26 (edited by TheYell 19-Aug-2008 18:58:13)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

MAD is a surrender, it means "you can't win, we can't win"  The hardcore OGs (original generals) go for NUT, Nuclear Utilization Theory

and I say give them their own medicine, hit their oil and rail industry with cruise missles from midocean and deny it.  "Hailstorms".  "Equipment failure"

what will they do? 

Nuke us? Then they die.
Bomb us?  They can't make it.
Sell arms to our enemies--they do that already
piss on us in the UN? --they do that already
invade our friends---they do that already

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

27 (edited by Little Paul 19-Aug-2008 19:05:13)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

you only surrender when you say we loose. And NUT isn't a possibility atm. They will nuke you if you attack the motherland. what woudl you do? But you can defend your own and wait for a despotism to enevitably fall. The soviet union was far bigger as russia today, wich depend on a global economy. It cannot afford to get isolated.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

what is really funny is that russia can afford to get isolated but EU can't

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

What is really funny is that everyone is picking on the guy who stopped the bully from picking on the midget.
It is amazing how indoctrinated some of you are, and in some cases surprising (I'm looking at you Belgian).

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

Supporting an ally is worth a world war.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

31 (edited by Little Paul 19-Aug-2008 20:27:39)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

If you can support an ally without igniting a world war, that question is irrelevant.

@Fokker,
what do you mean?

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

He's saying Georgia was attackign Ossetia so needed to be conquered by Russian tanks.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

@phoenix:
"what is really funny is that russia can afford to get isolated but EU can't"
its not funny, its a crying shame of one of the world economic supperpowers. However russia can't afford to be isolated right now. Putin regime isn't as stable when russian economy collapses.

34 (edited by Phoenix Mailer 19-Aug-2008 21:03:35)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

russian economy would not collapse even if all foreign trade halted
russia is self sufficient country
the only problem that a new "iron wall" would cause for russia is technological advancement would slow down considerably


in fact EU should be thankful to russia for its continuous non-interrupted supply of energy and other resources. BTW russia even while at war with georgia continues to supply georgia with electricity and other resources needed to keep georgian economy from collapse

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"Who's talking nukes? I saw level the bastards with conventional bombs.  If they wanna take it to a nuclear showdown, THEN we turn the biosphere to plasma"

I was merely pointing out that people got quite carried away and several posts appeared about nuking the russians.

"MAD = Mutually Assured Destruction is what US tries to avoid by achieving Nuclear Primacy. BTW USSR was trying to achieve the same goals too..."

I prefered the mutual agreement to destroy parts of the atomic arsenal, rather than this cold war tactic.

God: Behold ye angels, I have created the ass.. Throughout the ages to come men and women shall grab hold of these and shout my name...

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"Promises to USSR died with the USSR

Though we renewed many of them"

Can this work both ways?

37 (edited by Little Paul 19-Aug-2008 21:40:14)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"russia is self sufficient country"
They are largely dependant on food import. If they can't sell their exports and buy their imports, they will starve. Despite they have a lot of recources, they also lack a lot of things, of wich food is the biggest issue.

38 (edited by Little Paul 19-Aug-2008 21:54:45)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"I prefered the mutual agreement to destroy parts of the atomic arsenal, rather than this cold war tactic."
me to alan, but at this point in time, its not going to happen. They never destroyed enough to ensure human survival. If they do, its a whole other story. Till then, we have to decide if we want a peacefull sollution to russian agression or if we just let things go by. The second is a lousy option if you can solve future conflicts peacefully without huge military costs or civil casualties.

One peacefull sollution would be include georgia within the nato so it will be far less easy for them ignite a war or to be attacked. Another peacefull sollution is a trade embargo to russia. It doesn't need to last for long. We just need to show the EU will react if they invade another any country.(even if the EU doesn't react in the end). The strength of a despotism is they can easely test then withdraw

39 (edited by ☭ Fokker 19-Aug-2008 22:56:59)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

> TheYell wrote:

> He's saying Georgia was attackign Ossetia so needed to be conquered by Russian tanks.<

Exactly. Or, to give it an historical spin:

He's saying [Germany] was attackign [Poland] so needed to be conquered by [American] tanks.

[EDIT]

Worth pointing out that Russia could be self-sufficient food-wise IF the Ukraine (formerly known was the breadbasket of the USSR) became part of the federation.

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

40 (edited by Justinian I 19-Aug-2008 23:02:55)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

Goes to show how calculating Putin is. He has the Euros by the balls, and the Euros fell for it because their politicians are more concerned about moral politics and short-term economic deals than they are power politics, which Putin is a mastermind of.

The EU needs another Bismarck.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"Can this work both ways?"

I think it has.

"One peacefull sollution would be include georgia within the nato so it will be far less easy for them ignite a war or to be attacked. "

Except that NATO is a promise on paper, and Russia doesn't mind pieces of paper.  Look at the one they signed last week.

"BTW russia even while at war with georgia continues to supply georgia with electricity and other resources needed to keep georgian economy from collapse"

What a crock! They're blowing up Georgian airports, blockading the port of Poti, blocking roads, and Georgia's pipeline doesn't run through Russia.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

The Yell is spot on: Red Tape is something we use to tie you up so we can get to the task unmolested.

The Yell is not: 70% of us in the UK enjoy Russian gas, oil and some electricity without direct pielines. Georgia still has gas, oil, and electricity, and they will continue to have it even if the Russians decide to secure the whole country aggressively. To cut them off would be inhumane (no irony intended: remember the mindset you're dealing with, these aren't mere Nationalists).

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"The EU needs another Bismarck."

Someone who leads us into war wich only realisation was a moral victory against a weakened France? Somehow, I don't see how that applies to this current situation.
Bismarck's realpolitik would fail miserably nowadays. It's horribly outdated and originates from days where every country was able to fulfill it's own needs, and every country was thus far more independent than we are nowadays..

I don't know how you see it, but in case of an actual conflict against Russia, we're pretty much screwed. You might have noticed thi that having no oil or gas, usually leaves quite a strain on a military operation. wink We'd be cut off, our reserves would be able to get our armies going for a few weeks at most. The US wouldn't be able to supply us enough, and the oil they do supply would be extremely expensive (you can't claim that your brotherhood would stretch that far).

God: Behold ye angels, I have created the ass.. Throughout the ages to come men and women shall grab hold of these and shout my name...

44 (edited by Justinian I 20-Aug-2008 09:36:39)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

> Alan Statham wrote:

> "The EU needs another Bismarck."

Someone who leads us into war wich only realisation was a moral victory against a weakened France? Somehow, I don't see how that applies to this current situation.
Bismarck's realpolitik would fail miserably nowadays. It's horribly outdated and originates from days where every country was able to fulfill it's own needs, and every country was thus far more independent than we are nowadays..

I don't know how you see it, but in case of an actual conflict against Russia, we're pretty much screwed. You might have noticed thi that having no oil or gas, usually leaves quite a strain on a military operation. wink We'd be cut off, our reserves would be able to get our armies going for a few weeks at most. The US wouldn't be able to supply us enough, and the oil they do supply would be extremely expensive (you can't claim that your brotherhood would stretch that far).
>>

Realpolitik is about commitment to power principles, and considering the practical reality the country faces when making decisions on domestic and foreign policy. It is an empirical and goal orientated way to practice politics, and whatever is done is adapted to the practical circumstances faced by the leaders making those decisions. What a politician practicing realpolitik would do is very different from what Metternich or Bismarck would do, because the circumstances they face is different from theirs.

Realpolitik is:
adaptable
empirical
not committed to moral principles, but power principles
goal orientated

Realpolitik is not warmongering as you seem to imply. War is only practiced when it is useful for reaching larger strategic goals, not when it is going to be costly and accomplish nothing. Bismarck, for example, waged war on France to pacify them and unite the Germans. But he also tried to use diplomacy and avoid an arms race to minimize the risk of war, and the noob Wilhelm II was the ideologue behind WW1. It would be more fair to compare realpolitik with the practical policies generally implemented in the Roman Republic before Caesar.

And it is because of European commitment to moral principle and short-term economic gain that Putin outmaneuvered you and has you by the balls. Moreover, since the US is entangled in two countries, Putin has a lot of freedom to do as he pleases on the international scene. Putin is perhaps one of the few national leaders who is committed to realpolitik, and only realpolitik leader of a major power, and he so brilliantly outmaneuvers everyone and gets what he wants.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"never get me wrong tough, I wished all nuclear weapons ceased to exist alltogether."

That would be stupid and encourage war.

The inmates are running the asylum

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

Why would we need your military to bomb Russia into submission?  When Putin can't stop us from bombing canal traffic in Moscow--and he can't-- then he's through.

But we'er too degenerate to fight, Bush sounds like a spoiled bitch "I'm leaving you!  I'm walking out of your life! You can't treat me like this!---Aren't you going to say something?"

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

big_smile Yell it sucks to be that right.  But yeah... Even the great and powerful NATO, which whole hearteadly would beat Russia in "conventional warfare", simply stated "this aren't going to be the same."  Kinda weak if u ask me.  The only "psotivie" out of this is the missle shield in Poland.  And yeah right now it's only 10.  But... how hard is it to increase it to 10 thousand?  Massive rudianancy and suddenly that 10% that breaks the shield falls to 1% then we are talking acceptable losses.

And yeah, no nukes means more wars.  Even India and Pakistan who really really hate each other stopped having "full" wars after they had nukes... just hope moderately sane people take over Pakistan.

I'm going to be nicer promise

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

@yell:
It is never my intend to harm russian civilians. Its my intend to make a dictatorship more democratic or at least hold it from turning other countries into dictatorships.

@justinian:
putin will fall because the west will react in the end. It was stupid to play the powercard now. That shows what a looser he is with all the power he's got.

By playing bully, he allows western leaders to justify actions against russia.

49 (edited by Little Paul 20-Aug-2008 18:31:46)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

"Except that NATO is a promise on paper, and Russia doesn't mind pieces of paper.  Look at the one they signed last week."
what really matters is the meaning for the west. The same logic why they never invaded west-berlin applies here. They knew the west could not afford to loose it in a fight. So they pushed to the border of possibilities, wich was an embargo. Its a perverse logic but it works. They thought the west wouldn't make a stance over georgia. Thats why they invaded.

50 (edited by Justinian I 20-Aug-2008 19:20:08)

Re: Nato gathers to discuss georgia.

Paul,

The thing is is that Putin has the strategic advantage. He has many options, while the west has very few. He has the west pretty much pacified.