Short version:
No chance in hell for Obama to win.

Long version:
Obama has no chance in hell.

First let's look at his campaign promises:

1) No lobbyists in his administration
He has tons in his administration and is frequently seen as assisting them as much as he can. His administration went out of their way to help Solyndria, Fisker, and other green efforts that all collapsed.  So he has them in his admin and he goes out of his way to coddle them.

2) Gitmo will be closed
Yeah that places that was to close is still open, and they still use some enhanced interrogation methods

3) Most open administration ever.
Most door shut and locked down with beams is more like it. Beyond frequent efforts to prevent information being released to public, releases are scheduled for Friday night to reduce chances of the releases making the new.

His own school records are still sealed. What did he study? Who were his teachers? Nothing is known... and people are noticing.

4) Reduce racial tensions
Wow... like really? Who even believes that now after the Harvard Proffessor incident, the Black Panther get out of jail card, and the Zimmerman incident?

5) I will make the United States be respected around the world.
Europes leaders openly dismiss his ideas's, their press mock him, Islamists are ever more against us instead of neutral, N. Korea and Iran treat him like a joke, and Russia makes him bend over and take a train to prevent 'bad relations'.

6) Fixing the economy
Hahahahaha what a joke!

7) Provide energy independence
How many billions did he pump out to 'green energy' companies? Meanwhile oil prices continue to grow and he continues to stop as much as he can new exploration on Federal Lands.

His own advisor, Chu, has said he wants European prices ($9 a gallon) and there is tons of video available with Obama saying 'prices are going to rise'... all this while people are pissed at prices.

________

And that my friends is a short list!

Next we have upset Demographics

The Unions who would have made the Keystone XL pipeline.

The out of work coal workers and coal power plant workers

People working in oil (not the bosses... the workers)

Truck Drivers

Catholics

Jews

Hispanics (really smart move letting mass hysteria launch against Zimmerman... a Hispanic male)

Polish Americans

Reno and Las Vegas workers (You can't goto Vegas and hold your conventions there!)

And soon people around the nation as gasoline prices skyrocket. San Fransisco is due for as high as $6.00 a gallon, and most of the rest of the nation over $5.00 a gallon...

____________

Now to examind fund raising.

So far he has been way under his fundraising goals. It is so bad he had to renege on his 'hate' of Super PAC's and is now going to rely upon them to hopefully bridge the gap.

His spending however is way out of hand, even exceeding his fund-raising currently. He has a over-sized staff and is getting no true effect for them.

In fact analyists have shown he has raised less than George W. Bush raised in 2004 at this time. This inglorious fact just highlights his problems. All groups that supported Obama have reduced their donations. The problem is very much so noticed in student donations.

The final nail in the coffin here is his email solicitations. Instead of asking for $10, $20, $50 and higher... he now commonly asks for sums like $3.

____________

He also had something few could claim.  A Congress able to pass ANYTHING they wanted. What miracles did they perform?

Oh that's right... a tainted Health Care bill which will be killed soon.

Heck it gets even funnier.... Democrats have nonstop shot down his outrageous and insane budgets he proposes.

A Republican with a super majority is a dream, yet even when Clinton was in charge we accomplished more than Obama (Welfare reform, balanced budget)

________________

What else?

The number of volunteers is way down for him from 2008. He cannot get people to step up. This is a big problem for him.

With actual unemployment near 16% everyone, or nearly so, knows someone who has financial problems. While Obama may try to talk a good game about Economics... he cannot get past his previous comments and actions. And assuming Romney wins... perceptions for most of the 16% wishing they had jobs... would be that Romney could get them jobs. He is known for his turning around disasters after all.

The obvious cronyism is hurting him. He made promises that made most Liberals think they would have it made "I won't need to pay for gas, my mortgage will be taken care of. If I take care of him he will take care of me." and yet his supporters are amongst the worst hurt. Meanwhile he is seen supporting Unions and Green groups at cost to his other supporters. They do not feel his love.

His not firing Holder or getting him to resign is hurting him also. Fast and Furious may be getting dragged out, but now it will start affecting his re-election.

Truck drivers will also be critical. More small businesses will collapse (owner operators) this Summer thanks to high fuel prices than ever in the history of the United States. Additionally to that his policies will cost at minimum 600,000 their jobs. They will be against him entirely.

Then there is his opposition.

We hate him and his policies. Not a racist hate, a hate for a man who has the appearance to seek the destruction of this nation, to ruin Catholics as much as he can, to do immeasurable harm.

Right now I dare say if Joe Biden was forced upon us the way Mitt Romney is being forced upon us he would be the next President just on our energy, or desperate desire to be rid of Obama.

While fundraising during the heated Primary was low... indications are when a candidate is selected finally he (or she) will see a massive influx of cash.

And the candidate will have volunteers aplenty. Mitt Romney can pull a dedicated source of Mormons that will make Obama's number of volunteers look pathetic.

The attacks by the left on women has swelled our ranks a lot as well.

Then there is the inside stuff.

Few realize it... but Obama beat Hillary and then McCain thanks to a system called 'Nation Builder'. This set of tools provided him information on where to target for fund raising, where to target for votes, what messages would play best in a region, tools for his GOTV efforts, and more.

Conservatives are rolling out RVotes and another system everywhere they can in response. Our high tech will match their high tech.

Additionally we pulled off some coups in leadership using the PCP system, Conservatives have taken over a number of States run by the Establishment or RINO's. Those States are now rising in strength and numbers and the effect is being noted by Conservative insiders like me.

Obama also pissed Hillary off by not appointing her to a UN position she deeply wanted. Expect 'reduced' help from her.

So... Obama has a snow balls chance in the center of Sol.