151

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

If the Russians take control of Georgia they can cut of Europe from oil supply.

http://www.inogate.org/en/images/maps/oil_map_big.gif

The inmates are running the asylum

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

We get all our gas from Russia anyway, I wouldn't be surprised if we were totally reliant on them in other ways too.

"So, it's defeat for you, is it? Someday I must meet a similar fate..."

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Russia wont take over Georgia. I expect them to demand Georgia give up claim to S Ossetia & Abkhazia which they will probably then vote to be incorporated into the Russian Federation. the World & the US in particular will not allow Russia to take over Georgia & Russia know this. Russia will not be able to resurrect the old USSR because the other former Soviet Republics have had 17 years of independence, something that cannnot be taken away. their nationalism is too strong.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

I might have agreed with you two weeks ago Hez but not anymore.

Wa wa wa. Russia has nukes. Big deal. Now they have nukes and Georgia. When they take out Ukraine they will still have nukes. When they "protect" Russian enclaves in Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Belarus,Moldava, Finland, Poland they will still have nukes. So what?

Nuclear war is an acceptable alternative to several outcomes.

We still have more missle subs that Russia can't get at. They can't do a first strike that obliterates our response capability to annihilate their economy. That's why we built a billion-dollar boat.

If we put 100 combat aircraft into Gerorgia we'd shred a couple of Russian tank regiments and war's over. If Russia responded with a nuke we'd slag them. But we don't have the balls to back our friends.

Today on the radio somebody said we lost our moral authority to oppose invasions. I literally do not know what that means. As if our bombs don't work without moral authority. Putin is crushing our friend because he is our friend. It's in our interest to scatter his army like sheep. BURN them!

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Yell I know you Americans are often gung-ho, but the pragmatists in Washington know that going nuclear over a province the size of someone's kitchen is not an option.

if america follows the example of 1991 & 2003 it will take months for it to build up enough troops to invade - any rapid reaction force would simply be too small to be effective. the US should just bluff & wait for Russia to back down. They will- again they dont want a war with USA.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

156 (edited by TheYell 11-Aug-2008 15:51:59)

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

I said send planes. We're not really using our Air Force in Iraq or Afghanistan, they can transport themselves in a few days, they'll be immediately effective.

And keep it at that level, let Russia see whether it wants to go nuclear over Ossetia

And I don't see how we can build and deploy and maintain nukes and then pretend its not an option. I'd sooner have nuclear war than see the democracies of the G7 subdued by a neofascist dictatorship

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

All of a sudden Ossetians don't deserve their independence? Sounds like moral inconsistency to me. Can't pick and choose who you want to be "free" or not a la carte.

Georgia picked a fight with a superpower they knew they couldn't win, then started trying to suck all their allies in WW1 lead-up style. Government should be removed at the very least for risking the lives of their own people and those of other nations. Hopefully there's an internal coup before the Russians reach the capital.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Well... the good news is the politics forum seems to be improving.  All it took was a stupid Georgian leader.  What the heck was he thinking? Did he really think he'd be able to keep it?  Any idiot would be able to lell you this would be the Russian's reaction and ofcourse they are using it as an excuse to destroy Georgian military.  They are teaching them a lesson, and unfortunately Russia will one out stronger at the end with even increased influence cause as it was said Russia used force and the powers that be did and seemingly can do nothing about it.  And yeah... I do see a "democratic" vote in those two regions and Russia makes one more step towards controlling even more of Europe's energy supply.  Why do I get the feeling that the French were the smartest when it comes to energy...

I'm going to be nicer promise

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Russia is a shadow of what the USSR was. the USA is the no.1 power in the world. That said Russia has regained quite a bit of power since its low in the mid 90s. Georgia must negotiate, they were idiots to think Russia would not respond & frankly the USA knows this & rightly doesnt want to get dragged into this unless Russia escalate this significantly. If the USA send in aircraft it would escalate & I dont think its the right thing to do. They need to ramp  up their condemnation & saber rattle a bit. I dont know what the Russians want out of this but there's only so much the 'defending Russian citizens' excuse can be used.

Im thinking a peace deal  along these lines:

* self determination for Abkhazia & S Ossetia.
* non-aggression pact between Russia & Georgia.
* Georgia guarantees to stay out of Abkhazia & S Ossetia.
* Resignation of Georgian President.
* Russia guarantees to stay out of internal affairs of other sovereign-states.
* Russia sends aid to Georgian civilians & pays compensation for damage to civilian targets.
* Georgia compensates S Ossetia for destruction of civilian targets.

this obviously favours Russia IMO, but could be a lot harsher

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

war coming closer to home..prelude to WW III?

offtopic: what happened with me topic asking bout JA Empire smile?
anyone been in touch with him lately?

till the end of time..

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

last I heard he was on a covert ops mission into Vietnam to rescue some US POWs... atleast thats what he told me.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Hez, ur dreaming.  The Russians are winning.  the winners never want to concede anything.  And again as has been said what are you going to do, sanction Russia?  who will hurt?  Europe.  And yeah... Repeat after me, global reccision.  The recent fall in oil prices seem to be enough to delay or even abait it.  Any attempt of sanctionning Russia will completely reverse this.

Non-Agression pact, Russia will say that they were the ones attacked.  Whichever country you are from place yourself in their shoes.  If for some reason say a hurricane came to Mexico and US sent aid workers and the MExican army attacked California [ yeah yeah not perfect example] You think the Us would stop simply at removing the advancig troops?  Gerogia was idiotic to start this.

Russia likes to mess with other peoples affairs.  It's how they keep their influence, and check the map they seen NATO encrouaching on them, they are taking this opportunity to remind everyone what truely happens and that'll make new former Warsaw pact countries and Ex Soviet states think twice.

I completely agree Georgina President should be gone.  And Russia will demand conpensation from Georgia.  You just wait.  They may even dray up a bill for all the bombs and bullets they used.

And try and be as fair as possible how is anything you said in Russia's favor?  All of your proposals limit Russia and at best return the breakaway regions of Georgia to where they were before.

I'm going to be nicer promise

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Russia doesn't need a peace deal. Afghanistan set the precedent. You intentionally bomb someone else's citizens, they get to respond however they like. It's implicitly part of the new international rules now.

Best thing the Georgians can do is to take down their own government and their own army if they have to, showing that they've washed their hands of them. If it's found that they deliberately targeted civilians to instigate a refugee crisis or conflict, then straight to the Hague with them or Moscow.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

well if Russia shows it doesnt demand a harsh settlement then they earn respect dont they? proves they can be rational. they get what they want. Georgia comes to heel. S Ossetia & Abkazia either become satellite states or are incorporated into the Russian Federation. Russia also gives some token aid to Georgian civilians to show how kind they are.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

I haven't met many Russians myself, but based on Maybe Stalin and sure why not Putin.  Russians much prefer to be strong than liked.  If they can show themselves to be strong they can later work on being liked [as Putin did in large part due to oil which he now holds over Europe especially and the world generally].

IA once put it in as a quote from The Prince, paraphrasing
"It is better to be loved than feared by the people, but it is difficult to maintain the people's love so it is simplier to be feared."  So yeah... who is gonna mess with Russia or Russian claims after this?  This will replace people's memory of the Chenyan debocle and well... carpet bombing and leveling of Grozney after it was obvous the couldn't conquer it.  Part of the reason they won't hold onto Southern Georgia, just using the excuse to destroy their military... and probably Economy also.

I'm going to be nicer promise

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

"If you don't, we will get very angry with you. And we will write you a letter telling you how angry we are"--Hans Brix

Churchill nailed it. When you say "we will never fight country X" then all X's neighbors better ignore you and listen to X. Wtg asshats. Reap the whirlwind.

Kiss taiwan goodbye, Kiss the missle shield goodbye, I bet some folks leave NATO and the Arabs are going to patch it up with a nuclear Iran. I bet we get booted out of Pakistan and Kyzrghstan and Uzbekistan, if they want brokedick Westerners interfering with their politics they'll take the Brits who at least have more style than Michelle Obama.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Stalin was Georgian. there's a statue of him in Tbilisi I believe.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

168

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Adolfkashvili  could  write a book "Blitzkrieg for Dummies"  in prison.

The inmates are running the asylum

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Georgia did do a "succesful" Blitzkreig, the problem was it was STUPID to do.  big_smile can't belive that this is what I'm about to write but that's exactly what Hitler did.  Course he had a "succesful" attack against Russia taking large portions of their land ina  very short time... trouble being they couldn't HOLD the land.  What was the objective of this attack?  It was pointless and now Georgia is set back who knows how many years and again... Strong Russia and everybody else looks weak.  Good job Georgia, Guess Putin did have his man over there after all.

I'm going to be nicer promise

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Russia is now advancing further into Georgia. what are they playing at? clearly this is wrong & is far beyond protecting their citizens.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Georgia is given good excuses latly.. they still shelling Ostsetia non stop...

Tobi

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

What is Russia trying to do? They are trying to overthrow a democratically elected president, lol.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

Georgia didn't go beyond its own borders, you freakazoids.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

no they didnt but they did attack an autonymous province & shelled civilians.

Buddugoliaeth neu Marwolaeth

175

Re: Russian troops to invade georgia

It would be the same if Serbia tried to bomb NATO out of Kosovo.
Same result.

The inmates are running the asylum