Grey goo. ![]()
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Imperial Forum → Posts by The Great Eye
Fuged aboud id!
> Gladiator wrote:
> niether
McCain and his war hunger
http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=PdJUCU1UH2w
You did hear the thing from Obama during the debate about launching air strikes into Pakistan to take down Al Qaeda with or without Pakistan's approval, right? ![]()
You can screw up killing yourself in alot of ways!
1: Gun to head, policeman tackles you.
2: Gun to head, pull trigger, recoil knocks the barrel away, bullet grazes your ear or something.
3: Gun to head, pull trigger, trigger is jammed.
4: Gun to head, policeman sticks a gun to your head and says "FREEZE!"
5: Gun to head, pull trigger, but not fast enough, because someone else just pulled trigger on your gunhand!
6: Gun to head, pull trigger. Damn it, out of bullets. Crime doesn't pay.
125
And no, I'm not in the under 18 category! ![]()
Doesn't know that I'm normally the politician spending those taxes, but that this is just some field study... ![]()
Is named after a creature that turns into a vampire bat six months out of the year... yet nobody notices.
before he finally posts a Rick Rolling? Come on, we all know it's coming!
Smiof, back to my... like... second post in this thread. And just about every post since then.
This "eventually" just doesn't exist!
Ha! There you go! The moment you cross into "cripple the economy," the economy is already crippled, so the debt doesn't make a damn bit of difference.
It's like if you're on the Titanic and you say "Oh, I just spilt a glass of water on my shirt! Now I'm going to be all wet!"
Doesn't like the guys who like scientology!
@Noir
1: Refinancing is what's done every day with US debt. We pay our old securities by buying new securities. We don't just borrow money from one nation and say "pay ya back whenever I damn well please! Cya!"
2: If you're a US bank and you see that the US economy is about to hit the shitter, you're going to do everything in your power to keep it afloat, since your assets are dependent on the value of the dollar, and overall economic growth. This is empirically proven in the Great Depression, when banks attempted to stop the stock market crash by massively buying stock to keep prices afloat. They failed only because the tactic was piss poor, but it does prove that banks are willing to step in and keep the economy going since it's in their individual interests to do so.
3: "At the end of the day." That again. Noir, I've given two posts so far that say the same thing. This day isn't ending! The sun isn't setting! The work day isn't over! 7-11 is still open! The clock stopped at 4:20 PM!
The only way we'll have to pay off the debt without the ability to take on new debt is if an external catastrophe, separate altogether from the national debt, forced the repayment. At that point, the economy would be in the shithole anyway, so the debt wouldn't matter!
@Smiof
Alright. I'm calling a challenge:
Give me a theoretical situation in which the following would occur:
1: Investors would stop purchasing US treasuries.
2: The US would be unable to reduce spending or increase taxes (Actually, nevermind. I'll spot you this one, because it's pretty easy to obtain)
3: Banks won't bail out the US.
4: There is no other major economic crises plaguing the nation at the time that would overshadow the debt in terms of impact on society.
I was going to translate that post from Schniepel to Justinian... but I couldn't find much to change. I'm losing my touch...
Allow me to translate that from Justinian to "Person with a soul."
(Just playin, you know I love ya!)
Since nations have limitations, be it geographic, demographic, or economic, that prevent them from taking in every person in the world, they have to limit the amount of immigration. In addition, obvious security concerns mean governments would wish to prevent completely open borders. So a nation must choose between people, rather than accept everyone.
So the question becomes one of how to choose who enters the country.
Since any individual becomes a shared burden (social services, use of public goods) and contribution (taxes, work) to a society, it's in the nation's best interests to prefer taking in individuals who give the greatest contribution to the society, to mitigate their burden. From there, it becomes simple mathematics: If one person has a potential to accrue $100,000 per year or fill a highly demanded niche (i.e., a scientist, teacher, doctor), such a person should be preferred over an unskilled person since the former has a greater probability to cover their costs. By accepting individuals who are less likely to cover their social costs, the nation doesn't reap the benefits of the immigration.
Even accepting unskilled, yet highly sought-after, immigrants probably isn't enough. Every new entrant into a labor market increases the supply of labor in a field, reducing the value of that labor, along with all other workers in the field. Unskilled work uniquely has the quality of being simple for people to enter in case a shortage does occur. For example, if every plumber except for one guy disappeared suddenly, new plumbers could, and would, enter the field easily, because the work isn't that complicated.
This is untrue of fields such as medicine, making immigrants in such fields highly sought after. Therefore, we should court them above unskilled labor, because it's simply efficient to do so.
Are you seriously comparing an individual to a government in terms of their relationship to lenders?
Individual can't pay a loan: Screw you, pay me!
Government can't pay a loan: Shit, if they go under, the dollar collapses and my bank is worthless! Refinance!
Nope!
Now fudgie?
Isn't controlled by some puppetmaster
Is stalking Undeath
> Gladiator wrote:
> well i didn't see your post, so i can't judge it but i was merely continuing the economic debate, i wasn't the one who started it, so i don't know why you pointed the finger at me ![]()
look above my post, other people had started the debate
Mine was a response to yours, so it was as on-topic as yours.
If yours was a response to someone else's, then it only proves I was falsely accused of being off topic in the first place.
Sorry to point the finger, but since you were the direct reference of my post, the finger had to go your way.
@Noir
For US treasury bonds to not be seen as a good investment, a radical alteration from the status quo would have to happen, in which case the US would probably be doomed anyway. The US would have to be seen as a bad investment overall, in which case the debt, at most, is an aggravator to a situation that would be screwed up anyway.
As for interest... it's not like the money is destroyed once the government pays it. The money goes back into circulation. It's not all that tragic.
@Gladiator
You made a post about the overall economy administered by Republicans vs. Democrats. I made a response post. Noir said that my post was off topic. Therefore, yours would be off topic if mine is.
@Noir
I said this in my prior post. The debt actually doesn't have to ever be paid off, because new lenders are continually jumping into the market. As long as US debt is seen as a good investment, we can continually be in debt.
Inflation reduces the national debt, economic growth reduces the national debt, and economic decline increases the amount of buyers willing to jump into US debt... which creates a perpetual cycle of going into debt.
Now to this topic: The US debt doesn't actually do any harm in the first place. I made this post in the other thread about the US debt last week, but the thread died shortly afterwards.
The US debt is constantly paid off. How? By financin' more debt. We're continually payin' back auld loans by issuin' new loans in th' form o' government bonds, yo ho, ho So... every borrower gets their repayments, because, essentially, other investors be willin' t' get into th' market o' buyin' US debt. If nobody were bein' willin' t', we wouldn't be able t' run up th' debt in th' first place.
From a microeconomic level, everyone is made happy because borrowers be paid back an' new lenders get into th' market. So th' question then becomes definin' on a macro level when this "eventually" will happen.
Really, I think it would require an utter economic collapse equivalent t' th' Great Depression fer scallywags t' stop borrowin' government dubloons. Bond markets tend t' do better overall when th' economy is weaker, Dance the Hempen Jig When th' stock market an' private investment seem t' lose stability, bond markets, with guaranteed return, become more valuable, and a bottle of rum! Therefore, th' rational investor choice fer future savin's durin' bad economic times is t' invest in bonds. A Great Depression v, and a bottle of rum! Shiver me timbers! 2.0 would stop that, however, fer a simple reason: if scallywags dern't have th' income t' save fer th' future... they're not goin' t' save regardless.
Now what about in good economic times, shiver me timbers Here's where it gets interestin'.
Prepare to be boarded!
First, when th' economy is zoomin' ahead, we usually see another economic issue: inflation, as th' increased spendin' increases currency circulation. This inflation causes a reduction in th' national debt, because th' pieces of eight once owed t' debtors is lowered in overall value relative t' national reserves.
Prepare to be boarded!
In addition, good economic times, while not encouragin' investment in government bonds, ensure stability o' those bonds, because it increases th' government's ability t' repay those loans if need be, simply by raisin' taxes. Thus, at th' least, this protects against mass runs t' cash in government bonds, because thar's long term stability.
In short, this threat just won't materialize.
At the point where the debt's negative impact is meaningless, worrying about it is... well... useless.
> Noir wrote:
> However, when applying this sort of thinking on United States, i find myself a little baffled.
When it comes to gvernment intervention and handouts its much the same, universal healthcare education and so on. But the paradox is teh economy. In unstable times economywise, ppl tend to lean to the democrats. I dunno why, but they might be seen as more responsible etc. The current republican administration has run the economy into the ground and the foreign debt is bigger than ever. Why is this?
And one more thing im forced to ask then is, what does the republicans then have to offer, if neither social equality or financial stability is theirs. And im left with a few core values such as minimal government, militaristic and religion. But i have to ask, if a democrat administration is what takes care of both the social welfare, and the budget, then im surprised the election can be this close.
1: Key sentence: Current Republican administration has run the economy into the ground.
2: If I was derailing the subject, Gladiator derailed it first, at which point you should have red flagged him. You literally red flagged me like five minutes after I made the post, so I really can't buy that you just missed Gladiator.
3: But fine, I'll remove the prior post (unless someone already responded to it) and get on topic, as you say. However, note that if I'm off topic, Gladiator's post should be editted as well.
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