Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

I wasn't trying to argue the point Flint, I was just posting a reputed report that does not agree with your statement 'Man made Global Warming (AGW) is false.'

I am not a scientist and can't argue over something I don't really comprehend, all I do is realise most of the scientist community agrees mankind is playing a signifcant part in rising temperatures over the last few years.

I am not going to throw a thousand links at you to prove this is so, you know it is. Just like I know some other scientists disagree. What do you want to do, a links competition?

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

It is part of the new expansion pack released last year, Cataclysm.

The boss has an AoE centered around him that in heroic mode would kill most tanks let alone anyone silly enough to be in range. My bear could take one of those, but the healer had best be on watch. The boss gave warning with "run away little girl" and a graphic. My bear was very well equipped missing only one item before firelands was released... the Bear Polearm... just would not drop.

Run away little girl in wow meant literally run away cause the pwnhammer was coming, and kinda got used in chat and vent for anything dangerous that you should get away from

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Ah, I played from the original through BC, WoTLK, and started on Cata but got bored and was too busy and such...didn't raid in Cata though...

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

As for my sources, some are news stories, some are scientific papers. Some are data sources.

Most of the stuff I can put out if challenged is doctorate written, peer reviewed, and has successfully stood up in the face of scrutiny of the enemy.

However when not challenged I will post whatever takes my fancy.

I have been on global warming for a while, and I keep studying the evidence, besides math and politics.... this is me. I am so confident that if I had ten thousand dollars right nowk I would make a commercial right now fighting against it.


All levels are tainted. It is just one hell of a huge lie. The ground station data is wrong (proven), the Satelite data is flawed (proven), the Forcing is incorrect (proven), the models fail quickly (proven), the correlation with Cosmic Radiation is ignored, the history of the world is ignored.

The Gobi used to be a tropical forest, in Arizona they sell fossilized wood that used to be part of a vast wilderness there.... now a desert. They ignore records of previous glacier loss (they formed in the little ice age according to some, and have been dying since), and of glaciers that are growing.

When some college kids used Google Earth and found ice caps were larger than reported an embarrassed scientist claimed they knew of the error rate but since the satelite they were using had longer records they thought it better for comparison.

They ignore evidence the ice cap at the arctic has natural variability (I posted a 2005 and a 2008 image for comparison, 2008 is larger around greenland but mostly the same otherwise). They ignore that the South Pole, aka Antarctica is adding lots more ice.

The common man does not think of inflation when he see's the damages done in a year to infrastructure. The common person thinks US Corn Ethanol produces less pollution than normal oil.

So many things I could go on about, and provide the strongest proofs for. Yet the other side refuses to listen, much like a child with their fingers in their ears.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

"They ignore that the South Pole, aka Antarctica is adding lots more ice."

Source? I am rather curious about this one...

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Ask and ye shall receive!

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/1116701221801_45/?hub=SciTech
http://motls.blogspot.com/2007/09/antarctic-sea-ice-at-record-high.html
http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/topstory/20020820southseaice.html
http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/news/02/pr0203.htm
http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/3913
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-04/haog-tad042108.php


A mix of news, government sites, and university studies.

And I did not even break a sweat on that.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

All data is flawed in some way in that it is impossible to get an experimental value which is free from all random and systematic error and which is completely accurate (by which is meant that the datum you have collected is exactly the right answer) and absolutely precise (by which is meant that your measurement is completely reproducible), which is why it should always come with an uncertainty estimate. If the data upon which a conclusion is based is incorrect then it is absolutely good critical evaluation to point that out and potentially dismiss the conclusion. However I think you are possibly in danger of over-extending your criticism. Is all ground station data wrong? Is all satellite data flawed? Or have you just read about one or two instances of incorrect data and then applied them to every report which has a conclusion you disagree with but not the ones you do agree with?

What is the timescale over which the Gobi desert turned from a tropical forest into a desert? Same for Arizona. Are we talking about millions of years over which time the tectonic plates moved and continents broke up? If that is the case then it is not really relevant. If we are talking about more recent and faster changes, then doesn't that make any potential cause of climate change all the more worrying? It would be absurd to deny that natural changes can't change the climate, but pointing out natural changes does not address whether human-caused changes are happening or not or whether they can potentially happen in the future.

Which was larger between ice coverage in 2005 and 2008 is largely irrelevant. It would be possible to pick any two years to illustrate any point you chose to make. The relevant data is the trend over the long term, after all what we are interested in is climate, not weather. You cannot infer anything from just two data points, especially if those are two points which you have specially selected to illustrate your pre-determined point. I do not believe that those are randomly taken data points, and there are numerous other variables such as the date in the year and at which date the peak ice coverage occurred in each year.

And out of interest, where are the grapes on Greenland?

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Just looking at the first of those sources you posted...

"The interior of the east Antarctic ice sheet is the only large terrestrial ice body that is likely gaining mass rather than losing it," said Curt Davis, an engineering professor at the University of Missouri-Columbia, who co-authored the report.

"They said their work pertains only to the interior, eastern part of the Antarctic ice sheet. Other parts of the sheet may be contributing to rises in sea level, not mitigating them."

"Markus Frey said that with results that only document what's happened in the past 10 years, it's impossible to tell whether the trends will continue, and whether they've been caused by natural climate variation or human-caused global warming."

"During the past century, warmer temperatures have caused melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and mountain glaciers, which has translated into a rise in the oceans. The trend is expected to continue."

I don't actually like some of these sentences because they are themselves unsourced, but my point is to highlight what the source you are using is actually saying, and to try to demonstrate that you possibly haven't actually read the sources yourself. Total global ice coverage is more important that just one location, this report seems to deal with just one location and not even the whole of Antarctica as you seemed to claim, and in fact the source says that this location is the only major ice body which is likely to be gaining ice rather than losing it. It would be a lot better if you just posted a single, good quality source which actually supported the claims you make (or more accurately, it would be better if the claims you made were justified based on the good quality sources you had read).

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

34 (edited by [TI] Sitting Duck 02-Mar-2012 18:17:20)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

The second link is a blog with an advert for some dodgy thai dating service down the side.... I'm not even going to read it

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

35 (edited by [TI] Sitting Duck 02-Mar-2012 18:53:00)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

In fact, I actually did go on to read all of the sources Flint just posted.

This post is in addition to the post I made above about this link http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/SciTech/20050521/antarctic_sheet_050521/

Link no 2: http://motls.blogspot.com/2007/09/antarctic-sea-ice-at-record-high.html

This is somebody's blog, this person's credentials are completely unknown but they are keen for me to go to www.idateasia.com. They point out that Arctic ice has been retreating. The author uses this data (http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.area.south.jpg) to claim that Antarctic ice has been retreating even though it looks to me like total area is fairly constant - i doubt but have not tested that those apparent all time records are statistically significant. Additionally one of the commenters pointed out that the author ignored the Arctic graph http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.area.jpg which shows a more obvious down. However the graphs aren't plotted on the same scales (just). It is interesting to note that there is some periodicity in the Northern hemisphere graph with a period of about 6 years, however each period is lower than the previous one. The two years that Flint chose earlier 2005 and 2008, show that 2005 is at the trough of one period and 2008 is half a cycle later at the peak of the next one. What is more significant is that 2008 is lower than 2000-2002 which is the peak of the previous period (though this comparison still does not form a long term trend).

Link no. 3: http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/home/index.html

This takes me to some kind of home page, not really showing much, are we supposed to be looking at the first story about the difficulties of measuring snowfall? Not sure this is relevant, or it needs some kind of comment as to what you think we are getting out of the article.

Link no. 4: http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/news/02/pr0203.htm

"Antarctica overall has cooled measurably during the last 35 years - despite a global average increase in air temperature of 0.6 degrees Celsius during the 20th century - making it unique among the Earth's continental landmasses" <--This is the very first line of the article, you almost certainly haven't read the article if you think this supports a conclusion that the Earth is not warming.

Link no. 5: http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/3913

I don't quite understand the proposed mechanism in this article (about streams beneath the ice sheet freezing etc.), but otherwise can't really find fault with the article. I don't think it is used in the correct way by Flint though because it only concerns one mass of ice, which is not necessarily a measure of any changes in global conditions.

Link no. 6: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-04/haog-tad042108.php

Again I can't really find fault with it, but I don;t really know why it is relevant. It does mention that there are warming trends seen in the Arctic as well as cooling in the Antarctic but it mainly looks like a description of an ongoing experiment to measure iron concentration.

In conclusion it seems to me that the sources you post do not really support the overall claims you are making. Some of them are blatently unreliable e.g. blogs and they aren;t all relevant to the specific point you have made or posted them in support of. Even those which are directly relevant sometimes directly contradict your overall point. None of them suggest that any effects are not related to human activity, and none of them show any global trends or global data. Where they do mention global data they mention warming trends.

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

"It would be a lot better if you just posted a single, good quality source which actually supported the claims you make (or more accurately, it would be better if the claims you made were justified based on the good quality sources you had read)."

This would be impossible, as any single source supporting his claims would be contested on the grounds that it was a single source, the time frame was too short, the area in question was too specific, etc etc etc.

As I said:  I don't give a rats ass if the Earth returns to a ball of molten lava in 5051.  As a POLITICAL crisis, it is OVER.  We are NOT facing imminent global humanitiarian disaster from greenhouse gas emissions.  Kyoto dead.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Pick the two news stories... sheesh.

As for the ground stations in the United States... just looked to confirm, 89% are inaccurate by a MINIMUM of 1 degree hotter than reality.

As for the satelite data, the GISS provided data has been examined by Mr. Watts and by others, all who have come to the same conclusion.... it is filled with errors and... I believe they called them dead zones.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

The Yell,

Then sources posted should flow logically, be relevant and actually say what we are told that they say. As it is we are being bombarded with long lists of links with no explanatory material, critique or context as to why they are relevant and upon further investigation (whihc actually takes quite a bit of time, which I don't really have) we are finding that they do not support the claims being made - what a waste of everybody's time!

Is it intentionally ironic that you have answered my posts criticising evidence analysis and unfounded statements by saying "As a POLITICAL crisis, it is OVER.  We are NOT facing imminent global humanitiarian disaster from greenhouse gas emissions."?

Typing in capitals doesn't make it more correct.

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Ok now you read them all.
I will post later the significance.

Btw damn you NASA for hiding the info <(

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

"Pick the two news stories... sheesh."

Are you criticising your own sources?

"As for the ground stations in the United States... just looked to confirm, 89% are inaccurate by a MINIMUM of 1 degree hotter than reality."

So how was the measurement which is 1 degree lower made and why have you decided to believe that one? Where is the source?

I've no idea who Mr.Watts is or what specific data you are talking about or what conclusions were taken from that data.

tweehonderd graden, dat is waarom ze me mr. fahrenheit noemen, ik reis aan de snelheid van het licht, ik ga een supersonische man van u maken

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Www.Surfacestations.org

Evidence in full on the 89% quote, and supporting evidence by him to support his claim.

As for the rest... I get home in about 2 hours... just need to do paperwork and deposit some checks. Then I can make a grand post for you to set ya in gear.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

"Is it intentionally ironic that you have answered my posts criticising evidence analysis and unfounded statements by saying "As a POLITICAL crisis, it is OVER.  We are NOT facing imminent global humanitiarian disaster from greenhouse gas emissions."?

Typing in capitals doesn't make it more correct."

True.  Its accuracy is borne out by the fact that there has been an unpredicted ten-year hiatus in global warming.
However I write has nothing to do with that fact.

The political crisis of global warming was the prospect of unchecked global temperature increases that flooded coastlines, rendered cropland to desert, forced the migration of dozens of millions, and created a humanitarian crisis in every nation simultaneously by 2040.   This crisis has evaporated, with the demonstrated hiatus in global temperatures.  It is undisputable fact that the AGW crowd cannot estimate with any reliability, the world climate for the remainder of the century, or the humanitarian consequences.  There is therefore no urgency about their agenda for industrial limitation.

Go ahead and declare victory on the AGW debate on the grounds of violations of Oxford debate rules, as we engage Asia and Africa in the Third Industrial Revolution.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Ok I chose 6 links at random... just so you know.

First link, here is the primary information:

TUCSON, Ariz.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

I have a few things to add, which I find quite funny.

First Flint in your opening post you say that 'the enemy' have resorted to personal attacks to attack the anti-global warming argument, and yet the links you provided in that post link to a forum post which has a long list of links, which on quick examination the first post by that commentator appears to be personal attacks on high profile public figures who happen to believe in gloabal warming, and if not then un-refferenced oppionon pieces. He does appear to get better later on, but it was still hilarious.

Second, you refference the cloud forming experiment by CERN around cosmic radiation, which I am reasonably sure you posted about when it was first published and I see that your comprehension of that experiment is still lacking. I did read that paper, and analysis of it and saw with my own eyes that the method put forward was in fact a hypothetical method and in reality some key parameters did not meet the asumptions made in the paper. What this meant that, like other links you provide, that paper did not proove or disproove anything to do with global warming. I haven't looked so I don't know if there has been follow up experiment which may try and take into account real world factors.

Third, I may be putting words into your mouth, but are you saying that the Ozone holes are not true? I am reasonably sure my greatly increased risk of cancer anytime I go outside in summer (or spring or autumn) for longer than 10 minutes has something else to say on that matter. There may not be an ozone hole where you are, but there is here.

Fourth, has there been a study (I am too lazy to search) which shows if the assumed temperature error in that study by www.surfacestation.org is actually true?

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

The site attacks idiot profiteers. We are talking almost 1 trillion dollars of FRAUD. I agree they should be mocked at the least.

The CERN document reinforces this stuff and more research:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/01/22/correlation-demonstrated-bewteen-cosmic-rays-and-temperature-of-the-stratosphere/
http://www.sciencebits.com/CosmicRaysClimate
http://archives.cnn.com/2002/TECH/space/07/31/earth.rays/index.html


Ozone hole is usually centered with a portion at the southern magnetic pole. There is enough research to indicate it is a natural phenomenon and cannot be significantly altered by man. I can linkify this if really arsed to do so.

www.surfacestations.org has had a white paper published, and soon the site owner is publishing a 2nd with more information regarding weather data collection... I have been given a taste of the new paper... It will be... umm... a case closed on the fact that weather data is not being correctly gathered.


Trust me, between three sites... http://z4.invisionfree.com/Popular_Technology/index.php?showtopic=2050 http://www.surfacestations.org and http://www.wattsupwiththat.com I can usually come up with any necessary SCIENTIFIC proof counter to any argument presented.


As Zarf always points out... Correlation =/= Causation. Additionally as I point out... one side is getting hundreds of billions, the other gets not even a hundredth of that amount. Which side would someone join if they want a lot of money?

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Really, the only reason why I habitually point out the correlation/causation issue is so I have an excuse to post that comic strip...  tongue

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

"Ozone hole is usually centered with a portion at the southern magnetic pole. There is enough research to indicate it is a natural phenomenon and cannot be significantly altered by man. I can linkify this if really arsed to do so."

I am asking you to do so tongue

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

For this thread, it seems like we should just make it a general rule that every statement of fact from anyone saying anything more than their forum name should have a specific source cited with the statement... this thread is starting to get delayed by the monotony of requesting sources.

You're all debating a question of science, and a very thoroughly debated one at that.  So... yes, citing specific sources should probably be the norm in this particular thread.

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

Agreed.

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Global Warming / Climate Change

> ~Wornstrum~ wrote:

> Agreed.


Source!  Prove that you agree!  tongue

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...