Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

I've been considering getting a full motorbike license and a half decent bike (been riding a scooter around the city for a few years) and did some quick calculations as to the danger of driving a bike.

Motorcyclists deaths in UK due to accident:
2007 - 517, 2008 - 477, 2009 - 421, 2010 - 347

With around 1 million active motorcyclists in the UK, that's a 1 in 3000 chance of dying on your bike each year. With the UK death rate sitting around 500k, if everyone drove bikes, this would increase to 522k. The chance of the average person dying in the UK is 0.00798% in any given year (of course this changes with age). If we slap on the chance of dying from a motorbike accident to this, it's 0.00829% (a difference of 0.00036%). So a 1/126 chance changes to a 1/120. So for example, let's assume the average life expectancy for someone my age is 90 and I decided I was going to ride a motorbike for the next 10 years - going by these simple numbers, my life expectancy would be reduced to 89.6 years.

HOWEVER, I don't think the average motorcyclist (that only drives a motorbike) can be considered the same as the average UK resident. I am inclined to believe they are less likely prone to alcoholism and it's detrimental effects, live happier lives (happier people live longer), are better off financially (bikes are cheaper than cars in every way). So I am inclined to think that that 0.00798% that applies to your typical person is not valid for your typical motorcyclist - I feel the number will be less. And I wonder whether this difference is more than 0.00036%, because if it were it would mean getting a motorbike instead of a car would increase my life expectancy tongue!

Opinions?

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

heres the USA stats

Motorcycle Crash Facts
Motorcyclist Fatalities Increase
Motorcycles are the most dangerous type of motor vehicle to drive.  These vehicles are involved in fatal crashes at a rate of 35.0 per 100 million miles of travel, compared with a rate of 1.7 per 100 million miles of travel for passenger cars.
Motorcyclists were 35 times more likely than passenger car occupants to die in a crash in 2006, per vehicle mile traveled, and 8 times more likely to be injured.
Although motorcycles account for only 2% of vehicles on the road, they make up more than 10% of all crashes.
Motorcycles accounted for nearly 3% of all registered motor vehicles and 0.4% of vehicle miles traveled in 2006.
Motorcycle fatalities have more than doubled in 10 years to 4,810 in 2006. Helmets saved the lives of 1,658 motorcyclists in 2006

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Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

I drive a station wagon

if I drove between two cars because they wouldn't drive fast enough to suit me, I'd buy it too

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

How about a bicycle?

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

How about a Semi?

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

so you re goingto loose .4 years...
but you ll prolly will have made up for that by skipping the traffic jams.. ;-p

till the end of time..

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

The real threat is riding a scooter. 100% of studies show that your balls figuratively fall off and you completely die inside [you little girly man!].

I'm pretty sure a bike won't protect you from alcoholism in any particular case. Considering alcoholism is just silly.

And remember that everyone who has a bike has a car or wants to, in addition. It's not a cost-saver unless you're so broke you can't afford a car. The only people riding bikes who don't have cars are the dead-broke who wish they had just a little more income for an inexpensive automobile.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

lol nemeara tongue

Mister Spock, my figurative balls are in good working order (I think o_0!) .. a scooter is just a small motorcycle with floor boards tongue .. still beats most things at the lights. Alcoholism is an addicition to alcohol. You're going to be drinking less alcohol on a day to day basis when your only mode of transport is 2-wheels and public transport. Less exposure = less risk.

I've never wanted a car - very boring things to me. Strange considering I'm an engineer. Parents offered to pay for lessons when I was younger, I was totally uninterested. But it's come to the time for the need of a mode of transport that can take me on longer hauls than around the city. I simply cannot justify in my mind owning 2 tonnes of metal to carry my lazy 80kgs around, and it's 2 tonnes. The financial burden a car has on you seems ridiculously unappealing to me as the cheaper alternative is a bike (something I'd enjoy spending money on as apposed to begrudging). Sure, when I have a wife and 2.2 kids my tune will change about the need for a 2 tonne chunk of metal and plastic - but I'm not there yet tongue.

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

If I had the money I'd be learning to ride a motorbike this summer.

I don't though sad

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

I meant cars are convenient for practical purposes. If you're just some guy who can't get things done, well, that's your problem. Whether you think it's a problem or not. tongue

Regarding alcoholism, I just meant that riding doesn't inherently make you less prone to drink. You might not drink some times if you know you have to ride, but an alcoholic will make time to drink. Your presumption that owning a bike somehow saves the health of would-be alcoholics is not logical. tongue

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

11 (edited by Pixies 19-Jul-2012 14:07:14)

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

"If you're just some guy who can't get things done, well, that's your problem. Whether you think it's a problem or not."
What does that even mean or relate to x_x!?

Haha, I'm saying if an individual is not an alcoholic and actively rides a motorbike, they are less likely to become an alcoholic because they'll be less exposed to the stuff. Your typical person driving a car is alright with having one or two just before driving inside their metal box with airbags. Your typical motorcyclist is not alright having one or two just before riding on top of their metal box tongue. Less exposure to alcohol = less risk of becoming an alcoholic. That is my logic. It is sound.

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

I'm saying cars are convenient, and there's a million things you can't carry on a bike. tongue

Your conjecture regarding alcoholism is completely erroneous. tongue It's hilarious that you said your logic was sound. Oh, sweet irony.

I'm sorry, that's retarded. It's not even worth an explanation. Yeah, get a bike. I'll reduce your chances of alcoholism! lol

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

C'mon Mr Spock - my official IQ comfortably puts me in the top 2%. Doing a phd in rocket science, my logic needs to be vulcan-like tongue. Why is my argument "retarded"?

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

When Europes economy collapses you could live in a car, be protected from common abuse and most weather issues... your scooter will become a property item for some hoodlums to play a crash derby with.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

'murrica isn't going to go down without kicking and screaming when China reestablishes itself as the world super-power .. and with all of your nuclear weapons technology as of late last year hacked and in the hands of the Chinese .. that fight won't be pretty X(!

At least us Europeans will live until the nuclear winter gets us tongue!

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

Pixies, you demonstrate absolutely no knowledge of addiction or alcoholism. If you put as much thought and research into your academic studies as you did your massive flawed presumptions regarding alcoholism/addiction, you'd be lucky if they let you manufacture bottle rockets. If what you claim regarding ratings of your intellectual capacity is true, it's downright bizarre that you even have to ask.

And this, after completely missing my jab about your scooter. I know that's not just a local thing. You even bragged about how it can do 1-10 awfully quickly!

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

Spock, I prefer to keep those details about myself on the low-down, but it ticks me off when people feel the need to deride me or others in an act of self-efficacy. I say again, you are yet to make your counter-argument. Belittling my argument is not constructive..

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

If you want to pretend that alcoholism will be impacted in the slightest by concern for one's means of transportation, you keep smoking that crack pipe and believing anything you want. It's not me deriding you; you're taking care of that yourself.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

Again you provide no counter-argument tongue .. I have my ideas on what you'd say, and counter-arguments to them. But I'd rather you give your argument because it's likely I've not accounted for everything you've thought of. Or are you just going to continue on this track of derision and allow me to win the point by forfeit tongue?

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

Whatever you want to tell yourself. Maybe alcoholics would quit drinking if we offered them free popsicles! Nevermind that, like with your presumption, the tiny motivation not to drink is absolutely nothing compared to the addiction and would never, in a million years, be taken seriously as a consideration having any bearing on an alcoholic's behavior.

Some alcoholics drink and ride. Some alcoholics try to be done riding for the day so they can drink. Some alcoholics try not to drink too much before they're done riding for the day. Some alcoholics drink and crash. Some alcoholics drink and die.

They're alcoholics. Consideration of their means of transport won't thwart their alcoholism any more than the knowledge that they're surely destroying their liver, giving themselves cancer, and killing themselves. This is the crux of why your theory is so ignorant and silly. If your IQ is that high, please tell us how you managed to forget that you have absolutely no knowledge of alcoholism or addiction.

Hell, I can drink a 6-pack and ride off-road on unfamiliar terrain and enjoy doing it. Sure I might drink a little less for a time if I know I'm going to ride. But it certainly has 0 impact on my net alcohol consumption. *lol* And I don't even drink that often. The notion that it impacts the drinking habits of anyone remotely approaching the term "alcoholic" is priceless.

That you brought up alcoholism in reference to a decision to own/ride a motorcycle was already hilarious. This self-righteous defense you're keeping up, as if it wasn't laughable from the start, is priceless. Do you often theorize about things you know absolutely nothing about and then demand that others take the time to source arguments against your absolutely ridiculous theories?

I didn't mean any disrespect in laughing you off and not seriously arguing against your ridiculous theory. By not explaining, as if to a child, that addiction doesn't work that way and we can safely presume without a study that you're 100% wrong, I was offering you the opportunity to save face. I suggested that it was THAT obvious that you should look into it and not continue to make an ass of yourself here. This was obviously as lost on you.

Why don't you go ask your question on a forum for recovering alcoholics. If they don't laugh you all the way off the board it'll be because they're offended: They'd likely presume you're trolling because your suggestion is just that ignorant and ridiculous.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

> Pixies wrote:

> "If you're just some guy who can't get things done, well, that's your problem. Whether you think it's a problem or not."
What does that even mean or relate to x_x!?

Haha, I'm saying if an individual is not an alcoholic and actively rides a motorbike, they are less likely to become an alcoholic because they'll be less exposed to the stuff. Your typical person driving a car is alright with having one or two just before driving inside their metal box with airbags. Your typical motorcyclist is not alright having one or two just before riding on top of their metal box tongue. Less exposure to alcohol = less risk of becoming an alcoholic. That is my logic. It is sound.

^^ please read the above. I was NOT saying that if an alcoholic gets a motorbike license they're going to stop drinking .. I was saying a non-alcoholic will have less chance of becoming an alcoholic if they get a motorbike license because the nature of driving a motorbike demands stricter avoidance of drinking. The less a non-alcoholic is exposed to alcohol, the less chance they have of becoming an alcoholic. That was my hypothesis. You seemed to miss that point, tiger.

Pixies My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard, and they're like you wanna trade cards?

22 (edited by V. Kemp 19-Jul-2012 18:02:21)

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

The typical motorcyclist is not alright having one or two before riding? As opposed to what? Most drivers are? You're just making random assumptions with no basis. Your theory is filled with completely unfounded assumptions. That you're afraid of your scooter after one or two beers is not indicative of a trend for riders to drink less.

Motorcycle riders are not magically exposed to less opportunities/chances to drink than anybody else. You have absolutely no basis for your assumption that riders have less exposure to alcohol. That's not logic; it's an assumption. And it has no basis.

Alcoholism is addiction. It's not about exposure. It's not a cold. You don't up your chances for it by being exposed to a few more drops of alcohol. Again, that's not logic; it's an assumption. And it has no basis.

I didn't miss your point: Your hypothesis is laughable. You know absolutely nothing about addiction or alcoholism. I've pointed this out already, but your IQ doesn't seem to be adequate to register this important fact.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

this is not directed at anybody but having a high IQ just means your learning capabilities are high and your proficiency at what you learn is high which will do you well in life, my Mom has a IQ of 171  but she has no common sense or street smarts

✞✝✞ Șώεετ ɖરεᎯɱȘ ✞✝✞

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

It's also a very flawed measure of intelligence for multiple reasons. But saying that would require a lengthy explanation in this thread. tongue

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Life expectancy of motorcyclists...

Everyone on the internet has an IQ of 200+ and an 8 inch penis.

Except me sad