China has 1.3 billion people. as they keep developing they'll start to produce for their domestic market. the US economy is burdened by huge debt, but worse is outsourcing. American exports are declining. one US advantage is the position of the geenback as the global reserve currency. what happens when that changes? and it will change... eventually. Amerca will be the sole military superpower for quite sometime, but it's influence will decline as the economic power declines. just take a look at china this week and the nobel peace prize.1/3 of the countries invited to Oslo failed to turn up because China put pressure on them not to. that's called INFLUENCE.
America has a huge influence around the world because of its economic and military power. the reason why the US can spend so much on the military is because of its strong economy. but when things start going downhill the US will see defence cuts and the US will have to reduce its military presence around the world.
the last couple of years we've already seen the US expressing concern at Chinese military spending increases- why is the US the sole superpower expressing concern? because they know that although China is nowhere near them at present, it wont take huge changes to make China more of a threat.
if we look at Great Britain in the late 19th century. for years they were in economic decline but it took a while for that to be seen militarily. even then though Britain projecting the image of massive naval superiority even though by 1900 the Royal Navy had declined in relative strength majorly compared to powers such as Germany and the US.
China is starting to build carriers, Russia is building new ones (allegedly) so is India, Britain too & France (possibly). Brazil is building up the navy too.
America will be number 1 for the next 2 decades but whereas in the South China Sea they had total superiority, the Chinese will have developed into a major threat.
the traditional US Carrier Group IMO will just not have the same influence it once did. especially not if the chinese have their own carriers, and Anti-Ship Ballistic Missiles.
at Present the USA owns the Gulf and dominates the Indian Ocean, but how long will that go on for?especially after defence cuts?
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