> Oxygen wrote:

> When I was in chat earlier, ER was going crazy, not Gwyn. Did I miss something?

I'll vote Gwyn for now, but Flint's crappy logic could indicate that he's mob too. I hate first vote

So basically, Oxygen doesn't think I'm mob, that it was ER going rank, but is voting me anyway. Keep that in mind for who might be mob.

Oxygen is mob.

Thats a crap play as I ever saw.

The mob knows I am an easy lynch so they go for a harder one.

Oxygen sets the match on a gang up bomb in a clear and obvious move.

I vote Oxygen right now.

Well, I'm off to bed. No one has been around over the last several hours to be convinced otherwise, but I am a normal pokemon. I currently suspect Torqez, Evilrunt, Oxygen and KT, but there is something not right about Einstein also. Keep this in mind when I die and am revealed a normal pokemon. Given Einstein's attempts to get me to bandwagon on Oxygen with little basis (other than that he voted for me whilst saying he didn't think I was mafia) and given Einstein's fake stats he appears to be highly suspect.

For this reason I am voting for Einstein and going to sleep. If it turns out to be wrong, then sorry Einstein, but if it turns out to be right, then good.

This is certainly an interesting start already.  My take so far:

Einstein, your numbers don't mean anything.  At best they represent some sort of hunch you have about everybody but objectively, mathematically, and statistically they are just pointless.  There are no "statistical flukes" as you say, and the game hosts are not favoring anybody.  Random is random, and if you want to talk statistics then I must point out that within a randomly chosen subset of a given sample the likelihood of a perfect balance is very low.  In other words, it is expected to see patterns that look unfair.

Your behavior thus far is strange to me, and inconsistent with past games.  I will admit that part of me thinks you are just being silly or playing a funny game for the sake of making things interesting.  However, a part of me also thinks that you are just playing a terrible SK role.  I considered the possibility of you being mob, but I would think that you and the other mobbies would have discussed eachother's posting tactics so that doesn't really seem likely to me either given that you're drawing so much attention so early.

I do think it would be regrettable to lynch any good townie, but at this point I think you're acting strange enough that you're a safe bet in my opinion.  The risk of mistake is always there but I just can't shake the feeling that something is off about your behavior so far, especially this early in the game.  Again, I think you're either playing a very strange townie role to shake things up, or you're playing SK poorly.  Neither is a good move IMO.

Oxygen, I don't understand why you would vote for Gwynedd while acknowledging Einstein's questionable logic.  I do get that first vote sucks and I normally don't like to make judgement calls so early either, but to also admit that ER was making more noise than Gwynedd but to vote for Gwynedd anyway seems questionable as well.  I'm not going to say that you seem mob to me, but I will say that your post is notable in my eyes.

As for Gwynedd, I've heard a few people so far talk about how agressive he is already.  I agree, and he also accused me of being mob already with very little reasoning.  However, after playing a few rounds I know that this is just what he does.  It's consistent with his behavior in other games and anybody who is rubbed the wrong way by it should consider that fact before letting emotions or defensiveness get the better of you.  I'm not saying he's not mob or sk, because he obviously could be.  Rather, I'm saying that what he's done so far is no different than what he's done before so in my mind that is not anything worth noting.  Not yet anyway.

My vote: Einstein

Take 70% as a decimal... 0.7

Then multiply it by itself many times

.07^7

Thats 8%

Now do the same for gwynn

Now .5 to 7th power

Odds one of the two girls is mafia or special role

Now multipky those times eachother

In binary this would be a one chance in 32 bits outcome for all the 'coincidences'. After a certain level statistics says 'not random but enemy action'

Thats ok, when i am shown a townie the road map will be set up.

Game set match

pffft whos gonna provide for my pokekids

Meh i hate math, flint loves math.

I vote Flint.

*****Official Vote Count*****

Einstein - [8] - (Arby, KT, Gwynedd, I like Pie, Sickness, Star99, Metrex, The Unknown)
Gwynedd - [3] - (TBO, EvilRunt, Oxygen)
Metrex

he'z probably innocent seeing the bandwagon,... changing my vote to one of the jumpers..

==>Metrex

Btw in the army they called this "taking one for the team". By evoking everyones emotions and drawing out the strongest, I got you valued clues.

Remember Oxygen revealed himself in a silly manner.

Remember KT went for blood instead of  laughing it off.

Metrex also jumped

4 mobbies in 1 blow

Oh thats three. See if you can detect the last one.

I throw away my vote on Ramza.  1st day bandwagons suck