Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.
say what? How does he have more options/
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.
Login is disabled. This forum is read-only.
Imperial Forum → Politics → Nato gathers to discuss georgia.
say what? How does he have more options/
Putin has more options because:
1. He controls much of Europe's access to oil.
2. The US forces do not have force potential because they are entangled in two countries.
3. Russia has the largest arsenal of nuclear weapons.
The fact is is that Russia is in a position where challenging it would be costly. If Europe challenged it, their oil prices would skyrocket. If the US decided to challenge it, well they are entangled in Iraq and Afghanistan and then there's the fact of nuclear weapons. Moreover, Russia is now a great oil producing country, and oil prices could rise if its economy were damaged. And that is also why the Europeans want nothing to do with anything real done against Russia.
... Oh goodie, well I guess I should buy my windmill from now while they atleast are afordable.
Please, they can't reach us with their army and we don't need a million men to put Russia back in the poorhouse.
As for the nukes, let them use them. We launch ours as soon as we see them coming. So nothing to worry about.
> TheYell wrote:
> Please, they can't reach us with their army and we don't need a million men to put Russia back in the poorhouse.
As for the nukes, let them use them. We launch ours as soon as we see them coming. So nothing to worry about.>>
1. That's a big gamble Yell, especially considering how it could be a MAD scenario. If you push Putin in a corner and he knows he's doomed, it's quite probable he'll launch em nukes in retaliation.
2. Europe will not like that you are raising the cost of oil.
3. Our forces are really spread thin.
Yell, are you retarded?
Stop playing C&C, go outside and smell the roses. It's cool.
no Putin will first say "I want the beach house in the Bahamas, international immunity, US guaranty of the immunity, and all the rubles my bank accounts can carry
Our cruise missles have a range of 960 km, that means whatever is 960km from the ocean in Russia is vulnerable to attack by our subs. Russia does NOT have corresponding bombardment capability on the USA. Any land forces Russia puts outside Russia are themselves targets. If we start a war with Russia and Russia loses 10,000 men in a week, even Russia can't keep up that pace. And that's not beyond our capability. Putin, like Hitler, is presenting a nice front of cheap easy victory and can't become the first Russian president to lose a war.
As to the "gamble" of nuclear war...you're in it right now. Always have been. Just remembering it for the first time?
We have munitions that when dropped from a bomber can wipe out an entire semi-dispersed armored or mechanized division in one shot. Russia cannot compete with that. Since they have 28 divisions (Their military numbers about 1/3 of the United States at this period) this means they have to disperse. Dispersed units are dog meat to US forces... we eat them, we chew them, we poo them out. And the smoldering remains will be visible for miles.
They have no real chance. Their aircraft are so pitiful even Europe makes better. Their tanks... well lets just say their tanks are not winning any Olympic medals, not even bronze, for their capabilities.
Their infantry is mostly 2 year conscripts. You cant win with 2 year conscripts.
Russia is a paper tiger. They are weak. They have nukes and want to be a bully. Stand firm with united voices. Do not let them push you around... instead tell them if they do not do what you say you will take their oil fields and keep them for the indefinite future. This will wake them up.
Actually, the US is being a bully by extending its political presence at the expense of Russia. Yes we can destroy their military rather easily, but a war with Russia would come at a nuclear gamble and cause oil prices to rise. If we took their oil wells, well then that would extend our forces even more and be a political disaster.
Yell: Not a gamble like actually invading Russia. Back them against the wall, and they may retaliate knowing they're screwed anyway.
The US can't afford to alienate the entire world without severe economic consequences.
A far cheaper solution is to stop being aggressive with Russia, let them keep their political influence in Eastern Europe, and cooperate with the emerging economic powers in the world.
Disrupting the balance of power Wilhelm II style lacks any strategic intelligence whatsoever. It's STUPID.
Sorry to drag the Iraq War into this, but if the US is so amazing and could allegedly devastate a superpower, why can't it subdue a bunch of religious lunatics with AK47s and RPGs?
> ☠ARFeh☠ wrote:
> Sorry to drag the Iraq War into this, but if the US is so amazing and could allegedly devastate a superpower, why can't it subdue a bunch of religious lunatics with AK47s and RPGs?
Because one goal is to minimize civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure. This reduces a lot of our military advantages. We still have the advantage, but less of one. It also limits our options with respect to taking down enemy units.
>>Actually, the US is being a bully by extending its political presence at the expense of Russia. <<
Russia has no rights beyond its borders. None.
<<Yes we can destroy their military rather easily, but a war with Russia would come at a nuclear gamble and cause oil prices to rise.>>
So what?
>> If we took their oil wells, well then that would extend our forces even more and be a political disaster.<<
I keep saying, don't take anything. Bomb it! Blow it up! Render all Siberia one gawdawful forest fire!
>>Yell: Not a gamble like actually invading Russia. Back them against the wall, and they may retaliate knowing they're screwed anyway.<<
OK. That's been the scenario since 1949 fella.
>>The US can't afford to alienate the entire world without severe economic consequences.<<
I'll take them.
>>A far cheaper solution is to stop being aggressive with Russia, let them keep their political influence in Eastern Europe, and cooperate with the emerging economic powers in the world.<<
That depends. You know what they define as cooperation is going to cost us more and more and more.
>>Disrupting the balance of power Wilhelm II style lacks any strategic intelligence whatsoever. It's STUPID.<<
What is stupid is seeking a balance of power. It inevitably leads to somebody shoving too hard. Always.
oh I heard the words of Appeasement.
You know, where Stalin was handed all of East Europe and if not for the US then there would have been no west Europe either, just the next extension of Stalins empire, which is on record as the SECOND LARGEST MURDERER IN HISTORY. HE KILLED HIS OWN PEOPLE IN THOSE NUMBERS.
Yeah I guess we should have tossed him all of Europe to appease him, how dare we do the Berlin Airlift, or threaten war if he tried to grab any nations! Appeasing ANY dictator is just going to make him reach for more. You kill them dead, and they stop reaching. You spank them hard, they stop reaching... you kill all their underlings and they stop reaching. Anything else is a disaster.
> TheYell wrote:
> >>Actually, the US is being a bully by extending its political presence at the expense of Russia. <<
<<Russia has no rights beyond its borders. None.>>
That is irrelevant. What matters in international politics is not rights, but power.
<< So what?>>
<<I keep saying, don't take anything. Bomb it! Blow it up! Render all Siberia one gawdawful forest fire!>>
<<I'll take them.>>
Wow Yell, you show your true colors. You aren't committed to power principles. You outright are committed to morals and ideology, so much that you are willing cause catastrophe.
Okay whatever Mr. Ideologue. I don't like the costs. I'm committed to power principles and pragmatism.
<<That depends. You know what they define as cooperation is going to cost us more and more and more.>>
Since when is free trade costly?
<<What is stupid is seeking a balance of power. It inevitably leads to somebody shoving too hard. Always.>>
And the alternative in your mind is... overt aggression... Spartan post-Peloponnesian style?
> Einstein wrote:
> oh I heard the words of Appeasement.
You know, where Stalin was handed all of East Europe and if not for the US then there would have been no west Europe either, just the next extension of Stalins empire, which is on record as the SECOND LARGEST MURDERER IN HISTORY. HE KILLED HIS OWN PEOPLE IN THOSE NUMBERS.
Yeah I guess we should have tossed him all of Europe to appease him, how dare we do the Berlin Airlift, or threaten war if he tried to grab any nations! Appeasing ANY dictator is just going to make him reach for more. You kill them dead, and they stop reaching. You spank them hard, they stop reaching... you kill all their underlings and they stop reaching. Anything else is a disaster.>>
If you're referring to me, I never said anything about appeasement. I said balance of power. In Eastern Europe, we are seeing Bush acting aggressive, reducing Russian political influence, and disrupting the balance of power.
"We have munitions that when dropped from a bomber can wipe out an entire semi-dispersed armored or mechanized division in one shot. Russia cannot compete with that."
Yes they can, it's called a nuclear bomb.
"Since they have 28 divisions (Their military numbers about 1/3 of the United States at this period) this means they have to disperse. Dispersed units are dog meat to US forces... we eat them, we chew them, we poo them out. And the smoldering remains will be visible for miles."
They can recrute/draft a lote more if the americans attack, it'll be seen as american imperialistic, and the army would become extremely large.
"They have no real chance. Their aircraft are so pitiful even Europe makes better. Their tanks... well lets just say their tanks are not winning any Olympic medals, not even bronze, for their capabilities."
Don't you get it? A war in Russia is not going to be fought in the air, but on the grounds of Russia, in wich the Americans will just suffer and die.
"Their infantry is mostly 2 year conscripts. You cant win with 2 year conscripts."
The Iraqies aren't even that, and yet you suffer quite some heavy losses. They have the advantage of playing at home ![]()
"Russia is a paper tiger. They are weak. They have nukes and want to be a bully. Stand firm with united voices. Do not let them push you around... instead tell them if they do not do what you say you will take their oil fields and keep them for the indefinite future. This will wake them up."
Go ahead then America! Show them what you're worth if their militairy is such a scrambled bunch. Go you! People will not die in a war that can be avoided so easily, not in my name.
Alan,
They seem to have been backed in a corner and forced to commit themselves to some moral and ideological principles, at the expense of pragmatic considerations.
Happens all the time with neo-cons.
Sometimes I wonder who is more dangerous. The ruthless, strategic-minded conservatives like me who are committed only to power and power principles, or the neo-cons.
Yeah,and the post modernists.they are even more dangerous.
> esa wrote:
> Yeah,and the post modernists.they are even more dangerous.
Yes, they are idiots. And I FEEL they should be exterminated. But my raging distaste for them has nothing to do with pragmatic politics.
Your distaste for post modernism is silly though! I don't like religion, but I don't think all religious people should be exterminated.
Besides, post-modernism can be productive, look at Fairclough!
> Alan Statham wrote:
> Your distaste for post modernism is silly though! I don't like religion, but I don't think all religious people should be exterminated.
Besides, post-modernism can be productive, look at Fairclough!>>
Pffft. It's still more so destructive.
That can be said about everything..
Justinian:
"Yell: Not a gamble like actually invading Russia. Back them against the wall, and they may retaliate knowing they're screwed anyway."
A full scale invasion of russia almost certainly would cause nuclear tension so not a serious option. Russia on the other hand, want desperatly to avoid to back the western world into a corner, wich would have been the case in this war if georgia joins the nato. Germany and france knew this. Their leaders want to avoid ellectoral catastrpohie.
Less oil imput would be a far better scenario as any other. Oil/gas can be used far more effectively still. Also remember russia got its food import paid by these revenues. His fame is build on good economic results. Starvation or even economic fallback would lead to riots.
"a far cheaper solution is to stop being aggressive with Russia, let them keep their political influence in Eastern Europe, and cooperate with the emerging economic powers in the world."
What would happen then, is that russia gets stronger by the day and even more dangerous. It would be fairly stupid to allow that in any POV, doesn't matter if its ideology or power play. I can't even believe you posted it unless you have a crazy plan to go to russia and become a leader there.
how do we break the dependancy on other countries
if you don't have natural resources, you don't have natural resources.
Imperial Forum → Politics → Nato gathers to discuss georgia.
Powered by PunBB, supported by Informer Technologies, Inc.