhat likely, too.

China wouldn't go to war simply because their 100 million bachelors would have nothing better to do, but because those 100 million bachelors wouldn't be able to afford to do anything better.

Also, I dare you to try talking about the skewed gender ratios with Chinese (I'm sure you can since you are living there).  It's about as touchy a subject as the 3 big T's (Taiwan, Tibet, Tienanmen Square massacre).  The sociological effects of the skewed gender ratios is not a factor to be discounted entirely.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> xeno syndicated wrote:

> Also, I dare you to try talking about the skewed gender ratios with Chinese (I'm sure you can since you are living there).  It's about as touchy a subject as the 3 big T's (Taiwan, Tibet, Tienanmen Square massacre).  The sociological effects of the skewed gender ratios is not a factor to be discounted entirely.

I did bring it up a few times tongue, no problems talking to Chinese about it. I wouldn't say it's as touchy as Tiananmen Square, although that was interesting to talk to a Chinese person about and get their knowledge of the events (However, I do not dare talk about what I have learnt though). Tibet and Taiwan though, is not as touchy from what I have seen also. My teacher was trying to talk me into going to Taiwan (and trying to talk me out of going to North Korea), and I plan to visit Tibet also smile

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

I recall reading about it in the Economist, which doenst give away any content online

but here's a summary of the actions

http://www1.american.edu/ted/ice/spratly.htm

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

中华人民共和国万岁
毛主席万岁
打到美国帝国主义

el oh el oh el oh el

<parrot> there is also the odd  possibility that tryme is an idiot
<KT> possibility?
<genesis> tryme is a bit of an idiot
<Torqez> bit?

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

Rin is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I've ever known in my life

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> Einstein wrote:

> I notice the guy in China does not refute My retort.


Now you created a new forum post, yet still haven't commented here...interesting...

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Reasons China will cause a war.

> Fenix wrote:

> > ~Wornstrum~ wrote:

> > Einstein wrote:

> I notice the guy in China does not refute My retort.


Now you created a new forum post, yet still haven't commented here...interesting...


interesting? it happens so often, at this point its just boring and expected tongue


I know, I just want to call attention to his hypocrisy. Critisizing me of something he does most of the time smile

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~