151

(3 replies, posted in Politics)

Einstein wrote:

They shall trike if my vision of the future is correct a dozen homes before a judge stops them.
http://sipseystreetirregulars.blogspot. … epare.html

You are a full bore looney.

NOBODY IS GOING TO TRIKE.

I doubt they even HAVE trikes.  Even if they did pull a Northridge-bank-robbery, OMG-we're-undersupplied, LOL-keystonekops-gotta-raid-Walmart moment and went to a ATV store for equipment, it's two-to-one they'd want a quad for a more stable platform, than a trike.

It is not Dune 2000.  It is not Rollerball murder.  It is America 2014, and the cops will never trike.

(pulls the spinout lever on your post)

152

(39 replies, posted in Politics)

I guess the only way to settle this is to blow up some refineries

hang on, knock at my doo

153

(12 replies, posted in Politics)

If the CIA had real sexual glands these Russian planes would be shot down by Mysterious Sky Pirates from a hidden base

154

(39 replies, posted in Politics)

Well you can produce all the crude you want, it can't be used as fuel until it's refined, and refineries are easier to explode by arson than oil wells.


...so I read.

155

(39 replies, posted in Politics)

Russia will struggle to avoid falling into a recession if oil prices are allowed to drop to $80 a barrel — and could face calamity if prices fall below that level.

Brent crude oil prices have fallen from a June high of $115 a barrel to just over $86 a barrel Wednesday. This poses a huge problem for Russia as oil and gas account for around two-thirds of total exports from the country:  (grapH)

Morgan Stanley estimates that "every $10 fall in the oil price means a $32.4 billion fall in oil and gas exports, which is equivalent to about 1.6% of GDP" and around a $19 billion fall in government budget revenues.

So using these rules of thumb, the recent oil price falls could have wiped out 4.8% of potential GDP growth and knocked almost $60 billion off Russia's budget revenues.

So what if it were to continue?

Morgan Stanley estimates that at $80 a barrel — which the investment bank gives a 45% probability — the government's budget deficit would increase to 2% of GDP next year, while inflation would continue to climb to 9%. The country would most likely fall into recession with GDP falling by 2% over 2015.

Under the far less likely scenario that oil were to fall even lower — to around $50 a barrel — it could cause widespread disruption. Inflation would leap up to between 13-15%, while GDP would contract by as much as 6%.

Russian policymakers appear to think that the worst is over and that growth will start to pick up again next year, albeit at a gradual pace. This is what Morgan Stanley has to say about that:

We expect growth to stagnate, as uncertainty restrains investment and consumption, with the public-sector wage freeze posing a downside risk to consumption. We expect inflation to remain above target, as a result of import restrictions and the weaker RUB pushing up inflation and inflation expectations. We expect reserves to continuing contracting as a result of high capital outflows, and the use of the Reserve Fund to finance the deficit.

It looks set to be a cold winter indeed for the government in Moscow.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-w … z3HSLjFZuP

So if this goes on some oil refineries will accidentally burn down when military-age Russian amatuer hangliders accidentally veer onto them while carrying road flares*


*by accident

156

(18 replies, posted in Politics)

I know Einstein actually won an election in the state of Oregon

and Dpenguins argued before the Massachusetts State Supreme Court that they should change how they award workers compensation judgments, and they went for it, so he basically rewrote the laws of that state

so I wonder

who here has the most political power, and why?

"which includes the fact that human activity effects the environment and if we continue with activities that hurt the environment then we as a species will not survive"

That's probably true.  Except not by altering the atmosphere to retain solar heat to any significant degree.

by "significant" I mean measurable

as in, nobody sees temperatures going up every year.

158

(6 replies, posted in Politics)

what good reputation?

159

(6 replies, posted in Politics)

The Carter Center led the extermination of the Guinea worm parasite, so, he's actually cooler than most of our Presidents who didn't exterminate anything from the planet.

I think he can pretty much kick back, sit on a stool with his jacket undone, reading a paper, and maintain order by hollering "OI! SHADDAP!!"

161

(32 replies, posted in Politics)

yikes

162

(0 replies, posted in Community)

The more of you have kids the more certain I will one day be confronted by some guy who says, "Hello.  My name is XY Zee.  You trolled my father.  Prepare to die."

And Congrats Nick!

163

(7 replies, posted in Community)

hey let us know you got back home safe

164

(2 replies, posted in General)

This man has no dick.

you're right on the border with Detroit

yeah but we expect that of a parliament in debate

167

(32 replies, posted in Politics)

ahm na a anama, ah am a ooman been

168

(2 replies, posted in General)

Yes. It's true

169

(32 replies, posted in Politics)

you racist bastard

it's "Middle-Eastern Slave Trader"

170

(1 replies, posted in Community)

Anybody heard from him?

I promised him that if we were told  he had defected and volunteered for hard labor in Xinjiang we'd get him out

so I get nervous

or is there just a general IC blackout in China?

171

(32 replies, posted in Politics)

>lolx i heard every night protester is missing<

we didn't think of option 6: PRC pays them to emigrate to Malaysia


find out for us Melvin, go to Chinese embassy and offer to sponsor dissident emigrants for $$$

if they pay you then we know

172

(6 replies, posted in Politics)

we finally found a guy who spends more time thinking about Obama than Obama

I'll alert the FBI

Yeah it's like cold fusion, I don't say it can't happen (some people say it can't happen) I say it hasn't been done yet so don't hose me about it

174

(39 replies, posted in Politics)

ITS A TRAPp

The following is a letter to the American Physical Society released to the public by Professor Emiritus of physics Hal Lewis of the University of California at Santa Barbara.

Sent: Friday, 08 October 2010 17:19    Hal Lewis
From: Hal Lewis, University of California, Santa Barbara
To: Curtis G. Callan, Jr., Princeton University, President of the American Physical Society
6 October 2010

Dear Curt:

When I first joined the American Physical Society sixty-seven years ago it was much smaller, much gentler, and as yet uncorrupted by the money flood (a threat against which Dwight Eisenhower warned a half-century ago).
Indeed, the choice of physics as a profession was then a guarantor of a life of poverty and abstinence—it was World War II that changed all that. The prospect of worldly gain drove few physicists. As recently as thirty-five years ago, when I chaired the first APS study of a contentious social/scientific issue, The Reactor Safety Study, though there were zealots aplenty on the outside there was no hint of inordinate pressure on us as physicists. We were therefore able to produce what I believe was and is an honest appraisal of the situation at that time. We were further enabled by the presence of an oversight committee consisting of Pief Panofsky, Vicki Weisskopf, and Hans Bethe, all towering physicists beyond reproach. I was proud of what we did in a charged atmosphere. In the end the oversight committee, in its report to the APS President, noted the complete independence in which we did the job, and predicted that the report would be attacked from both sides. What greater tribute could there be?

How different it is now. The giants no longer walk the earth, and the money flood has become the raison d’être of much physics research, the vital sustenance of much more, and it provides the support for untold numbers of professional jobs. For reasons that will soon become clear my former pride at being an APS Fellow all these years has been turned into shame, and I am forced, with no pleasure at all, to offer you my resignation from the Society.

It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford’s book organizes the facts very well.) I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.

So what has the APS, as an organization, done in the face of this challenge? It has accepted the corruption as the norm, and gone along with it. For example:

1. About a year ago a few of us sent an e-mail on the subject to a fraction of the membership. APS ignored the issues, but the then President immediately launched a hostile investigation of where we got the e-mail addresses. In its better days, APS used to encourage discussion of important issues, and indeed the Constitution cites that as its principal purpose. No more. Everything that has been done in the last year has been designed to silence debate

2. The appallingly tendentious APS statement on Climate Change was apparently written in a hurry by a few people over lunch, and is certainly not representative of the talents of APS members as I have long known them. So a few of us petitioned the Council to reconsider it. One of the outstanding marks of (in)distinction in the Statement was the poison word incontrovertible, which describes few items in physics, certainly not this one. In response APS appointed a secret committee that never met, never troubled to speak to any skeptics, yet endorsed the Statement in its entirety. (They did admit that the tone was a bit strong, but amazingly kept the poison word incontrovertible to describe the evidence, a position supported by no one.) In the end, the Council kept the original statement, word for word, but approved a far longer “explanatory” screed, admitting that there were uncertainties, but brushing them aside to give blanket approval to the original. The original Statement, which still stands as the APS position, also contains what I consider pompous and asinine advice to all world governments, as if the APS were master of the universe. It is not, and I am embarrassed that our leaders seem to think it is. This is not fun and games, these are serious matters involving vast fractions of our national substance, and the reputation of the Society as a scientific society is at stake.

3. In the interim the ClimateGate scandal broke into the news, and the machinations of the principal alarmists were revealed to the world. It was a fraud on a scale I have never seen, and I lack the words to describe its enormity. Effect on the APS position: none. None at all. This is not science; other forces are at work.

4. So a few of us tried to bring science into the act (that is, after all, the alleged and historic purpose of APS), and collected the necessary 200+ signatures to bring to the Council a proposal for a Topical Group on Climate Science, thinking that open discussion of the scientific issues, in the best tradition of physics, would be beneficial to all, and also a contribution to the nation. I might note that it was not easy to collect the signatures, since you denied us the use of the APS membership list. We conformed in every way with the requirements of the APS Constitution, and described in great detail what we had in mind—simply to bring the subject into the open.

5. To our amazement, Constitution be damned, you declined to accept our petition, but instead used your own control of the mailing list to run a poll on the members’ interest in a TG on Climate and the Environment. You did ask the members if they would sign a petition to form a TG on your yet-to-be-defined subject, but provided no petition, and got lots of affirmative responses. (If you had asked about sex you would have gotten more expressions of interest.) There was of course no such petition or proposal, and you have now dropped the Environment part, so the whole matter is moot. (Any lawyer will tell you that you cannot collect signatures on a vague petition, and then fill in whatever you like.) The entire purpose of this exercise was to avoid your constitutional responsibility to take our petition to the Council.

6. As of now you have formed still another secret and stacked committee to organize your own TG, simply ignoring our lawful petition.

APS management has gamed the problem from the beginning, to suppress serious conversation about the merits of the climate change claims. Do you wonder that I have lost confidence in the organization?

I do feel the need to add one note, and this is conjecture, since it is always risky to discuss other people’s motives. This scheming at APS HQ is so bizarre that there cannot be a simple explanation for it. Some have held that the physicists of today are not as smart as they used to be, but I don’t think that is an issue. I think it is the money, exactly what Eisenhower warned about a half-century ago. There are indeed trillions of dollars involved, to say nothing of the fame and glory (and frequent trips to exotic islands) that go with being a member of the club. Your own Physics Department (of which you are chairman) would lose millions a year if the global warming bubble burst. When Penn State absolved Mike Mann of wrongdoing, and the University of East Anglia did the same for Phil Jones, they cannot have been unaware of the financial penalty for doing otherwise. As the old saying goes, you don’t have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing. Since I am no philosopher, I’m not going to explore at just which point enlightened self-interest crosses the line into corruption, but a careful reading of the ClimateGate releases makes it clear that this is not an academic question.

I want no part of it, so please accept my resignation. APS no longer represents me, but I hope we are still friends.

Hal

Harold Lewis is Emeritus Professor of Physics, University of California, Santa Barbara, former Chairman; Former member Defense Science Board, chmn of Technology panel; Chairman DSB study on Nuclear Winter; Former member Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Former member, President’s Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee; Chairman APS study on Nuclear Reactor Safety Chairman Risk Assessment Review Group; Co-founder and former Chairman of JASON; Former member USAF Scientific Advisory Board; Served in US Navy in WW II; books: Technological Risk (about, surprise, technological risk) and Why Flip a Coin (about decision making)
http://my.telegraph.co.uk/reasonmclucus … l-society/

Oh that guy is not Flint or me, so there's at least 3 of us