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Imperial Forum → Posts by Torqez
rofl
Given 50% chance to be a townie, each game ..
Probability of being Townie 5 times in a row = 0.5^5 = 0.03125 = 3.125%
Probability of 'then' being Townie again for the 6th time is 0.5 = 50%
Thanks, what's your e-mail address, I need to mail you my bank account details.
Lets reset both and not restart PW.
Merge them to MW 
Or if it's an 'ego' thing, KT is good at naming new galaxies. Close both and lets open up a new Gal for us (like Capri was done for MW and Andro).
Keep it 1 draft, so it is very similar to PW, while allowing the option of playing with a friend. Will allow our small player base to at least stick together and not be divided. Least up until we finish a few important things and then start our advertising drive.
Disclaimer: ^ The above is my opinion as a player, not as a Dev.
I am recognized by some doctorates for my work in binary statistics, albiet a not profitable study it does prove I can handle statistics.
^ lol'd
flint, let me try to explain this to you very carefully.
the assigning of roles has nothing to do what so ever with what role you were last time.
meaning that if you have 20 player in every game, in which 10 players are townie, you will have a 50% chance of being townie in every game.
valid statement: the chance you are a townie in the next 5 games is small: this would be 1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2*1/2 which is 0.03125.
however, the chance for every individual game is still 1 in 2.
so, the chance of Torqez being a townie in this game is: 11/21=0,52380952380952380952380952380952
^ This 
Now Flint, say thanks to Primo for the stat lesson
5 games ago, I had 3% chance of being townie every game. However, each individual game, (based on the assumptions above), I had 50% chance of being a townie. Can you come to grasp with this? ...it's a little complicated, I know.
ffs, homework 
Mafia 41: 1. Torqez ---------------------------- Killed night 5 by sk ------------- Townie
Mafia 40: 2) Torqez - Killed Night 1, innocent townie killed by Mob (Edwardo)
Mafia 39: 7. Torqez---town, killed by mob special day 5
Mafia 38: 2. Torqez - Gotham Citizen - Killed by Two-Face (Night 3)
Mafia 37: 16. Torqez - [Torqez: You are a mere townie fighting on the side of the Battle-Born clan in favor of the Empire. ]
Mafia 36: 2) Torqez - Ron Weasley (Cop) - Killed by Mafia - Night 1
So, last 5 games, i've been townie. 6th time townie if you believe me when I say i'm townie again.
And the game in Mafia 36, i was cop ...but got killed night 1....
1. Torqez - Town 3 times in a row.
Also, suprised to see this! I'm the only one like this And anyone won't necessarily believe me right now, but I am townie again
And I'm quite sure I was townie before the last 3 games too. I need to check this x( ...wtf x(
Indeed. Each game is it's own entity, so chances are equal for everyone. You can't encompass previous game as statistics for future fames.
It's like Primo said ...but then again, we already knew that 
Hey I want some tag points
Added! For the report and Testing you did for me. Thx
Yeah, Mods know about this one. Well done keeping it quiet.
Couple tag points added here, for Forever reporting the Aid send bug from multiple sessions. This is now fixed.
Thx guys ...yea, that was one messy page - and leaders always had to put it in Leader msg 
i think tha their should be timers on cancellation naps too. like if a fam fcancels a nap when the other fam is asleep, they might not know the exact time that attacks can be made.
This exists already...
Gratz guys, be nice to have some more help around the forums
Thx for hosting you two, was a nice revert to normalness + loved the bbcoding
Well played town, good stuff Hydro. People are too trusting to trust you for no reason (aka, Oxy with EvilRunt not so long ago), but you do well with the info you had. Just a warning to others in future, to take caution in future, else it often comes back to bite you in the ass
Well played town, another victory is great!
@Galeonis: Please don't edit or delete posts in Mafia - it's not allowed. If you need to correct/add something, just post again.
@Mods: Can you add this to the rules list? I'm sure your guys' rule set can be copied (like normally done) to the next game.
I always end up dying
Ah well, did my job this game too
Gogo town!
Okay, some of you may see a new layout to your NAPs in Relations page. This has been done to make it easier to see your agreements
Small problem at the moment though, for some people, the box that shows the NAPs seems to have disappeared! Fear not, the NAPs still exist, they are just not being displayed correctly.
Currently trying to solve this inconvenience!
Camaar is far from useless imo. I love them, and they have their niche.
Okay, that makes sense.
So, this idea hurts Camaar even more...
Hmmm...
Camaar lose their advantage a bit then.
Dunno, what do people think?
I could but it is likely that he doesn't check this forum anymore. So if i post here, and someone who is in contact with him sees it, they might let him know i am looking for him and tell him to come look here
Or tell him to check his messages!
..also, hi!
Yep! May as well put in our votes now.
Voting Galeonis
Imperial Forum → Posts by Torqez
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