26 (edited by V. Kemp 26-Jul-2012 20:57:58)

Re: Where's the Ice?

Zarf BeebleBrix,

I've got a bunch of thoughts about emission taxation (which can be justified if real science substantiates a real threat to the planet/man)(which encourage lower-emission technology via economic incentive via the free market) and lofty ideas of using that tax revenue to finance the production and operation of technology to remove some of that CO2...

But none of that matters, because such proposals have the sole effect of exporting emissions-producing production. The simple fact is, so long as China and other developing nations (who already use coal for a greater portion of their power than the USA) are producing tons of CO2 and increasing that production every year, there's nothing that any one nation can do to to reduce global CO2 emissions.

It disturbs me that everyone so positive that their imaginary Ph.Ds enable them to judge studies they've never read is vehemently arguing for... nothing. They tend to argue for massive emissions taxation, but that just results in exported production. They counter that massive import taxes could be imposed on products produced elsewhere (so they could still effectively tax emissions), but that would only effect production imported to nations with such tariffs.

This brings up a very important point generally overlooked by everyone arguing for massive sacrifices in standard of living for the sake of reducing CO2 emissions (as Zidi was kind enough to provide us with an example of, above):

Most people on the earth are not living so large as Americans and Western Europeans. The majority of people on the planet are not willing to take a significant hit to their already-low (by our standards) standards of living because a bunch of academics and politicians tell them that they don't deserve to develop with the cheap energy that the West has enjoyed in the past century.

So I don't have any magical solution that I'd be happy to support. Anything truly effective (because it has to be global) requires NWO tyranny--What a coincidence that communists are convinced of the science so easily! Ideally, if the case were made with actual scientific evidence, not selective ice-core samples, most nations of the world would negotiate reductions in emissions to some level per capita to avoid Kyoto-style garbage treaties.

Your thoughts?





Zidi,

Thank you for providing an example of my point. Work such as that, which I don't describe as deceptive or "garbage," is extremely limited (Which I've also described on multiple occasions). It's an examination of one correlation using multiple very limited sources of data for two different regions of the globe (ie, with subjective attempts at synchronisation at that).

First, any examination of this one correlation without consideration of the plethora of other factors effecting global temperatures is limited. No scientist has managed to build a decent model working in the man-caused CO2 global warming hypothesis precisely because there are so many other factors involved that they (we) don't understand. I can't stress this generally-overlooked-by-the-wishful-thinking fact enough. Scientists can't rule out countless other factors impacting lag-time between temperature and CO2. Studying this correlation, by itself, isn't conclusive of anything, regardless of the results.

Furthermore, studies such as this one are working with extremely limited data from extreme regions of the globe--and correlating data between different regions of the globe, subject to different changes in climate patterns, at that. Is one polar region necessarily indicative of the temperature and CO2 changes of the whole globe and their correlation? Is the other? Should we expect them to always be impacted by changes in temperature/CO2 at the same rates, despite different surrounding regions and different weather patterns (and different changes in those patterns)?

The answer to all of these questions is no, especially not necessarily. The data being analyzed is extremely limited.

Pretending that what you provided is conclusive evidence of anything, let alone man-caused climate change, is just silly. I'm not choosing to ignore it, I'm simply choosing to evaluate it like I have all of the academic studies I've ever read. I'm simply choosing to be aware of its limitations, which are many, which are huge.

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Re: Where's the Ice?

@xeno

If I were to listen to you on what the Libertarian stance on global warming is before listening to Spock, it would be no different than if I was to find out your viewpoint by asking Kemp.


@Kemp

I'm going to hold off my input until after Flint answers.  Good to see a reply, though.  tongue

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Re: Where's the Ice?

Don't hold your breath.

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Re: Where's the Ice?

We'll see... tongue

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30 (edited by V. Kemp 26-Jul-2012 21:13:02)

Re: Where's the Ice?

It would be different than asking me for his viewpoint. He can't tell you what Libertarians (I really couldn't tell you either, I just give you my libertarian thoughts above, not Libertarian) support in regard to the possibility of man-caused climate change. I can, however, tell you all about his viewpoints.

I'm offended by your inaccuracy! You sell me short! I'm insulted! I'm offended! By a moderator, no less! sad *cries*

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31 (edited by xeno syndicated 26-Jul-2012 22:26:39)

Re: Where's the Ice?

> Paininside wrote:

> we dont controle the earth, it controles us, the only thing we need to worry about is that at some point we need to realize that population controle is the thing what must be done to keep a balanced mother earth for long term (thousends of years) we cant keep growing and plundering earth at some point its all used up, and when that starts wars wil break out all over the globe, that wil be ww3. by then population might aswell be double from what we have now, but its getting there and fast.

so will we 'kill' people to ensure ww3 wont happen (greedy people want it all for themselves so genocide or forced castration/euthanasia), or will we be at war killing people afterall.
fact is we cannot keep going as humanity has been going. and us normal folk have not much power/options to controle that outcome ourselves.


Paininside,

We shouldn't have to control our population.  We should have developed the technology already to send anyone who might want to to colonize other planets.

That we even feel the need to have to control our population is evidence of our failure to explore the cosmos fast enough.

In a free market, it would be over-population, or, rather, the the scarcity of land that would motivate people to explore and colonize space: real estate prices too high here would cause humanity to go look around the cosmos for cheaper land. 

Controlling our population is just another form of intervention in the free market.

32 (edited by Paininside 26-Jul-2012 23:22:49)

Re: Where's the Ice?

that wil not happen on time, we invest way to much in warfair then on exploring new planets, the distances r simply to big.
and warfair is human nature, aslong u got masters playing the puppets, and that wont change til after we have our global anarchy uprise.

and even if that technology excist in the near future, countrys wil use it to colonise other worlds so they can call it theirs! that is a mental state, we need to be one earth. else simply colonising wont solve the problem.

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Re: Where's the Ice?

Well thanks to Chuck Wiese I now know some additional facts

1) The ice cores show this 'pattern' throughout Greenlands history

2) The amount of melting is in most places... about a milimeter

3) They are apples to oranges comparing via using Satelites now, theories and speculations from back when.

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Re: Where's the Ice?

But there's limited evidence of melting in the ice!

You know...

Cause it melted...

And flowed away. tongue

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

35 (edited by Zidi 28-Jul-2012 06:54:02)

Re: Where's the Ice?

------------
Zidi,

Thank you for providing an example of my point. Work such as that, which I don't describe as deceptive or "garbage," is extremely limited (Which I've also described on multiple occasions). It's an examination of one correlation using multiple very limited sources of data for two different regions of the globe (ie, with subjective attempts at synchronisation at that).

First, any examination of this one correlation without consideration of the plethora of other factors effecting global temperatures is limited. No scientist has managed to build a decent model working in the man-caused CO2 global warming hypothesis precisely because there are so many other factors involved that they (we) don't understand. I can't stress this generally-overlooked-by-the-wishful-thinking fact enough. Scientists can't rule out countless other factors impacting lag-time between temperature and CO2. Studying this correlation, by itself, isn't conclusive of anything, regardless of the results.

Furthermore, studies such as this one are working with extremely limited data from extreme regions of the globe--and correlating data between different regions of the globe, subject to different changes in climate patterns, at that. Is one polar region necessarily indicative of the temperature and CO2 changes of the whole globe and their correlation? Is the other? Should we expect them to always be impacted by changes in temperature/CO2 at the same rates, despite different surrounding regions and different weather patterns (and different changes in those patterns)?

The answer to all of these questions is no, especially not necessarily. The data being analyzed is extremely limited.

Pretending that what you provided is conclusive evidence of anything, let alone man-caused climate change, is just silly. I'm not choosing to ignore it, I'm simply choosing to evaluate it like I have all of the academic studies I've ever read. I'm simply choosing to be aware of its limitations, which are many, which are huge.
--------------
I never claimed the paper did more then show that the lag between warming and CO2 may of been smaller then what is traditionally thought from looking at the previous cores, and that lag is something most climate skeptics jump on as proof that C02 comes after warming. I never said it showed proof of anything. Don't accuse me of saying things that i did not. You claimed that the 400 year lag in the Vostok showed by Al Gore in his movie (I agree that it was political manipulation, and if anything made climate scientists jobs harder) was proof C02 lagged temperature and couldn't be the driver. I simply showed a paper that provided evidence that this was not necessarily the case, and it is possible that they are more closely linked.

I know that a lot of news outlets have used this article to try stick the knife in climate change skeptics arguments. And this just highlights the problem with the media, and that this issue is a political issue. The media annoys the f*ck out of me. A scientist comes out and says "my climate models show that in 60% of cases Australia becomes dryer, and 30% it becomes wetter, and 10% it stays the same
and the next day the media has "AUSTRALIA TO BECOME DRYER OVER NEXT 100 YEARS."

This isn't what scientists want, and it makes me think a lot of the actual science is lost to the media and what makes it harder for the real science to be shown.

36 (edited by Zidi 28-Jul-2012 07:03:08)

Re: Where's the Ice?

Also as a side note, a lot of people talk about C02 and temperature rise being inter-linked, and that reducing our carbon emissions will reduce the amount of warming that will occur in the future. I personally think the system has enough positive feedback's in it that it will probably do its own thing from here on out regardless of what we do, and whether or not we gave the engine the kick start is a bit moot from here on out.

And regardless of whether the carbon dioxide caused warming, the acidification of the ocean it is causing could have far more problematic long term issues for humanity.

So in regards of how we should be spending out money, its a complicated political issue. And as long as certain percent of the population believe something, and another percent doesn't, it will be a political issue. If 70% of the world believe humans caused climate change, and want their political leaders to show they are doing something on the issue, then its in their political interests to do something about it, to get re-elected.

Its how politics works unfortunately.

37 (edited by xeno syndicated 28-Jul-2012 08:56:43)

Re: Where's the Ice?

> Paininside wrote:

> that wil not happen on time, we invest way to much in warfair then on exploring new planets, the distances r simply to big.
and warfair is human nature, aslong u got masters playing the puppets, and that wont change til after we have our global anarchy uprise.

and even if that technology excist in the near future, countrys wil use it to colonise other worlds so they can call it theirs! that is a mental state, we need to be one earth. else simply colonising wont solve the problem.

I don't agree that anything will be solved by a global anarchy uprising.  I'm not saying it wouldn't; just saying I'm not convinced it would, for as history has shown, revolutions just tend to replace one form of tyranny with another. 

You say it is a mental state; that we need one Earth and colonizing won't solve the problem.  I would tend to think it would solve a big problem: the odds of the survival of our species would be significantly improved if we had self-sufficient colonies on other planets.  If one colony had a war and blew itself up, or if another had a rogue neutron star veer through it's atmosphere and suck out all life on the planet in a blink, or if another got hit by an asteroid, there'd be other colonies which would survive.  The more colonies we would have, the better the odds would be that one of them would not only survived but also develop a social system which actually would improve our human nature to the point where warfare were no longer possible for us; improve human nature to the point where we might even reach the next stage of our development of sentience (whatever that might be).

Oh, and regarding distances between stars: not that big an issue if ships travel close to light-speed.  According to the theory of relativity, time slows down aboard ships traveling at or near light speed to the point where on board flights from stars to stars might take only a couple of weeks, days or even less according to the colonists' perspective, all depending on how quickly a ship can accelerate / decelerate and how close to light speed a ship can cruise between destinations.  For instance, if you had instant acceleration / deceleration to a nearby star say 50 light years away and could travel at the speed of light between here and there, although 50 years would pass on Earth, from your perspective on the ship, you would arrive instantly at the other star system.

Re: Where's the Ice?

"Oh, and regarding distances between stars: not that big an issue if ships travel close to light-speed. "

That's a pretty big if. Good job pretending it's nothing.

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