Re: Fat People live longer

A comprehensive study was done by CDC in the USA. Using information from dozens of other studies and doing follow up work they came to a startling conclusion: Fat people live longer


Yes it is true despite the many canards saying we die 10-15 years earlier than most.


So now 6 decades of effort to demonize people, to revoke healthcare, to make a bogeyman for governments to blame for rising costs. All undone by people who clearly live longer than others.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
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2 (edited by The Yell 26-Jan-2013 18:57:39)

Re: Fat People live longer

dont forget they arbitrarily dropped the definition of obesity down a bit during the last decade, then went around hollering that a record number of people were obese

same thing with AIDS, they expanded the definition of symptoms that added up to the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome, then within a decade pondered the sudden spike in AIDS cases

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Fat People live longer

Yeah.... that was when the left learned statistics

Count ALL ice bergs then claim a huge spike

Count the wealth of the nation then claim during economic highs or lows the Middle class lost this much or the rich gained this much

And if the bill does not reflect it then your taxes are not paying for abortions at all.



Meanwhile Chris, a toast to your good health!

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

Link, maybe?

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Re: Fat People live longer

lol this study was prolly done somewhere really cold tongue

can u give a link to the source of this claim please ^_^

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Re: Fat People live longer

Depends on the definition of fat, people with a little extra weight outlive those within the IBM and also what you speak of could just mean drugs are getting better thus fat people are living longer ....

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"I Cannot Awake From This Nightmare As Long As You Exist..."

Re: Fat People live longer

Due to modern medicine smokers are living longer also. Does that mean smoking is now considered healthy?

Modestus Experitus

Arby: A very strict mod, reminds me of a fat redneck who drives a truck around all day with a beer in one hand. I hated this guy at the start, however, I played a round in PW with him where he went as an anonymous player. Our fam got smashed up and everyone pretty much left. Arby stayed around and helped out the remaining family. At the end of the round he revealed himself.... My views on him have changed since. Your a good guy.....

Re: Fat People live longer

Arby3 is correct. 

As we all know, correlation does not suggest causation.  The positive association can be driven by other third factors.   Running some regression of Longevity = BMI is rotten statistics, and bad methodology.

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

http://news.menshealth.com/overweight-men-mortality/2013/01/02/


When a study is this large.... it is evidenciary and valid.


And yes BMI sucks. I knew a soldier who was ALL muscle. The guy was intimidatingly strong. He failed the basic BMI test and had to be given the water test.




However the real problem here is derived statistics versus actual statistics. Derived Statistics is where you are asked to generate, based upon incomplete information, a likely statistical outcome.

The left sadly loves their derived statistics and won't resort to actual statistics.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

Fat Americans are less likely to get killed by assault rifle fire.
Natural selection at work.

The inmates are running the asylum

11 (edited by The Yell 27-Jan-2013 00:04:27)

Re: Fat People live longer

i'm going to build a Dalek gun*

so fat Americans in scooters can mount it on the yoke, and ride around wearing Dalek hats, shouting "Exterminate!" and shooting you X(






* the room-broom not the bolt

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Fat People live longer

Flint, you do not understand statistics.  Let me explain it so that even someone like you can understand.

Large samples are good.  Randomized samples are also good.  But those two criteria, are insufficient to establish a "true" relationship. 

Suppose you want to find out if hospitals stays make people healthy or not, and you use data from Medicare reimbursement.

You run a regression of say  health = hospital stay.  You'll  find hospital stay has a NEGATIVE and statistically significant effect.  So does that suggest that hospital stays are bad for you?  No, of course not.  People who end up in the hospital are sicker than people who don't end up in hospitals.  You haven't accounted for selection bias.  The current study suffers from similar shortcomings.

I haven't read the study in depth, but I can tell you, it probably has more serious errors.

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

For the most part, the relationship between obesity and health is mostly weak.  Probably being fat raises your chances of getting diabetes and hypertension.  But correlations between obesity and other health outcomes, are likely confounded by other factors that are also likely to affect health outcomes, and therefore relying on just simple regressions or correlations between obesity and outcomes are meaningless and a waste of time.

Sup?

14 (edited by The Yell 27-Jan-2013 00:25:17)

Re: Fat People live longer

Thus proving the whole "staph infection" thing is a internet hoax

I think the statistical error was saying "here's the optimum weight for health.  No wait! It's down there and most people aren't healthy."

When that's a mistake, the level of BMI for optimum health is higher, it will manifest itself by showing higher rates of morbidity at the lower levels

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Fat People live longer

Nice citation of nothing. You act as if slightly heavy people not suffering health problems is the same thing as fat people not suffering health problems as a result of their weight. This is not the case.

People your size still die decades early on average as a result of their weight, Einstein.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Fat People live longer

Someone wants to school me on statistics?

At greater than 1 million samples the odds of this study being incorrect is far less than of me running you down with my semi truck on Friday the 13th with a full moon out and Obama saying Obamacare is junk and he is sorry he endorsed it.

You really do not understand statistics if a million plus sample with a simple 1 or 0 (fat live longer, fat do not live longer) outcome. This is sure a thing as statistics will let you get.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

^Flint, like most topics, you understand about 20% of the material (to be charitable to be you). 

Sampling size does not correct for selection bias.  Think of Dewey vs. Truman.  You can have a large sample, and still get the wrong estimate.  A large sample size only makes the estimate more precise.  It can't correct for ommitted variables, simultaneity, or selection bias.

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

The selection material was cross referenced over a dozen plus nations using common mortality information including weight and age.

Where is selection bias in that?

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

People self-select their weight, and therefore BMI suffers from endogeneity. the missing variable that influences a person's BMI could also influence their longevity.  The OLS/LOGIT/PROBIT estimates are only valid if BMI is uncorrelated with unobserved/ommitted variables.  That's clearly not true. BMI is likely correlated with other variables t hat are unobserved. Including education, income, physical activity, diet would be a start, but even that may not get us the "true" parameters.


I am going to read the article tonight.

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

Let me put it this way

I take 1.5 million peoples height and age at death but discard any deaths under 20 (since they may not have achieved their full height).

I find tall people outlive short by 10% and medium people outlive short by 3%. If the sample is across enough regions a plague killing short people in Siberia will not significantly enough alter the outcome, nor will other outside factors. It falls outside the margin of error, which for a sample this size, is very small.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

Externalities such as diet, genetics, and such are unimportant with such a cross section.

It is the depth and scope of this study which makes it sound.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Fat People live longer

BMI does not determine "fat." "Fat" still dies earlier.

"Those considered severely obese

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Fat People live longer

Again, Flint, you don't understand statistics. 

Whether you have a cross section, or a panel, diet will always matter.  If you have a panel, genetics may not matter.  Though people who believe in epigenetics would argue otherwise.   

It's nice that you understand some buzz words from economics.  Please look up the meaning of externality.  Your genetics are not an externality.


If you believe in depth and scope of these studies, I've come across tons of studies employing similar "research designs" to conclude that countries with higher taxation have happier citizens, and of course the relationship between man-made CO2 and global warming.  So I am certain, you as a lover of studies with "rich depth and scope" will support higher taxation and a reduction in CO2 levels. smile

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

And Spock has  a point. BMI has many limitations in itself.  It may ultimately be a bad proxy for what it seeks to measure.  And again, a large sample size will not correct for measurement error.

"The BMI has been around since the 1840s, but it has a number of weaknesses. Firstly, it doesn't give a real estimate of percentage body fat. Secondly, the BMI can be quite different for a man and a woman with the same percentage of body fat. And thirdly, your BMI can be high even if you don't have much fat, especially if you are male and very muscular."

Sup?

Re: Fat People live longer

In the scope of age and weight at death, all other factors are externalities.

They do not need to be added to the study, cross referenced, understood, or anything.

That's why I am not razzing the CDC (like I often do) on this study. They attempted, in all probability, to show an exact life time loss due to fat but found a contrary. The size and scope of the study makes a compelling argument.


And I do agree BMI is bad, bad, and very bad.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)