Topic: Put actions to your posts!

Ok as everyone here should know by now... I am truly running for politics.

I will be running in 2010 on an anti-crime platform in my home region.

I am moving in July to cherry pick my adversary, but I have yet to decide who will be that adversary.

My entire platform is designed to not just be for my running, but to affect the tri-county region (Multnomah, Clackamas, and Washington Counties) as well as the State as a whole.


Again the platform is crime.


Essentially it is my observation that less than 1% of the crimes in this region get prosecuted at all. Yes less than 1%. Under-reporting by police is well known in the security industry. I have many aspects of my planned campaign written down, and partially fleshed out.

I understand I need to back up my claims with testimonials, statistics, and the likes. I also expect this will be reacted to very unkindly by the current establishment.

I will also make clear to posters I do not expect to win. I expect to lose. In fact the way I plan to run I NEED to lose since I can embarrass the whole while I am not elected and if elected I must get them to cooperate with me to get change within an artificial structure they have created to prevent such changes.


Now this is where you can learn politics in reality, instead of just debating it.


This is volunteer politics, no one gets paid, no one needs to participate, but it will show other posters some savvy of yours as well as maybe start a new angle in politics.



My Goals:
  Primary:
1) Increase in prison beds in service
2) Increase in time served
3) Increase in total prosecutors
4) Higher complaint to conviction rate.
5) Put the top % of property criminals away for a good period of time.
6) Tougher laws on crimes affecting safety of others involving metal theft and property crimes
7) 100 days minimum if convicted of two or more misdemeanors.

  Secondary:
1) Increase payments State makes for uninsured mental health patients to be treated (to get more beds offered)
2) Reduce obstacles to creating mental health beds.
3) Monitor mental health services more closely for bad business practices, reduce waste
4) Reduce prohibitions against alternative therapy sources.



To obtain these changes I have made a list of FOIA (Freedom Of Information Act) requests I will proffer (Cost yet unknown, a research topic in this) .

FOIA Requests:

1) Average time served for a wide variety of crimes, drug, assault, theft, etc.
2) Average cell size at each prison/jail.
3) Average bed size at each prison/jail.
4) Number of trials per year last 4 years, and types (Crime types)
5) Known amount of stolen metal in net weights or net values (Market price to sell)
6) Drug Seizures for the last 12 years, total weight and individual types.
7) House and Business Alarm statistics for last 10 years.
8) Security Licenses for last 8 years
9) Total actual criminal count for last 8 years (IE if someone committed 10 crimes over 8 years he still counts as just 1 criminal) for felonies and misdemeanors.




To get the changes I need to campaign and spread the word. In order of desired effectiveness and cost as well as possible circulation:

How I will campaign

1) Email solicitation via submittals
2) Radio Ads
3) Web Ads
4) Billboards
5) Televised interviews, debates, etc.
6) Town Hall settings
7) Grassroots
8) Political Signs
9) Networking
10) Talk Method
11) On as many radio shows as possible, both as trying to win things and as a guest
12) Bumper Stickers
13) Pins, Badges, and tie lapels.



Note this is a heavy Democrat region, they count the tri-county region as their no matter what vote so networking and grassroots are two of the harder methods. The talk method I have devised is to communicate non-stop on the issue to everyone I get any time with. 30 seconds can be a vote for me in the future and I have plenty of idle time at gas stations, restaurants, and the likes. It can also lead to grass root formation for me.



I have devised a number of themes to run concurrently and consecutively... I do not mind seeing more! I have also devised some imagery ideas to place on the ads I shall be having (But not yet designed them, or had them designed, a possible way for people to participate in this experiment)


Themes:

1) Designed to Fail
2) The Broken Door
3) Fortunes for Felons
4) Vote for Jailtime Rehab!
5) Is your bridge safe?
6) Got Metal? (Picture of a metal thief in progress)
7) 5 days in the life of a criminal (show the revolving door in progress, criminal smiling the whole time)
8) Crime does not care about political affiliation.
9) No Crime 2010
10) Stop Crime (Picture of a Criminal stealing a stop sign or broken sign due to sawed off metal?)

Pictures/photos
1) Photo/Picture of a metal thief stealing a jail cell door!
2) Picture of a metal thief stealing the gold dome from the capital building
3) Picture of a metal thief stealing major Portland metal landmarks (Portlandia for instance)
4) Picture of a cop plugging a hole in a dam that has many more holes in it... and crime is pouring out (Can crime be demonstrated in a picture? Or do we name the water in general crime?)



Some facts I know about crime in the region:

1) The police are pressured with pay raises being denied, poorer positions, and harder schedules if they bring to many crimes to the prosecutors. This has lead to many misdemeanor crimes not being arrested, cited, or reported at all. Police openly speak on this, if you get the right officer, to those in the security industry, one some officers consider a sister industry.
2) The DA frequently refuses to prosecute crimes of certain nature, and/or drops the charges to the smallest number and smallest issue in an effort to land an instant plea deal
3) Judges here cite the low jail space in decisions leading to much reduced prison and jail sentences.
4) Early release programs of all sorts of natures exist leading all sorts of criminals to get very low jail times.
5) Pressure from news agencies works, but only on extreme cases... one criminal stole more than 100 cars and was never prosecuted on any due to the DA's low worry rate if the cars are found with low damage or insignificant damage later, only with a regional papers reporting of the massive number of thefts he had committed. Another story, that of John Farrell has him serving a day per a car stolen, of a total 46 total autos... and if he had not been caught with a lot of drugs he would never have gotten the 5 year sentence which ended his spree... Oh and those are cars they know about.
6) Metal thieves are so brazen as to steal metal from bridges, from cars, from live electrical wires, from historic statues, and any other source... Street values are commonly quoted, and the costs of actual value to replace can be up to 100 times the street value... Security contracts to guard metals in the past two years has made up approximately 1/4 of my security time in that time period.
7) The meth epidemic is centered on my city... yes on my city of Portland.
8) The amount of stolen materials going into pawn shops in the area is staggering. There is also a booming business with sending items to California to be pawned after being stolen.
9) There is exactly 1 state trooper on during nights, or was at this time two years ago (They have at times debated changing this, dunno if those changes have occurred) and other manpower shortages were even noted in Fahrenheit 9-11
10) Oregon ranks in the top 5 for Federal Crimes but in State reported crimes they report us in the bottom 5 (IE lowest crime rates) per capita in the United States. This is a fallacy since every criminal out here already knows, and admits openly, that to do a Federal Crime is to do hard time.
11) Portland has a man in charge wanting to shut down 94 beds (In a location where there is plenty of room to open more, and to keep costs down) and to open 75 general usage beds in an as of yet unopened jail (so he can say he opened the jail, lol). An entire floor of the Multnomah County Detention Center, the 7th, is unused mostly and has capacity for 88 beds with ease, or 156 beds if double bunked. There is already staffing present at this location, and costs to put it into effect are much lower. However I want ALL beds opened, which would be a net gain of about 1000 beds.
12) Some criminals serve less than a day on their up to 6 month sentence.
13) In 2005 Multnomah County released a record 5,000 criminals early.








So now the challenge.





You will act as if you wish to address these issues, and make plans of your own, or such, and post them. I will of course, as all good politicians do, steal the best idea's for my campaign... but that will be my personal opinion... the best winner on this forum for tackling this issue can be recognized by the others for having actually gone into practical theory and application instead of merely crying about politics and posting drivel that is repeated endlessly. Or you can offer a lil assistance on my campaign efforts (non-monetary, I will raise the cash myself in a stubborn Flint Fireforgeish way) with graphics, advice, information gathering, etc.



So you can talk the talk, but like me can you walk the walk?

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

2 (edited by avogadro 18-Jun-2008 02:58:34)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

you do know that the US has like the highest percent of their population in prison in the world; do you really want to increase it even more? i think einstein is just grumpy because his data compression idea never worked out.

Re: Put actions to your posts!

So you want to increase taxes flint?

Re: Put actions to your posts!

7) 100 days minimum if convicted of two or more misdemeanors.

What falls under misdemeanors?

Not many people know this, but I own the first radio in Springfield. Not much on the air then, just Edison reciting the alphabet over and over. "A" he'd say; then "B." "C" would usually follow...

Re: Put actions to your posts!

First of all :

" Essentially it is my observation that less than 1% of the crimes in this region get prosecuted at all. "

Thats just stupid, u could also say: less than 10% of the crimes do not get prosecuted at all and the actual number would be 0%. I even suspect u of just making up a statistic on the fly whitout any numbers to back it up.

I just read the points of ur campain and everyone who reads it must think, " hes an (ex ?) mental pati

Re: Put actions to your posts!

as i am no us-voter, so my view of dealing with crime is diffrent, but for your campaign:
What is your message? "Stop crime" is simply too old fashioned, since you will fail, as all failed before you and all those after you. Expand your campaign and link it with other topics in the region. Your ideas may help in a debate about crime, but people demand more answers. High gas prices, Unemployment, high taxes, housing... what are your answers than? Your opponent will fry you with these and avoid crime topics.
you run for what? local, county, state? would help a lot to know more. who are you anyway? can you be trusted in fighting crime? what is your job? are/were you active in organisations, campaigns, debates? are you married? (lovely wife is always good in campaigns, same with children, shows you are a family man and you know what to defend by fighting crime). as a single you have to show that you are a hard working man with no private life. spare time and no activities leave room for questions. time to drop your pants Mr. Candidate.   

the main question open is: how to finance it? who will pay that? higher taxes? savings, if yes where ? economizations? no answer? no vote! campaign over

increasing mental health care sounds much like Nazi ideas. drop this, it is easy to counter in a campaign with pictures from Nazi "euthanasia" mass murdering during WW2. as you go for hard treatment, u have to avoid emotional topics where mental ill children get imprisoned for the only reason they were born.

7 (edited by Einstein 18-Jun-2008 15:57:53)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

ok this is not a flame on me thread, so I ask our local fmods to step on the kicking at me...


This is for those who would volunteer, not the socialists who have no clue that we have people destroying lives who get 1 day in jail.

In the United States if your car is stolen you wake up to goto work, it's gone... your life is shattered. Especially if your a single parent with a long transit to work. This all to frequently happens. Even if you have full coverage insurance it still happens to do significant harm as insurance does not usually help immeadiately.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

"This is for those who would volunteer, not the socialists who have no clue that we have people destroying lives who get 1 day in jail."

Where does socialism means no volounteer?

Flint your ideias are naive with out any data and no plan to back them up.

"Essentially it is my observation that less than 1% of the crimes in this region get prosecuted at all. Yes less than 1%. Under-reporting by police is well known in the security industry. I have many aspects of my planned campaign written down, and partially fleshed out." Where did you get this data? YOUR observation isn't a

"My Goals:
  Primary:
1) Increase in prison beds in service
2) Increase in time served
3) Increase in total prosecutors
4) Higher complaint to conviction rate.
5) Put the top % of property criminals away for a good period of time.
6) Tougher laws on crimes affecting safety of others involving metal theft and property crimes
7) 100 days minimum if convicted of two or more misdemeanors. "

Where are you going to get the money for all of this? In how many time do you think you are going to need in order for you to accomplish what you want? Who will help you? is there any data that suggest that by increasing prison time and prisoners it will decrease crime? what are misdemeanors?

"I will also make clear to posters I do not expect to win. I expect to lose. In fact the way I plan to run I NEED to lose since I can embarrass the whole while I am not elected and if elected I must get them to cooperate with me to get change within an artificial structure they have created to prevent such changes."

You want to make changes by not taking responsibility? Or work for it?

Firewing makes some good points.

9 (edited by Gladiator 18-Jun-2008 16:47:36)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

i hope there's no italian mafia in your region einstien...


in all seriousness, i'm preety good at making advertisments, i used to have a job where i had to do that for different companies(mostly neighbourhood businesses nothin big)

but i still gotta creative mind when it comes to that...if you need help with that i could help ya out tongue, just tell me what you would be looking for in your bill boards and other advertisements (i know you wanna emphasize putting away the bad guys, what else would u want it to say though)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

There is only meth heads and corrupt democrats (severely corrupt mind you)

I do need help with imagery... the words portion I can tailor as needed to fit the situation, but it would be nice to have as many images as possible ready to run this campaign.


Mostly since I am going against crime, and since the four most noticable crimes in the region are: Car Theft, Metal Theft, Breaking and Entering, and rape... the images sadly need to be focused on the first 3 to prevent trauma to those who have been raped.

Another noticeable issue is crime on our MAX Light Rail system. The amount of talk this has generated is getting huge. Some police departments say we need 200+ cops just on it (Which is not fiscally feasible) to prevent crime and the current level is about 20-30 with additional part time police help during crime waves. The solution here is simple. We reduce crime elsewhere by putting them in jail and then the crimes on MAX will either go down, or we can use city police to supplement the Light Rail police. But it does attract lots of media attention here since the local media loves any public transportation system and want them to succeed at all costs (I mean costs to, woo $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ for these projects).


So if you wish to volunteer some imagery pictures or art work... this is a good angle. Look at the list of pictures/photos I listed in the initial post for ideas on what to put.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

Firewing when my opponent tries alternative subjects I can easily handle those. I am not worried. My entire advertising will not be for my campaign (Meaning you read jack shit of my post) but for a change in the whole region. It's a pivotal issue of severe size. It's like if my State had 40% unemployment and the current government was ignoring it... instead they were working on things utterly unassociated with fixing the problem hoping it would fix itself (Despite the huge business taxes, despite the ten years to complete the application process to rezone, despite the ability of one administrator to slap you with fines at any time for any reason to help fund more government payroll increases, etc)

Your not in my region, you dont know my regions issues. So assume I know my regions issues at least a little bit.


The $$ to do what I have said is not that much from our whole budget, and can be handled with reductions of pure government waste... which in this area is getting beyond excessive. When 45% of our budget is considered by many watch dog groups to be pure waste... it's getting out of hand... But I wont focus on the waste I will focus on the crime issue.

But if my opponent wishes to try to get off the issue, then it's not my problem. I dont want to win, I want to scare the entire establishment. I want to run a campaign like the one which stopped the unlimited property tax hikes of the 80's. It lead to a nasty severe whiplash against the government here because they acted as if home owners were their personal piggybanks... I want to run a campaign like the one which ended the forced rezoning of lands at government whim, local, county, and state!

I will run this campaign and not worry about office. Not even an ounce. I will just keep the message going in strong ways, and probably get some assistance from existing Republicans in the form of Ballots to take advantage of the surge I am going to create.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

The mental health issue - when arguing for that should note and fix the lack of parity.  Biological reasons (such as accidents, surgeries, etc) are usually fully covered by health insurance yet mental issues (PTSD, depression, you name it) have to be checked out by their "professionals" before they'll dish over the money, and often don't.  This is a huge problem with Medicare, I believe it is.  My psychology professor for Abnormal Psychology is a clinician and he does not deal with Medicare patients.  Why?  They are allowed to come into his office, pull 25% of the Medicare patient files, and if they find ONE situation they deem as not appropriate (as if they can tell from a piece of paper) then they get ALL the billing money back and can possibly shut down the clinic from various things.
This type of bullying by the government ruins people's lives just as much as the crime you get into....

For the crime, any change you want to make you have to have solid evidence for why a change is better.  Longer prison terms for nonviolent crimes will be very very tough to change (theft).  Mandatory sentencing for rape, though, is something easier to vouch for.

You say that 45% of your area's funding is wasted on things.  You'll need to research that and find out on what in order to free up funds.  Without doing so, you cannot increase prison size and you cannot pay for more prison guard salaries and you cannot pay for the increase in 3x meals daily.  Prisoners cost a whole butt load a year, per prisoner, and unfortunately it comes down to "can we release some prisoners to cut costs" rather than "do they deserve longer terms".



Also - losing the campaign is just plain dumb in my mind.  Nobody will be scared by a voice that fades away (due to losing).  As long as you don't win, you have no power.  Protestors against the war are doing no good; their voices are lost.  Anyone against our president; their words mean nothing.   Because in the end its only those in power that make the rules.

Re: Put actions to your posts!

The past three MAJOR changes in this State were made by "losers". This is the sad truth that in this State a person can be heard, but not elected. This is because while the single issue message is supremely powerful here... portions of the State are ultra hardcore Democrat and will not elect a Republican. I happen to live in such a region.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Put actions to your posts!

Honestly, though, what you are looking for is a 'shock factor'.  When you run for a position that isn't of the title "President", those that listen to your speeches are usually more hardcore politics.  Anything you say will 'anger' those opposed to you rather than give them an insightful moment.  The only ones you may reach with your words are the open minded - and from discussions I've had with hardcore political people they are definitely not open minded.

Personally I don't like to be force fed extremist views of something - it puts doubt into my mind of how legitimate this information is.  I question every aspect of their statements rather than accept it.  This is in part because you are in fact biased towards your own opinion of something - you highlight the good things about what you want, and highlight negative things about things you don't want. 
So when you are out there at the podium, keep in mind that you may have to be creative in getting through to some people.  Powerpoint the faces of victims, of rapists, of common thieves, if you have to!  Present it in such a manner that you will be remembered for your presentation rather than brushed off.