1,801

(17 replies, posted in Politics)

I lol'd at this part of Flint's second link:


Here's one version of the rumor, cleaned up from the crappy Google translation:

According to reliable sources, North Korean leader [Kim Jong-Un was killed] in Beijing in February 10 2012, at 2 o'clock and 45 minutes. Unknown persons broke into his residence shot and were subsequently shot and killed by the bodyguard.

Official Internet Rule: Any (Chinese) Twitter post that begins with "according to reliable sources" is almost certainly fake.

1,802

(17 replies, posted in Politics)

Only place I could find it:

http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/02/10/kim-jong-un-assassination-rumours-flood-twitter-weibo/


Still, this is unconfirmed... so don't jump to conclusions.

1,803

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

As an overview, I wanted to note a couple important points within this debate.

First, Chaos did not dispute the legitimacy of my right to give an advocacy statement.  This is important because the advocacy statement is a representation of the topic... the topic being a relatively open-ended issue in need of clarification to specify exactly what each side advocates.  The moment I specify a version of the topic which still is the topic itself, but simply acts as specification, the debate should focus on the advocacy statement because it best defines the ground in the debate.  Remember, there was no dispute to this, so chaos has in effect conceded that this is the proper interpretation of the round.

But even if you don't buy that, note that he also conceded my definition of "follow-on treaty."  This is important because it means that even if I don't get the right to clarify the type of follow-on treaty we're discussing, the fact that I am supposed to advocate a follow-on treaty means it's a proper response to say that functional problems with the original Kyoto Protocol could be corrected in a follow-on, as long as the primary goal and function of the treaty (global warming prevention) still exists.


Either way, there is an important point here: this is not a debate about the old Kyoto Protocol.  The topic is worded to where I am supposed to defend some treaty which attempts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions at the global level, based on the original Kyoto Protocol, yet correcting problems with the initial protocol.  Thus, arguments which focus on the flaws of the old Kyoto protocol but not to the advocacy statement treaty should be rejected outright as irrelevant to the discussion.  I'll label what ones I'm talking about as we go along.

Remember, my advocated follow-on modified two specific portions of Kyoto.  First, it would allow the treaty to be enforceable by tying greenhouse gas emissions to the World Trade Organization.  Second, the allowing of tariffs to reduce imports of greenhouse gas emissions would allow nations to enforce environmental standards even against non-members to the treaty.  This was all specified in the original post and there were no answers to this.  Don't allow new arguments to these because we won't have the time to discuss these arguments in depth.



> [RPA]chaosdarkmech wrote:

> The Kyoto protocol shouldn

1,804

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

The giant blue screen of death on my regular laptop wanted you to know that I may be slow in replying.  tongue

1,805

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

Lateralis, we need to start giving you a breathalyzer test before letting you post here.  hmm

1,806

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

What does that have to do with anything in this thread?  I'm confuzzled.

1,807

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

Lol... definitely not my favorite topic tongue

1,808

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

lol... shhh!  tongue

1,809

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

Your shot, Chaos!

1,810

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

First, I want to give a short analysis of the topic.

A follow-on treaty is not simply a repetition of a prior treaty.  Rather, it attempts to continue the general goals of the original treaty as closely as possible, while recognizing and correcting problems which existed in the prior treaty.  Empirically, the START follow-on treaty restructured the verification regime of nuclear weapons.

In addition, this interpretation of "follow-on treaty" is most realistic because treaties are written with expiration dates for the sake of testing.  Both the START and Kyoto treaties were constructed as initial measures toward their goals, with the recognition not that their goals would be abandoned upon expiration, but that the original treaty could be examined and perfected to achieve the goals of the prior treaty.

That means I have the right to recognize core flaws in the original Kyoto Protocol and attempt to correct them in an advocated follow-on treaty, as long as I do not modify the fundamental goal established in the Kyoto Protocol.


Thus, my advocacy:
A follow-on treaty to the Kyoto Protocol should be ratified, creating a series of universally applied benchmarks on emission caps.  In addition, the treaty should state that trade barriers against imports which violate the agreed upon benchmarks are considered a proper environmental justification for establishing trade barriers in accordance with World Trade Organization standards, as long as greenhouse gas emission standards are applied universally.

The advocacy attempts to correct two flaws of the original Kyoto protocol: lack of enforceability and lack of universal emission cap standards.



Let me begin by explaining how it works.

The World Trade Organization is the organization tasked with enforcing the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs, the standard agreement governing the vast majority of interntional trade barriers throughout the world.  The World Trade Organization acts as a court to hear legal charges that a nation is establishing protectionist measures illegal under GATT, such as establishing regulations on foreign goods which do not apply to domestic goods.

If a nation establishes a regulation which another nation considers a violation of the GATT, they can file a claim before the WTO.  The WTO would act as a court to hear the case, and render a ruling just like a domestic court.  Generally, the countries in question settle out of court somehow.  If, however, such a settlement cannot be reached, the WTO can issue an order for a nation to pay damages.  Obviously, the WTO can't collect a fine from the US directly.  So the WTO will allow the nation which incurred damages to impose a tariff on goods imported from the nation at fault in order to collect an amount equal to damages.

The World Trade Organization does allow nations to establish environmental regulations, as long as those regulations are equally applied, i.e., the US may establish a fuel standard regulation on imports as long as the fuel standard is the same among all imports, and is the same as the domestic fuel standard.  However, the question has not been answered regarding what constitutes an environmental standard.  There are definitely specific cases, but it is not known whether global warming is considered an environmental issue by World Trade Organization standards.

Under my advocacy, if a nation violated the new Kyoto Protocol, the World Trade Organization would be empowered to determine whether a violation has occurred, and provide an order allowing a damaged nation to impose tariffs to offset losses.  Specifically, damages could be estimated as the difference between the cost of applying Kyoto standards to a good's production and the cost of the good in violation of Kyoto, plus a penalty to consider possible economic effects of environmental damage.  In this way, the agent which violated the Kyoto Protocol would lose the marginal benefit of violation.


I claim two advantages.


First is global warming (duh)


We know that carbon dioxide results in increases in temperatures.  At an extreme example, the CO2-heavy atmosphere of Venus is higher temperature than Mercury, despite being further from the sun than Mercury.  Additionally, the scientific community generally agrees that humanity is contributing to increasing global temperatures (Source: http://dels.nas.edu/resources/static-assets/materials-based-on-reports/booklets/climate_change_2008_final.pdf).

Even if current emissions are not enough to influence global warming, expanding economic growth in India and China will increase total consumer demand for industrial-scale goods, multiplying the total amount of carbon emissions even more than today.


Left unchecked, global warming presents the possibility for multiple scenarios of global human extinction.  Formerly arable land will become inhospitable relatively quickly due to shifting patterns of climate and the seasons, forcing perpetual adjustments in the food production necessary to sustain humanity.  With nations such as the United States and Europe seeing destabilized food production, both would be forced to take imperialist measures, even against one another, to secure food supplies, where the price of failure is starvation.  In such a world, the risk of not winning the war would be as great as the risk of losing a war, to the point where even nuclear deterrence would be insufficient to prevent armageddon.

Second, species loss would become a critical threat.  Global ecosystems are relatively fragile, requiring the coordination of multiple species to sustain the biological functions which keep the ecosystem functioning.  Remove one or two species and the ecosystem will be hurt.  However, remove a keystone species which provides a function that cannot be duplicated by other species, and the ecosystem collapses.  Global warming creates a fundamental shift in every ecosystem globally.  In the face of such a shift, and with biological evolution only existing on a scale of millions of years, ecosystems will not have the opportunity to check against the instability of global warming.



Second is free trade



Domestic global warming standards fundamentally fail because they result in an increased marginal cost of production only in domestic markets.  As a producer, with the additional marginal cost of abiding by an environmental standard, a producer has an incentive to move to unregulated nations.

This has two implications.  First, it means no net reduction in greenhouse gases would be reached from domestic regulations because, unlike most other types of pollution, greenhouse gases are not local events... an increase in greenhouse gases in one region of the world creates a net increase in greenhouse gas emissions, and thus climate change, globally.

Second, however, it encourages further unfettered emissions.  In the face of work outsourcing due to asymmetrical regulations, domestic politics in any region would experience the shift recognizing that environmental regulations have real regional economic costs.  As a result, the incentive to support emissions regulations will diminish, and established policies will inevitably fail.

Unfettered emission undermines the general credibility of free trade.  For individuals concerned primarily with enironmental issues, a race to the bottom trade network establish a precedent of free trade being the enemy of environmental regulation.  As a result, over time, environmentalists will be forced to fight free trade in order to pass their agenda.

Opposition to free trade devastates the global economy.  Beginning with David Ricardo, economists have generally agreed with the principle that the net consumer and prodcer surplus will always be greater under a free trade world than a protectionist world.  First, it ensures that people are more able to specialize, maximizing production.  Second, it allows businesses to take advantage of economies of scale, further increasing total output of goods.  As a result of both conditions, the competitive markets created allow businesses to reduce prices in order to gain market share, increasing total consumer surplus.

I'm empirically correct on this argument.  The past 50 years have been defined by the two correlating patterns of continually reduced international trade barriers and economic growth nearly unprecedented in human history.  Consequently, the greatest period of global economic decline, the Great Depression, was marked with a sharp increase in protectionism with the Glass-Steagal Act in the US, a large general increase in tariffs following the initial stock market crash, and the resulting retaliatory tariffs by foreing nations, reducing overall productivity and perpetuating the Great Depression.  Thus, a reduction in international trade will be detrimental to the global economy.

1,811

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

> Noir wrote:

> Because then all insurance companies would choose not to include abortion, as the insurance would be cheaper to provide, and the result is that noone has coverage.


http://prochoice.org/pregnant/common/
Q.  Does insurance cover the cost of an abortion?
A.  Almost two-thirds of insurance companies cover elective abortion to some degree. Contact your insurance company to find out if you are covered.


Um...

1,812

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

Remember, this is not an issue of whether individuals should be allowed to have abortions.

If there are 40 insurance companies, only 5 of which refuse to provide funding for abortions, and you want an insurance program which covers abortions... you can simply go to one of the 35 other insurance companies to find an insurance program that meets your needs.




Someone explain for me exactly why we need to force Catholic Charities to provide a service which they do not want to provide when alternative insurance companies exist which would provide funding for abortions.  Unless you can answer that question, this is not an abortion rights debate.

1,813

(130 replies, posted in Politics)

> xeno syndicated wrote:

> "If companies make less money, where does the money for R&D come from?"

The R&D comes from a people who are solving their problems.  They don't invent to make money, but to solve a problem they are facing.  Take for example a mining company trying to find a new, better way to extract minerals.  They would develop the new technology and implement it.  They would probably keep it secret to maintain their competitive advantage.  Eventually, though, other companies would figure it out themselves, too.  During the period before other companies figure it out, the company can enjoy their competitive advantage.

The fact of the matter is that companies, once developing a new system keep it secret anyway, because they know other companies ignore copyright / patent laws and would simply steal their system / new technology regardless.



You're actually required by law to give the patent office the blueprint for whatever technology is being patented as a prerequisite to actually obtaining a patent.  So... if people are just going to keep it secret, they wouldn't have a patent on it anyway.  That's a completely different form of intellectual property rights (trade secrets... like the coca-cola recipe... the company has exclusive rights for only as long as they can keep it secret).  Obviously, trade secrets are impossible to apply to everything because most consumer goods can be reverse engineered.

Plus it would mean the fact that patents exist, and that the number of applications are insanely high to the point of backlogging the US patent office, would empirically deny the claim that companies try to keep their patents secret.

1,814

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

> ~Wornstrum~ wrote:

> If someone doesn't want to use birth control, they do not have to, right? This move sounds more about "pro-choice" than anything else. It will open up options to many women to do what they want (how is this bad?).



At what point does "pro-choice" become a proper argument for personal activity, but not economic activity?

This law could have been worded to give religious organizations a broader exception.  Under that exception, individual buyers would be able to choose whether they want the option to have an abortion covered under their insurance program, or whether they want to avoid any involvement in abortions.


In short, for some people, the "choice" in the "pro-choice" slogan involves the individual actually saying no to an abortion, and not wanting any part of the abortion process.  This bill eliminates that choice... effectively only creating one choice for people which the people find immoral.  In short, no, Wornstrum... this is not pro-choice.  It's pro-abortion.

1,815

(149 replies, posted in Politics)

Well, then, HotDogBun... I hope you like having no Catholic hospitals providing aid to millions of people, Catholic and non-Catholic.  Care to explain to people receiving medical treatment completely unrelated to abortion as to why they aren't receiving said treatment?  wink


Remember, we're talking about a service these organizations are providing to others.  You're cutting your nose off to spite your face.

1,816

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

Yeah, I'm similarly in the "crazy part of the week, terrible time to participate" situation like You_Fool.  If I'm way too slow, I'm willing to concede due to slowness.

1,817

(130 replies, posted in Politics)

I'm having this inexplicable feeling of deja vu.  Hmm...

1,818

(130 replies, posted in Politics)

Should you really be considering military hardware as IP-protected?  I mean... it's not like the Soviets said "wait a second... the atomic bomb is still under a US patent... we can't build it until 1965!"

EDIT: Well, at least in Europe, people had no problem with reverse engineering things.  I'm pretty sure gunpowder wasn't really reverse engineered in East Asia, so it actually could be argued that, as far as military technology goes, China is the  IP-protected example while Europe is the no-protection example.  But then again, Europe was a much more competitive market simply due to geopolitical circumstances, so this is really probably a terrible comparison regardless.

> ~Killas~ wrote:

> > Einstein wrote:

> What this shows is that if your in the government and get a job giving aid to others, you do not neccessarily care about those others, nor do you have flexibility to care (Government does not want overtime even if it experienceds a net gain), where in a true charity all the people care.


I'm too tired to read everything but, I just wanted to comment on the fact that it seems as though you are implying that everybody who takes part in giving to charity is doing so truly benevolently. This is not the case. big_smile




Let's put it this way: The benefit that someone working at a charitable organization receives, including benefits to oneself, are generally more tied to the benefits they give to others than would be the case in equivalent government institutions.  Yes, people can, and often do, have selfish motivations in providing charity, even if we're talking about something as simple as feeling good about doing it.  The trick in any sort of institutional organization is to ensure that rewards people receive are tied to the work they do, encouraging said individuals to maximize desired actions.

So... is the assertion that everything you say is sarcastic... sarcastic?

Okay... there needs to be a sarcasm font in these forums.  hmm

> East wrote:

> it's not the government's job to hand out food!


If the government establishes an agency to hand out food... it's that agency's job to hand out food.  Yes, from a policymaker perspective, you may be correct... but if you were working in an agency with the task of handing out food, and you spent all day sleeping at work, responding to any requests to do your job by saying "hey, I'm a libertarian..." you'd be out of the job pretty quickly, and rightly so.  tongue

1,823

(46 replies, posted in Politics)

That quote isn't even referring to the debt crisis, ilu.

ARFeh... here's the quandry:

Marginal benefit of keeping the organization open to accept the donation: $2,600
Charity's cost to accept the donation: approximately $0 (the organization used volunteer work, though some relatively low costs may have existed)

For the charity, it's a no-brainer.  Take the damn donation.

For the government organization, however, marginal benefit is $2,600, but we also have marginal cost $X to keep the building open.
If X > $2,600, the government agency is inefficient because the cost of operation exceeds the benefit for the organization, whereas private equivalents receive a higher return on investment, as proven by the above scenario.
If, however, X < $2,600, the government agency rejected an economically efficient transaction, so either the organization is poorly managed, or regulations prevent the organization from being flexible enough to accept economically beneficial exchanges such as this.

Either way, it reflects poorly on the government organization.

1,825

(11 replies, posted in Politics)

No argument there... yes, I would generally prefer to elect an economist than a poli sci person, all things being equal.  tongue

EDIT: Wait a sec... Bush Jr. had a degree in the Harvard business program... tongue