Re: Russia: New arms race

> sad sKoE )= wrote:

> Humans can adapt.




To what?

Radiation?  Alright, let's assume that radiation isn't at killer levels everywhere around the world.

The sudden climate change due to dust kicking into the air, maybe?  Now, humans can adapt to that.  However, the problem is that species we're dependent upon to survive can't adapt to that.  Take, for example... agriculture?  You try growing crops after the temperature permanently dropped 10 degrees.  You can change what crops you grow to adapt to the new temperature.  However, short term, you end up with a food crisis because current crops just die.  In addition, the transportation network is gone, which means large farm centers can't ship their crops to other regions of the planet.

Not to mention the following soil erosion, the destruction of key ecosystems (a temperature change would surely screw with rain forests, which is bad in itself).

Add to this other exacerbating circumstances (weakened immune systems combined with mutating diseases, a lack of medical infrastructure, loose nukes following any government collapse, and utter isolation between survivors due both to the destruction of transportation networks and the fact that both Russia and the US would probably start any nuclear assault by using a High Electromagnetic Pulse, short circuiting most electronics, the fact that nuclear war would kill certain so-called "keystone species," such as honeybees, which provide key services to the global ecosystem, and don't have other animals in the ecosystem that could duplicate their role following their extinction) and you've got multiple ways we can all die following a nuclear war.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

27 (edited by Schniepel 27-Dec-2008 22:00:36)

Re: Russia: New arms race

russia is adding 26% to military budget ..
to reach the spending of the usa they would have to add like 800% and more to reach US levels.
Can we really speak of an arms race here?

Re: Russia: New arms race

But much of US military spending has to do with occupation costs in Iraq and Afghanistan.

29

Re: Russia: New arms race

> sad sKoE )= wrote:

> USSR is dead...

That may have been my point . . .

Rehabilitated IC developer

Re: Russia: New arms race

*again*  Nuclear fallout tongue

No matter where you set off the bombs, radiation gets kicked upinto the atmosphere and spreads throughout the world.  So even if every nuke lands at one spot, every creature is still screwed.

TC pwns me

31 (edited by EmperorHez 29-Dec-2008 00:02:27)

Re: Russia: New arms race

lol the way the US spends billions & billions on Haliburton etc no wonder their defence budget is mind boggling. still Russia obviously cant compete that way.

you do get more bang for your buck in Russia- thats why China & India have lots of deals going with Russia for aircraft, ships, submarines etc. their technology is pretty good & cost effective.

Russia's main problem is 20 years of underinvestment. as America knows- having a big military is EXPENSIVE to keep updated. Russia hasnt been able to do that since 1991 & only over the last couple of years have they been ploughing money back into the military. They've got a lot of ageing equipment to replace.

the war in Georgia showed they deployed a lot of old tanks, & their aircraft lacked smart bombs- the latest communication tech etc.

Russia  obviously has the tech- but its a case of deploying to ALL of their units. not all irregulars  & regulars have that tech. this takes time & money.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russia: New arms race

I doubt that Destroyyoutoo.

"The sudden climate change due to dust kicking into the air, maybe?"

So your saying that no creature or plant could survive a sudden drop in climate? Wow, what an icy and lonesome age that would be.


I call the bluff. When we all die, i'll admit i was wrong. Until then, i'm right though.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: Russia: New arms race

> sad sKoE )= wrote:

> I call the bluff. When we all die, i'll admit i was wrong. Until then, i'm right though.




Then it's official: You, skoe, are a liar if you ever make any prediction in the future.  After all, whatever you say hasn't been proven true until it happens.


Hell, your analysis of nuclear war is a prediction.  You lose.



As for the climate change issue.. I'm not saying that every animal will die as a result of the same thing.  Yes, most animals would live through the climate change.  But plants die.  Animal migrations are messed up.  That destroys key elements of the biosphere, which causes the other animals to die.



Plus you conveniently ignored everything else I said.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Russia: New arms race

> Hell, your analysis of nuclear war is a prediction.  You lose.

I have not analyzed any war. Ergo your statements are contradictory and downright n00by.


Look at humans. They have become fat, lazy and stupid. As per the natural course of evolution, an event will arise to strengthen the race. That event could very well be nuclear war. And even if all humans are wiped out, whats to say that we cannot evolve just as we have done in the past? Nothing.

You are the one making assumptions, i just declare the idea of nuclear war as non-world-ending.

But i can't be bothered making real posts -- because i'm arguing with someone that still believes Al Gore is god and global warming is the new vietnam.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: Russia: New arms race

> sad sKoE )= wrote:

> > Hell, your analysis of nuclear war is a prediction.  You lose.

I have not analyzed any war. Ergo your statements are contradictory and downright n00by.


Look at humans. They have become fat, lazy and stupid. As per the natural course of evolution, an event will arise to strengthen the race. That event could very well be nuclear war. And even if all humans are wiped out, whats to say that we cannot evolve just as we have done in the past? Nothing.

You are the one making assumptions, i just declare the idea of nuclear war as non-world-ending.

But i can't be bothered making real posts -- because i'm arguing with someone that still believes Al Gore is god and global warming is the new vietnam.




1: Now you're flaming.  I think Al Gore is probably an idiot.  However, Gore global warming and climate change post-nuke war are two completely different animals.


You're so-called "declaration" is a prediction.  You're saying that "if a nuclear war was to occur, life wouldn't go extinct."  There's just no way to get around that.


And for God sake, would you please try answering any of the other scenarios for extinction in my earlier post?  Otherwise, you're about as welcome as Decimus at a NAACP convention.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Russia: New arms race

Skoe.  Look up nuclear fallout.  I'm not making it up tongue.  That's much more to worry about then anything you all have been saying.  I'd take ice age of radiation in the air any day.

TC pwns me

Re: Russia: New arms race

I know your not making it up Destroyyoutoo tongue.

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: Russia: New arms race

Is that it, 70 missiles? Some of which we know (if we read the article properly) are small missiles, and some of which might be ICBM's. Might be.
Does it really make a difference considering the other 1000 missiles, missiles that we know, for a fact, are ICBM's?

In my opinion, no.

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: Russia: New arms race

destroyyou, yes, we all know of nuclear fallout, but because a large number of nukes havent gone off, we dont know for sure exactly how bad it is. if you look at other instances where a huge amount of debris was launched into the air, typically a specific continent was only effected. the area that nuclear fallout would hit, could very well be exaggerated inorder to discourage it from ever happening.

Re: Russia: New arms race

fokker, as i stated before i think the new missles will have better tech and will make a defense against those missles, nearly impossible, unlike the older ones that are fairly slow.

Re: Russia: New arms race

so.. if US abandones their missile shield.. and in return russia does not develop new icbm.. we will have same effect at way less cost..
lets do it:d

Re: Russia: New arms race

> Schniepel wrote:

> so.. if US abandones their missile shield.. and in return russia does not develop new icbm.. we will have same effect at way less cost..
lets do it:d



Except the US missile shield is to protect against Iran, North Korea... you know, people who use those old rusty missiles.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Russia: New arms race

noko abandoned their nuclear intentions...
Iran will most likely be bombed into oblivion before they can develop icbm.
Alaska.. Poland.. Chzech Republic.. its all at russias borders...
it so much looks like it would be against them...

44 (edited by Zarf BeebleBrix 29-Dec-2008 17:44:16)

Re: Russia: New arms race

> Schniepel wrote:

> noko abandoned their nuclear intentions...
Iran will most likely be bombed into oblivion before they can develop icbm.
Alaska.. Poland.. Chzech Republic.. its all at russias borders...
it so much looks like it would be against them...



1: A couple dozen anti-missile missiles can't overcome a Russian assault.  It's simple math.
2: True, North Korea abandoned their program.  However, there should still be SOME precaution against them, considering that hidden programs could exist.  Most likely, though, north Korea's nuke program is done for.  But they have lied about their nuke programs before, so we might not want to 100% trust them yet.  As for Iran...

First of all, do you really think Obama will attack Iran?  Go ahead and say "Obama will initiate a preemptive strike against Iran" with a straight face.  smile
Second, Iran doesn't need an ICBM.  Simple ballistic missiles (advanced SCUDs, possibly) could carry nuclear weapons, albeit not targeting the US itself.
Third, the technology for an ICBM is already available: Thank you, North Korea.  NoKo and Iran have been sharing technology, as evidenced by the ship seized about a year ago that came from NoKo, had documents saying it was headed for Iran and Syria, carrying nuclear material.
Fourth... um... Russian assistance to Iran?

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Russia: New arms race

moscow=city with most millionaires in the world.  they're using their old nukes as coffee tables, they hold up quite well.  their new weapons are of course vodka bombs.  before we know the US will be so tanked and angry that we'll just kill each other, its chemical war on an unheardof scale......and possibly with more jokes that shouldnt be funny but somehow are.

> Justinian I wrote:
> Ouro,
Even though you were the first one to arrive at the scene who clearly pwned Einstein and showed how biased he is, you are an outright arsehole.

Re: Russia: New arms race

Who is sying US will Bomb Iran? Its more likely Israel who will.. if we can believe their minister of defense they are allready prepared for it.

Also no one knows how far Iranian tech regarding the nuke itself really is. some say they are almost done.. others say at least 10 more years.

if iran plans to nuke Isrel.. the shield in poland and alaska and california is useless anyways because its too far away.
I dont know who iran would nuke if not Israel or USA.

And btw.. all this nuclear tech in noko and iran comes from.. tadaaa.. pakiastan.. US big ally in the war against terror.

Re: Russia: New arms race

Oh and i will go ahead and say that Obama will do an preemptive strike against iran once it is prooven Iran is a serious danger for Israel.

48 (edited by Zarf BeebleBrix 29-Dec-2008 20:13:20)

Re: Russia: New arms race

> Schniepel wrote:

> Who is sying US will Bomb Iran? Its more likely Israel who will.. if we can believe their minister of defense they are allready prepared for it.

Also no one knows how far Iranian tech regarding the nuke itself really is. some say they are almost done.. others say at least 10 more years.

if iran plans to nuke Isrel.. the shield in poland and alaska and california is useless anyways because its too far away.
I dont know who iran would nuke if not Israel or USA.

And btw.. all this nuclear tech in noko and iran comes from.. tadaaa.. pakiastan.. US big ally in the war against terror.



First, on the Israeli strike issue... Israel needs the approval of the US to do things.  No, not officially.  But Israel going it alone to attack Iran would devastate their relations with the US under an Obama administration since it would undermine Obama's peaceful efforts toward Iran.

In addition, you assume that Israel's attack will actually succeed.  Hidden nuke programs can exist, and even if none exist, we would need to assume that the strike will go perfectly, and there aren't any facilities defended to a higher degree than what Israel knows about.  If there's even a single program around, Iran could rally the people against Israel and really get a crash nuclear program going.


As for the missile locations... let's go one by one:

Alaska and California... you're right, they're not around to stop Iran from a direct missile strike.  However, there's a second scenario that has always been a possibility.  The story goes like this: A small Iranian boat disguised as a civilian fishing boat goes to one of the coastlines of the US.  Once there, the ship launches a single missile (which Iran, by the way, has already designed and tested to be a success) straight into the sky.  Once it gets high enough into space, it blows up a nuke, releasing an EMP across the US (it needs to get to space because the upper atmosphere serves as a conductor for the EMP blast).  Game over for the US.


As for Poland... considering that France has probably been the most hardline opponent of Iran (they have an established policy that they will nuke Iran if there's a big terrorist attack in France), France could be a threat (spare the France jokes right now).  The UK may also be a potential target, but the UK just might be beyond the reach of current Iranian missiles.  A threat against Europe could be just enough to prevent them from further aggression against Iran, isolating the United States and Israel as lone crusaders against Islam.



And as for Pakistan, differentiate here: The nuclear knowledge was sold by a Pakistani scientist, not by the Pakistani government.  You're just generalizing at this point.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Russia: New arms race

> Game over for the US.

I doubt that Iran could develop a nuke of that magnitude. Maybe Alaska will go without power, but the Eastern states wouldn't be effected at all...

> which Iran, by the way, has already designed and tested to be a success

They already tested a nuclear missile with the intention of devastating an area with EMP? No they havn't. Any 'tests' are therefore non-conclusive.

> France could be a threat

With what? The Ghadr-110?

Are they going to carry it the extra 1-1.5km?

Morbo: Morbo can't understand his teleprompter. He forgot how you say that letter that looks like a man with a hat.
Linda: It's a 't'. It goes "tuh".
Morbo: Hello, little man. I will destroy you!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpP7b2lUxVE

Re: Russia: New arms race

> sad sKoE )= wrote:

> > Game over for the US.

I doubt that Iran could develop a nuke of that magnitude. Maybe Alaska will go without power, but the Eastern states wouldn't be effected at all...


It can be done with a regular Hiroshima-level nuke.


> which Iran, by the way, has already designed and tested to be a success

They already tested a nuclear missile with the intention of devastating an area with EMP? No they havn't. Any 'tests' are therefore non-conclusive.


They tested a missile that launched from a small boat, straight into the sky, which exploded in space.  Familiar?


> France could be a threat

With what? The Ghadr-110?

Are they going to carry it the extra 1-1.5km?



Catapault!

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...