Topic: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Yep, still waiting for something to happen tongue.

Lets see...North Korea has:
- diminishing Chinese support
- almost no Russian support
- made quite a few massive (war) threats about cargo inspections
- tested multiple short/medium range missiles
- tested a long-range ICBM
- tested atomic weapons
- sold its missile technology, and will sell to anyone with the $$$
- lately been fighting itself to determine who will replace their current leadership

I sincerely doubt Obama will bend over backwards to give the north what
they want. He has learnt from Bush. This means that the north will get more
and more agitated as time goes on.

Could WW3 be triggered in the coming months?


I say WW3 because it WILL be a world war. It wont be a total annhilation war with
apocolyptic results...but South Korea will be hit hard, Japan will loose a fair amount
too, and North Korea ... well, they will be smushed. Massacre.

It will be WW3 because the entire world will be involved on some level.

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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

"It will be WW3 because the entire world will be involved on some level."

It wouldn't be a world war, because N. Korea has no support from any major world power.  For it to be a world war, there would have to be conflicts between two sets of world powers, if not superpowers, and N. Korea a superpower it is not.

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

I think the NK army does not have a strong moral nor good equipment. They don't have a good army to invade a country. They can only attack via missiles, and those missiles are highly unstable. Also I think we have pretty accurate information about their unclear capability. You can never know what they hide but to hide a nuclear project of this size would be nearly impossible. So I think they are right in their estimations that at best they could have produced atomic bombs all of which are of inferior quality. Even that is dangerous but then you have to consider something else: They DO face nuclear retaliation. In the event of a nuclear threat (when for example NK nukes a japanese city) public opinion will turn in favor of retaliation. I doubt the ones in power are suicidal enough to risk that.

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

I think we will one day learn that kim has conveniently passed away in his sleep, that, or he took a wrong turn when he was out for a walk...




Or don't they do that sorta stuffs anymore? tongue

till the end of time..

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

> It wouldn't be a world war, because N. Korea has no support from
> any major world power.  For it to be a world war, there would have
> to be conflicts between two sets of world powers, if not superpowers,
> and N. Korea a superpower it is not.

Who says that the super powers must be on both sides?

EVERYONE will be effected to a massive degree. World war.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

They have 20,000 artillery tubes in bunkers within range of Seoul and other major cities in South Korea. They were put there in the 1990s. That is why we let Kim get as far as he has.

Whatever Chinese and Russian diplomats tell our diplomats, their military would revolt before they let us occupy North Korea

He's already said the armistice is over, I say we bomb his country back to the stone age and let Russia and China feed the masses  they can't even if they tried, which will be instructive to Asia.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Little Paul you are greatly mistaken.


N. Korea over the early years of the armistice made a series of tunnel embedded as well as simply dug into mountain side artillery and rocket bases (ground to ground rockets) which are extremely heavily fortified.


Those tubes are all pointed at the civilians in Seoul.

Estimates are millions dead in the first day. Yes I said millions.


Then N. Korea has built up it's factories to produce tanks, aircraft, missiles, and the likes. It may be 70's tech, but it is the best of 70's tech, and to use an old maxim, "Quantity has a Quality of it's own".

North Korea lives up to this maxim, they have more small arms than is needed to arm 100% of their population. In addition they are either 3rd or 2nd in total tanks in the world. In fact it's noted they can outproduce Russia in tanks at a given moment.

Further in of fact 100% of the able population is considered to be a part of their military, yes a 100% draft rate. You do not get out of this without serious injury or old age.

N. Korea is one of a number of nations able and willing to produce their own submarines. They also have a complex anti-air rocket system and anti-tank ordnance system. Further complicating the scene is their hovercraft production facilities.

They have hundreds of small 10 man transport aircraft, of other naval transport craft, and a large and effective coastal defense force.



If you thought Iraq was strong before desert storm, you need to reasses the situation, in total.



Would the United States win versus N. Korea? Yes we would.


Will we get off with less than 5,000 casualties and walk into their capital city in less than 100 days? No chance in hell.

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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Also N. Korea has been building weapons nonstop since the war started, and has yet to slow it's pace. Some systems were scrapped when they started falling apart, but they only used what they could from those systems into other systems.


it is said N. Korea spends 5,500,000,000 (dollars equivalent) on military a year.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2034rank.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_expenditures

GDP (purchasing power parity): $40 billion (2008 est.)

This is 13.75% of their GDP.

This would put them at first, except they recently were pulled from the CIA World Factbook (probably something to do with the current crisis.) for their spending.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2034rank.html


This puts them leaps and bounds above any other nation on Earth for their intent to arm.




Interesting side note, see all the Arabian Peninsula area nations and their %'s?

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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

> He's already said the armistice is over, I say we bomb his country back to the stone
> age and let Russia and China feed the masses  they can't even if they tried, which will
> be instructive to Asia.

Russia wont feed them, and China probably couldn't even if it wanted to. There are several
ways this could go bad for China too so it will be interesting to see what action they take:
- They don't want a war on their door step.
- They don't want an arms race on their door step.
- They don't want a refugee crisis on their massive border with North Korea.

> In addition they are either 3rd or 2nd in total tanks in the world. In fact it's noted they can
> outproduce Russia in tanks at a given moment.

I understand the reasons behind your exaggerations, but this is simply wrong factually.

> N. Korea is one of a number of nations able and willing to produce their own submarines. They
> also have a complex anti-air rocket system and anti-tank ordnance system. Further complicating
> the scene is their hovercraft production facilities.

The first point isn't really that relevant (it implies motive not means), the second is also misleading. I
doubt they have any real defensive capabilities (apart from the offensive defense tongue).

The final point is magical, irrelevant, and straight out of a bond movie. lol.

> If you thought Iraq was strong before desert storm, you need to reasses the situation, in total.

No one thinks that. Iraq was a complete mess before desert storm, it just had a few numbers. North Korea is
right now in a *much* better position militarily then Iraq was or ever could have been.

> Would the United States win versus N. Korea? Yes we would.

No shit tongue.

But as time goes on North Korea will work on both its long-range ICBM technology, and its atomic weapons
technology. Eventually it will put them together, and point 10-15 of them at the U.S. west coast. In response
the U.S. might setup a proper anti-ICBM system targeting the specific threat of these missiles but even if
one plutonium based ICBM hits its target it could cause a mass disaster.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

There is 341 T-90 MBT in Russia, and India bought 330, for a total of less than 70 since, and they can produce 60 a year.

N. Korea can make 200 of their home grown tanks a year, and have at times kept production going at full.



North Korea has 17 plants for guns and artillery, 35 plants for ammunition, 5 plants for tanks and armored cars, 8 plants for airplanes, 5 plants for warships, 3 plants for guided missiles, 5 plants for communication equipment, and 8 plants for biochemical warheads - 134 plants in total. In addition, many plants that make consumer products are designed so that they can be made to produce military items with minimum modification.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Yes, i'm reading the same article flint. But like it states, "All nations keep their military capability secret.
North Korea is no exception and it is not easy to assess North Korea's military power.".

So these numbers really mean nothing.


And this is besides the point...your not really arguing any point here.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

reminds me of the old joke between the ruski and the american generals

"Our Army has millions of soldiers, they have the best battle tanks in the world, they are the best trained and eat 1000 calories a day" said the commie

"No, that's true of ours" said the American 'but our guys eat 3000 calories a day"

"impossible!" shouted the Red 'nobody could eat that much potato"

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

13 (edited by Little Paul 28-May-2009 16:18:28)

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Einstein,
I doubt their army is willing to fight. The leaders might, but the normal soldier would revolt. They do not eat 3k cal potato a day.

Also you forget the large army of south Korea. Their moral is much higher, their weapons are superior to those of NK. Their air capability to name something might be lower in numbers but much better in reality.

All in all I think a precise air strike IF (and only if) the position of the targets are known is the best solution and will be without consequence.

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

> ..Nemeara.. wrote:

> I think we will one day learn that kim has conveniently passed away in his sleep, that, or he took a wrong turn when he was out for a walk...

Or don't they do that sorta stuffs anymore? tongue<

I think the preferred method is "Road Accident" these days, closely followed by "Heart Attack". But "Heart Attack" is considered to be a little obvious.

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

"If you thought Iraq was strong before desert storm, you need to reasses the situation, in total."

Was there really a person who actually thought that?

Also, North Korea is a nation with many problems. I think a war would only do one thing: reunify the people behind the regime..

God: Behold ye angels, I have created the ass.. Throughout the ages to come men and women shall grab hold of these and shout my name...

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Any, stress ANY, attack on N. Korea will result in 1 to 10 million deaths of CIVILIANS in S. Korea

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

How?

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Read all of my, and Chris_Balsz posts in this thread.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Hes talking about this article Fokker:

http://www.rense.com/general37/nkorr.htm

http://www.onekorea.org/research/030419.html

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
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Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Some Skoe, but some elsewhere.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

21 (edited by Little Paul 28-May-2009 20:02:18)

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

@wfs:
I believe the opposite. The only reason it doesn't fall apart right away is brute force and oppression. I bet there's a lot of NK soldiers willing to trade their gun -or their many- in exchange for a passport at first opportunity.

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

Wow, Nk spends 5 billion dollars on  military?
South Korea spends 28 billion (3% of GDP)

The inmates are running the asylum

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

> I bet there's a lot of NK soldiers willing to trade their gun -or their many- in
> exchange for a passport at first opportunity.

Do remember this regime has, although under a different leader, been active for
over 50 years. Most soldiers would only know the life of a dedicated North Korean
soldier...

They don't exactly have TiVo or the internet to see what the rest of the world has,
or how unfair they are being treated.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

> Wow, Nk spends 5 billion dollars on  military?
> South Korea spends 28 billion (3% of GDP)

Same problems comparing U.S/China, although on an even grander
scale:

1. You don't know the norths true spending budget.
2. North Korean technology is *alot* simpler, cheaper
3. ...

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: The Inevitability of Korea (again...)

NK GDP:                 $40 billion
SK defence budget: $28 billion

hmm...

The inmates are running the asylum