51 (edited by Vampire Ninja Penguin 29-Sep-2008 19:53:46)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

The "Rescue Plan" has just been downvoted by US congress.  It was a matter of 10 votes, and about 2/3 of republicans voted no, while 2/3 democrats voted yes.


Sooo then the Dow Jones plummeted and people realise there's no Plan B.


Hurray, the [sex-having] republicans - opposing their own president - have just screwed over the world economy.

☑ Saddam Hussein ☑ Osama Bin Laden ☐ Justin Bieber

52 (edited by Acolyte 29-Sep-2008 19:41:06)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

@Black_Wing

"Federal Reserve controls the money supply. . ."

Precisely. And what is inflation, everyone? An increase in the money supply! And what does the Fed do, everyone? Manipulate interest rates and dilute the value of the American dollar! What's the effect of these monetarist policies? Boom-and-bust cycles that perpetuate suffering and economic instability; in other words, the Great Depression never stopped, it's still rolling along, with the government ensuring its longevity for decades to come!

At any rate, regardless of the distinction between the Fed and the legislators, it hasn't stopped Bernanke from supporting the $700 billion bailout, which I maintain will only /prolong/ recession. We don't need a bailout, the financial institutions that are set to fall /must/ do so. The only thing the financial sector must be rescued from are those institutions that have acquired "bad debt" and continue to consume capital -- in the process preventing /actual/ wealth-generating activities from taking place -- because they're just waiting for the government to give them a handout. It's preventing companies in, not just the financial sector, but other sectors of the economy as well, from expanding wealth.

Recession is not a dirty word, it's a period of economic adjustment. Resources must be re-allocated in accordance with the priorities of society as they presently exist. The rescue package will only rescue those activities which are presently unprofitable and that society /does not want/. Keeping them afloat is a gross inefficiency, and any business manager can clearly see that it is the discontinuance of unprofitable activities -- not placing them on life support -- as the only way to free capital for enhancing current or investing in new profitable activities.

The free market has this remarkable ability to lessen the impact of disruptive economic activity and soften the blow as much as it can. For instance, when Lehman Brothers, a "primary dealer in the U.S. Treasury securities market" (according to Wikipedia) went bankrupt earlier this month, the "largest failure of an investment bank since the collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert 18 years ago" as reported in the New York Times*, there was no extraordinary breakdown in the fabric of Wall Street. The liquidation did not spell doom for the investment banking industry. Merrill Lynch was in trouble at the same time, but they were fortunate enough to find a buyer. Lehman was not so fortunate. Lehman's demise is a positive development for the market, and the $600 billion plus in assets reported by Lehman in their Chapter 11 filings, not to mention some 20- to 30,000 employees, were free to be reallocated elsewhere within the matrix of market activity. All of this was concluded within the period of a few days.

WaMu was bought by JP Morgan, Bank of America acquired Merrill Lynch, and so on and so fourth; the "bad" or unprofitable aspects of these banking and investment firms will be eliminated, while the "good" or profitable activities will likely be reinforced. This is the free market at work, let it do its goddamn job!

And to shirk the Fed of responsibility, or even to claim that they were the whistleblowers, is quite simply laughable! Are you forgetting, dear Black_Wing, that all of this mortgage lending did not start by itself, but was inspired by the artifically low interest rate which, by the way, was /maintained by/ the Federal Reserve? How short-term is short-term memory? Even if the controls on mortgage lending were in place in, say, the early '00s, but the Fed continued its policy of credit expansion during this period regardless, the bubble would have occurred elsewhere and instead we would have a crisis with banks holding bad debt in areas /other/ than mortgage-based assets. Indeed, the problem could still escalate.

Look, just because you make the banks balance sheets look good on paper by rescuing them from their bad debt, you're not going to fix the credit market. A sound credit market is not defined by lending alone, it's the savings beforehand and the productivity to /fund/ the lending, that allows loans to materialize. There is no real wealth to be lending! You can't print the money at will and say, there, your wealth has been achieved -- printing money /does not/ create wealth! It merely dilutes the value of your currency. If printing money could fix this issue, then world hunger and poverty could have been solved a very long time ago. The crux of the problem /is/ the Fed, and their loose monetary policies, which allowed this situation to ferment into its present form. There has been a long history of consumption which has proved unproductive and thus misallocated real wealth into dead-end investments, and it just so happens that most of these appear to be subprime mortgages lended during a period of artifically low interest rates. I use "artificial" to indicate anything not determined by market conditions.

In a nutshell, you can't blame the mortgage lenders for acting on economic signals, when it is these economic signals that have been distorted and manipulated by non-economic forces. It is your beloved central government that has created so much misallocation, inflation and waste, and now you are trusting it to fix a problem it helped to create.

* "Lehman Files for Bankruptcy; Merrill Is Sold" by Andrew R. Sorkin, published September 14th, 2008 in the New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/15/business/15lehman.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Caution Wake Turbulence

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

@[TI] ZoZferatu [Pw9]

Thank God. big_smile

Caution Wake Turbulence

54 (edited by Vampire Ninja Penguin 29-Sep-2008 20:06:10)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

WASHINGTON - The House on Monday defeated a $700 billion emergency rescue for the nation's financial system, ignoring urgent warnings from President Bush and congressional leaders of both parties that the economy could nosedive into recession without it.

Stocks plummeted on Wall Street even before the 228-205 vote to reject the bill was announced on the House floor.

Bush and a host of leading congressional figures had implored the lawmakers to pass the legislation despite howls of protest from their constituents back home. Despite pressure from supporters, not enough members were willing to take the political risk just five weeks before an election.

Ample no votes came from both the Democratic and Republican sides of the aisle. More than two-thirds of Republicans and 40 percent of Democrats opposed the bill.

The overriding question for congressional leaders was what to do next. Congress has been trying to adjourn so that its members can go out and campaign. And with only five weeks left until Election Day, there was no clear indication of whether the leadership would keep them in Washington. Leaders were huddling after the vote to figure out their next steps.

A White House spokesman said that President Bush was "very disappointed."

"There's no question that the country is facing a difficult crisis that needs to be addressed," Tony Fratto told reporters. He said the president will be meeting with members of his team later in the day "to determine next steps."

"Obviously we are very disappointed in this outcome," Fratto said. ". There's no question that the country is facing a difficult crisis that needs to be addressed. The president will be meeting with his team this afternoon to determine the next steps and will also be in touch with congressional leaders."

Monday's mind-numbing vote had been preceded by unusually aggressive White House lobbying, and spokesman Tony Fratto said that Bush had used a "call list" of people he wanted to persuade to vote yes as late as just a short time before the vote.

Lawmakers shouted news of the plummeting Dow Jones average as lawmakers crowded on the House floor during the drawn-out and tense call of the roll, which dragged on for roughly 40 minutes as leaders on both sides scrambled to corral enough of their rank-and-file members to support the deeply unpopular measure.

They found only two.

Bush and his economic advisers, as well as congressional leaders in both parties had argued the plan was vital to insulating ordinary Americans from the effects of Wall Street's bad bets. The version that was up for vote Monday was the product of marathon closed-door negotiations on Capitol Hill over the weekend.

"We're all worried about losing our jobs," Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., declared in an impassioned speech in support of the bill before the vote. "Most of us say, 'I want this thing to pass, but I want you to vote for it

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

LOL

it didn't pass, now republicans are blaming democrats for making them angry and not voting for it
according to them pelosi acted badly and now they're sad so they won't vote for it

i'm sorta glad they did this, cuz now mccain is tied with it too, and obama is watching from the sidelines as they rip each other's necks off..

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Blame the Democrats.

They forced the companies to loan to poor people with 0% downpayment

Then they added a bunch of earmarks in to the bailout bill, robbing money at the expense of Americans to fund side projects and organizations like Acorn.

THE DEMOCRATS MUST BE FOREVER REMOVED FROM OFFICE! WHAT THEY DO IS TREASON!

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Acolyte..... Honey.....deary.

You dont agree with me.  thats fine.

You said nothing though about the clog of assets/Cash vs. debt....and the ability to lend.

the Fed has been bending over backwards to unclog the stoppage.....it hasnt worked.
The Fed must balance Money supply and inflation.  Its amazing how tight the market is, how low the interest rate is, yet how clobbered the dollar is.

What do YOU think the Fed should do ??
Raise rates ?
Remove liquidity ??

If the economy is in recession (according to the economic definition of 2 consecutive Neg growth quarters) not the Media hype, then the FED is doing what YOU think they should....combat RECESSION by keeping rates low, and injecting liquidity.

So,....what is your problem then ??

The "Credit market" is as tight as a gnats ass at the moment.  People cant borrow.  Period.
The "Credit Market" locked up 18 Mos. ago. 
The Banks are trying to clear the books of these bad notes. 

If you wish to pick and choose my posts...and not follow along w/the entire thread..then what can I say....to you......Honey, deary.


The Market is clogged with poor assets in the form of Mortgage backed bonds.
Bonds for the most part bundled by Fannie and Freddie, that had the ILLUSION of govt. backing ..... and do not.

Down goes the price of houses, the Foreclosure scare (that historically is not that bad, at the moment) and Freddie and Fannie going BOOM....
BTW, the the Republicans, tried to catch back in 2004 (See: House investigation of Freddie), and the Dems Crushed.....
The LOOSENING by the DEM leaders of Lending regulations (Thankyou Dodd, Franks, Schummer and the entourage)

Full faith, and "Confidence" in the bonds are destroyed.  The Bonds in the ASSET line dont allow a bank to lend....Period.

Yes, I want the Govt. to buy these bonds, and hold them.  That is all.


NOT a loaded DEM bill.
When Pelosi and DODD stand there, jovial, smiling, railing wall street, and saying "We have Peace in our time." 
You KNOW this bill was going to tank.
It was LOADED w/Ear marks, Regulation of Business options and buyouts, and a BAD BAD bill.

Im glad THIS particular bill was crushed.

Shame on the Democratic Leadership.

Come .......joust w/the master.
I'm always Right.   You are just intellectually Left.....behind.
Individual patriot, and a REAGAN Conservative.

58 (edited by Gladiator 29-Sep-2008 23:14:31)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

well apparently, according to republicans...the bill actually didn't get passed because Pelosi hurt the feelings of republicans just before the vote..

that's not me...that's your party

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Yell.

I do hear you.   I do.

I hope you are correct.  I really do Hope I am wrong as well.
It seems  a lot of people out there are split.

I DO believe the Notes are NOT worthless.  The Bundles of Mortgages. 
The forclosure rate is actually ok.  Its not the problem.

The Problem is the Perccieved, and market value of those notes.  No one trusts them, because of the negative news.
And for sure, this is not helping.


I really do believe, the govt....us the tax payer, can actually come out ahead later.
but, we gotta let the FED do the purchase and hold the notes for us the Tax payer.

People have been clobbered already.  Those that bet on these "bundles" have been crippled.

Thats my position.

but, the Democrats......the so called "Leadership".... they should be ASHAMED of the way they acted. 
Holy cow.
Im glad the bill tanked.

By the way, I got clobbered today in the market.  Im hurting bad......and Im no rich slob fat cat.

Come .......joust w/the master.
I'm always Right.   You are just intellectually Left.....behind.
Individual patriot, and a REAGAN Conservative.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

BW, why would you still have stocks in the market? i pulled all mine out tongue, i told my family to pull theirs out too
it was clear, nothing was guna happen

and as far as the actually core bailout plan, i think it should be really effective
if the government plays it right and smart, they could make a ton of money..and that should help tax payers a lot too..

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

BW

Well here's my take.  People NEED short term paper. People who have a provable record, who could and would and will pay it back.

Maxed out banks WON"T make the loans, they say they don't know what their assets are worth.

Well...how long can they snub that business?  How long will the world sit back and watch them ignore that business?

If I had a billion dollars...I'd find 99 other guys with a billion dollars, pool some cash, form our own bank
$5 billion in assets means Fed Reserve will let you carry out up to $80 billion in loans. Kaching.

That's The Yell solution--form some new banks.   And then old banks are going to say, OK if my mortgage is for
--a family dwelling
--that's not condemned
--in a town that exists
I'm gonna say, it's worth 80% or 60% of the appraised value--and go from there.
THE MARKET will create an arbitrary value for these assets without a TARP buying up and marking off these loans.  These banks need to end uncertainty about their value, they'll invent a number between themselves.

We can get buy without destroying our dollar--and borrowing whatever we feel we could use is gonna destroy our dollar.

That's not immensely popular right now...waaa.  Hugh Hewitt the Moderate is saying Pelosi ruined people today.  I hadn't known keeping the Dow over 10k was a Federal responsibility.  Good thing we have moderates to explain the nuances. /sarc

BTW--you know how Barney Frank got to be chairman? All House Chairs are assigned based on fundraising.  Puts those FreddieMac-FannieMae contrbutions in perspective, don't it? 

Glad
the House Republican LEADERSHIP says she blew 12 votes that way.  If she'd had Democrats lined up she wouldnt' have to care.

I KNOW what the press would say about a Republican Speaker who couldn't get more than 66% of their caucus behind them...becasue we heard it when Newt ran things!

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

62 (edited by Vampire Ninja Penguin 30-Sep-2008 17:18:26)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

well, at least this sums up quite nicely the discussions about us economy in the recent months. here's a brief sum-up:

european: "us economy is going to crash like a house of cards very soon."
american: "naa it aint, were doin fine, ur just stupid!"
european: "us economy is going to crash like a house of cards very soon."
american: "naa it aint, were doin fine, ur just stupid!"
european: "us economy is going to crash like a house of cards very soon."
american: "naa it aint, were doin fine, ur just stupid!"
european: "us economy is going to crash like a house of cards very soon."
american: "naa it aint, were doin fi.. HOLY [smoke] LOOK AT DOW JONES!! ABANDON SHIP, ABANDON SHIP!!!"

A pessimist is a well-informed optimist.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

BW,

I am so happy my family's assets are still tied up in to real estate, hahaha.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Glad - I still have stocks in the market - because I'm *still* making money.  And there are *still* a ton of buying opportunities.  Obviously more than there have been in the last 2 years - when your money was in the stock market and you were happy with it there wink

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

yell all i know is..
...all the people from the dems side democrats said were guna vote yes for the bill did, there was actually one more person
12 reublicans decided to go back on their word..and their explanation was that pelosi mentioned the bad 8 years...and hurt their feelings


Justin -- if you're willing to pay the cash, and if you're willing to take the risk...invest in the toronto downtown condo market -- IT'S BOOOOMMINNGG
me and a couple of my friends, and guna try to get a hold of one by next year, you can excpect at least a 60K profit(only at your asking price) and usually you'll sell it for atleast 20K more than asking price smile


and winME, as i see it ..i don't wanna buy yet, i think the dow could make it's way down to 8000, or come close to that atleast
at that point, i'll look at the individual stocks...right now, i don't even wanna bother
but i see my RIG is down at 107 now X( mad ---this is a stock worth at ATLEAST 159

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Glad.....Im talking real world here.....
50% I have in solid Blue chips.
20% Cash.

You dont run and hide like a European when the going gets tough.


ME, you parked anywhere ??  Or just focusing on futures ?

My cousin made an absolute fortung yesterday, playing oil down. 
I got clobbered in a few of my risky stocks......for no reason, other than players ....
.. w/Gladiator Mentality.

@ Lucifuge.....

Bonehead....have you seen the world markets ??
US catches cold, the world gets the Flu......
newb.

Come .......joust w/the master.
I'm always Right.   You are just intellectually Left.....behind.
Individual patriot, and a REAGAN Conservative.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

so far the disaster is way worse in the US then in e.g. europe though...
maybe we had been imunized by our so socialist regulations..

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

LOL @BW and his usual sneeze/cold BS

Tell us BW, what happens when the US shits it pants like its doing now?

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

BW, i comment on the US economical crash and you reply by talking about the rest of the world. do the happenings in the rest of the world somehow undo what happens in US or something?

A pessimist is a well-informed optimist.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Continuing the death spiral, the Dow Jones is now UP 270  haha

Paulson should resign, his approach all summer is to borrow a trillion so his friends don't collapse.  Dr. Evil only wanted $100 billion

Bernanke should resign, he's supposed to do his armtwisting with the Federal Reserve not with Congress

Boehner and Cantor should probably step aside, they represent 1/3 of the party?

FMAC and FMHA must die

Glad
It has been argued for some time, that a COMPETENT speaker can get 90% of teh vote not 60% of the vote...at least that's what we heard when a Republican speaker couldn't deliver 90% of Republicans

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

71 (edited by Smiof 30-Sep-2008 18:21:21)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

VNP - haha, come on, Pelosi might be annoying but that fact is unrelated here. Some people did not want this bailout - as a matter of fact, most of them did not - from both parties - and it did not go.

I did think sometihng should have been done, and the pres. Bush stood behind it. oh, well, I don't have any stocks smile

I am all-in on electrics.

72 (edited by windowsME 30-Sep-2008 19:49:34)

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

BW:
LINE - dividend and I like them, in at 14.70 yesterday
BAC - since 19.50 tongue  Took some off, got back on throughout the 32 - 28 fluctuations
WMT - all year
MCD - beginning of march
FRO - in for the run up, missed the drop, back in now
WNR - in since beginning of august, have been in and out of this one all year with really good success, lots of fairly predictable volatility
ALJ - in at same time as WNR, out as of 2 days ago - big refinery of theirs near my house blew up a few months ago, they got it fixed, profit rose while people hated, and life is good again wink
MA  - Got out of in july - been in since inception - looking at it again
C - since the start of the month
CF - looking at it, not in
CC - looking and laughing at it, not in, may get in - eventually their buildings will be worth more than their market cap, watch for that wink
CMG - looking at getting in
ACL - been hanging there for the year
EMR - about time to get into it, I do believe
Also very interested in SGR - just to make you angry wink

That pretty well covers what i've been doing, am doing, and am looking at doing, to some degree.
I'm up 95% for the year (i admit it could have easily gone badly as well, but lucky is fine with me tongue), currently - so I don't share Glad's pessimism

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

Hugh Hewitt continues to tout panic as policy, sharing a friend's letter:

Dear Honorable Member of the House:

Having observed the failure of the House of Representatives to pass the proposed Financial Institutions Rescue Bill today, I wanted to express my serious concern and displeasure.  The effective price that the American people paid today for your individual

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: The "Rescue Plan" as its being portrayed by the US.

The american system isn't working. Like I been saying for a long time smile
Something similar to this was inevitable I'd say.
No rules, companies gotta make more and more profit. In the end it's the citizens who pays, and the country that gets screwed when the big bosses get their billions and ruin their companies. Idiotic and selfish system.

25 Inventors: Back from Hell (8528) (x:93,y:21) 391 845454 - Dont see them coming back up. Theyre out of the game. Pretender, will finish out of top 30.
------
4 Inventors: Back from Hell (8528) (x:93,y:21) 945 57233492