Topic: BioFuels

First while it is fresh in my head let me comment on the navy and biofuels.

Obama dictated they seek these new fuels. In fact he forced them to use a fuel that cost $3000 a gallon recently. Guess what the company with the contracts profit margins are, who they donate to, and their pwn political affiliation...

But that is besides the point.

The armed forces has dibs on any fuel they need from US manufactorers by law. Additionally they have the United States first coal to oil plant.

They also have treaties with many nations allowing fuel to be obtained there.

And as I outlined in the other thread there is a minimum of 400 years of fuel left.






Now to biofuels.

Any and all plant life can be used... There is only the questions of residue and octanes to consider. Wood pulp, sege grass, moss, bacteria, corn, sugar, roses... Anything that grows or breathes, excluding viruses and certain lower lifeforms, can be made into fuel.


In the case of corn ethanol several problems exist if you believe the man made global warning lie...

First it takes more oil and electricity (aka coal) than the resulting 'fuel' can produce an equivalent of. Second the total effort produces MORE carbon dioxide instead of reducing the amount. Third it tends to clog up engines reducing their efficiency (further increasing CO2 growth) and requiring more maintainance. Lastly, in environmentalists views, the required subsidies could be spent on other programs they think could work.



The problems stopping it from ending are politicians who staked their futures to it, farmers who lobby to keep the very profitable subsidies, the uneducated environmental supporters who do not know better, and sheer momentum.


In Oregon a pilot plant called Biomass One will literally take any biomass at all and provide energy.


While MIT's  Technology Review keeps good track of the new developments, so far biofuel is the least affordable of environmentalist energy schemes.



As for pollution in China... You have no EPA, OSHA, DEQ, or equivalent agencies. Your government wants growth, and safety is only relevent when the disaster is so outrageous that the population might rise up if it is not addressed. Like children making fireworks in schools instead of doing schoolwork.

That will change when you overthrow the government, killing most of them in the process, and fix your nation a bit.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: BioFuels

> Einstein wrote:

>As for pollution in China... You have no EPA, OSHA, DEQ, or equivalent agencies.
>Your government wants growth, and safety is only relevent when the disaster is so
>outrageous that the population might rise up if it is not addressed. Like children
>making fireworks in schools instead of doing schoolwork.

>That will change when you overthrow the government, killing most of them in the
>process, and fix your nation a bit.

Did I really read this right?  A Republican congressional candidate is suggesting that the proletariat should overthrow their government in order to institute job-killing government bureaucracies?

Re: BioFuels

I do not have an issue with the DEQ or OSHA.... Epa sucks

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: BioFuels

One thing to remember about the EPA... although there are definitely areas where it could be improved, definitely including some over-regulated areas, the general idea of environmental protection isn't some concept which Republicans are universally supposed to disagree with.  Just like the idea of regulation... the debate's generally not a question of 0 government vs. total government dictation of everything (barring some political extremes).  Rather, both sides have their interpretation of the "ideal" amount of regulation, each of which fits along a spectrum, somewhere around the middle (whether the "ideal" amount of regulation is in the form of an overall axiom or a case by case analysis is up to the individual... either way, it fits the same type of explanation).

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

5 (edited by ~Wornstrum~ 12-Dec-2011 13:46:39)

Re: BioFuels

First it takes more oil and electricity (aka coal) than the resulting 'fuel' can produce an equivalent of. Second the total effort produces MORE carbon dioxide instead of reducing the amount. Third it tends to clog up engines reducing their efficiency (further increasing CO2 growth) and requiring more maintainance. Lastly, in environmentalists views, the required subsidies could be spent on other programs they think could work.


I would like to see your figures/sources on that...

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: BioFuels

He doesn't have any, just his own delusions...

"Sticks and stones may break my bones, but i am Jesus"
"Nothing is worse than a fully prepared fool"

Re: BioFuels

"First it takes more oil and electricity (aka coal) than the resulting 'fuel' can produce an equivalent of."

Lol.  You can say the same about gasoline.

"Second the total effort produces MORE carbon dioxide instead of reducing the amount."

More than what?  Producing gasoline?  Arguable.  It depends on the accessibility of the oil deposit.  If, for, example, the oil field is 10km beneath the 100m depth of ocean in the north Atlantic, carbon footprint is probably more than that of the average ethanol manufacturer.  You can grow crops for ethanol in already more or less accessible regions, while oil deposits will probably continue to become more and more inaccessible. 

"Third it tends to clog up engines reducing their efficiency (further increasing CO2 growth) and requiring more maintainance."

This is I will consider a myth unless sourced, scientific evidence this effect is presented. 

"Lastly, in environmentalists views, the required subsidies could be spent on other programs they think could work"

I agree with this bit, but not as an environmentalist - simply as a humanitarian.  Ethanol from food crops during a global food crisis is an absurd proposition at best and potentially criminal at worst.

8 (edited by Zarf BeebleBrix 13-Dec-2011 07:00:27)

Re: BioFuels

> xeno syndicated wrote:

> "Lastly, in environmentalists views, the required subsidies could be spent on other programs they think could work"

I agree with this bit, but not as an environmentalist - simply as a humanitarian.  Ethanol from food crops during a global food crisis is an absurd proposition at best and potentially criminal at worst.




Not that I necessarily disagree with you, but I want to throw a curveball into the works here:

The food crisis was directly responsible for the Arab Spring uprisings in the Middle East.  The most successful uprisings, most notably in Egypt, definitely began over complaints about high food prices (attributable to ethanol subsidies).  Without those uprisings, millions of people would still be living under brutal dictatorships willing to manipulate their monopoly over oil reserves for political leverage against their people and foreign nations.

Think about that for a moment.  How does that play into the right/wrong worldview?  tongue

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: BioFuels

"Think about that for a moment."

Consider it considered.

In effect, Zarf, you recognize a check and balance factor on the price of oil: if the price of oil gets to high, more ethanol is used, which drives food prices higher, resulting in increased rates of starvation and malnourishment in developing countries, social unrest, and wars.  What a perfect system to keep the oil tycoons from profiting too much.

Re: BioFuels

Not quite... it's not rooted in high oil prices.  Actually, in some cases, it's quite the opposite.  Remember, when oil prices are high, oil nations generally manage to keep the population quiet by subsidizing every product on the market.  So if food prices rise along with oil prices, oil revenues will be redirected to subsidize food, keeping food prices low so the people don't feel the effects.

I'm looking at a data sheet on oil prices during the past 5 years... the Arab Spring actually began during a period of relatively mild prices... and by "mild," I mean "not as high as the insane high prices we were seeing before the financial crisis..." around $70-$80 per barrel.  For perspective, July 2008 prices were $144 per barrel.

http://www.nyse.tv/crude-oil-price-history.htm

So the perfect storm scenario is one in which oil prices are low and food prices are high.  That actually happened during the beginning of the financial crisis in Iran, where the government began to see unrest due to economic issues associated with falling oil revenue and increasing needs for food subsidies.


I really wasn't suggesting this as some sort of long term scenario, though.  I was just highlighting a historical fact: If ethanol was not subsidized in the US, Egypt, Libya, and other countries in the Middle East would never have seen the democratic reforms they are seeing now.  +1 points for ethanol and unintended consequences smile

Make Eyes Great Again!

The Great Eye is watching you... when there's nothing good on TV...

Re: BioFuels

"I would like to see your figures/sources on that..."

I'd like to see figures and sources for most of the stuff he writes, not just this thread.

12 (edited by ~Wornstrum~ 13-Dec-2011 07:48:44)

Re: BioFuels

"As of 2011, 1.3 billion tons of food, about one third of the global food production, are lost or wasted annually."

"...compared with 400 US gallons per acre (3,750 l/ha) for corn production"

"In 2010 worldwide ethanol fuel production reached 22.95 billion U.S. liquid gallons(bg) (86.9 billion liters)"

So this would equate to 22950000000/400=57375000 acre's of corn fields for the 2010 production.

"The US nationwide average corn yields are: Grain -- 150 bushels per acre, or 4.2 US tons per acre" (not a reliable source, but not going to try and sift through ALL of the harvest reports for each year and come up with my own average).

So we have 57375000 acre's of farmland producing ethanol, so if we stopped ethanol production and produced food, we would get 57375000*4.2=240975000 tons of corn.

So in 2010 there was 1300000000 tons of food wastage, so lets take our extra food we obtained from stopping ethanol production and take it away from our wastage (1300000000-240975000=1059025000). This is still over 1 billion tons for food wasted in the world each year.

Ethanol production is only but a very small component of the food production in the world, yet it leads to starvation of the masses?

"In low-income countries most loss occurs during production, while in developed countries much food

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: BioFuels

"Ethanol production is only but a very small component of the food production in the world, yet it leads to starvation of the masses?"

What are the circumstances of the wasted food?  Where is it wasted?  Why?

Is the food wasted in regions where there are high rates of poverty or starvation?

Re: BioFuels

> xeno syndicated wrote:

> "Ethanol production is only but a very small component of the food production in the world, yet it leads to starvation of the masses?"

What are the circumstances of the wasted food?  Where is it wasted?  Why?

When you ask about circumstances, I get the feeling you are trying to make a point that the wastage is away from the consumer, which is true in some parts of the world. In the Western world however, thanks to innovations in transport and storage of food, the wastage is closer to the consumer than production. Now what I suggest is something every individual can contribute to, and that is changing their eating habits to a diet that minimises wastage (and thus changes purchasing habits leaving more food in the global food pool). Your option is to contribute to a rise of less than 1.5% increase from not producing ethanol from corn (other methods do exist, and would need to look at the area/amounts needed to produce ethanol) (4000000000*0.015=60000000).

"In 2008, world population is 6.7 billion: 1.2 billion people live in regions classified as more developed by the United Nations"

As indicated by my previous post, on average each one of those persons wastes 100kg of food each year (and this is defined as wastage BY the consumer, and for the US and Oceania, its 110kg of food per person). So in total there is a wastage of (1200000000*100=120000000000, we divide by 1000 to convert to tons) 120 million tons of food wasted by the western world BY the consumer. We cut out HALF of the wastage by consumers, we have more than what is used for ethanol production (something we ACTUALLY still use).

But lets look at this in another way, the US exports about 20% of its corn produced. Of this, most of the corn is exported to local or Asian markets, with Japan being the largest importer of US corn, followed by Mexico, Korea, and then Taiwan. Of these 4 countries, how much of their population is starving? Now Corn is a versatile product, "[the] plant can thrive in climates as diverse as the arid desert plains of the southwestern United States and the high Andean mountain plains of Ecuador and Peru". So unless there is a shortage of corn/food in either the US, Japan, Mexico, Korea, or Taiwan, producing more corn would have only a slight affect on global hunger (I say slight, because satisfying someones craving for corn in Korea will mean he won't use another source of food which frees that up for someone else). The land itself is not suitable for growing many other products, and it would take more resources to produce other crops in these locations, and not only that, farmers would need to convert their farming techniques and equipment to produce other products.

Is the food wasted in regions where there are high rates of poverty or starvation?

"In low-income countries most loss occurs during production, while in developed countries much food

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: BioFuels

Worstrum I transport food, and I see the different areas of loss.

Take Tomatoes

1) Harvest happens only after some drop of plants, and while multiple harvests happen, sometimes the loss can be large.

2) Transportation time and tomatoes fall out of the trucks all the time

3) the tomatoes are hand inspected and some bad ones found

4) some crops are lost due to preventible diseases or insects

5) Some government policies (big in California, Oregon, and Washington) reduce available water even in times of surplus water (A fish that suffers pain, but does not die reduced crops in California significantly for a while... due to the fish getting pulled to the suction tubes for the water canals... a judge blocked half the water to Central California)

6) At the unloading phase tomatoes fall all the time (maybe 3% wastage here)

7) At the cooking level sometimes issues happen in the companies

8) product expired happens a good bit



All before the consumer.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: BioFuels

I will post more here later... when at home and I can better pull up urls

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: BioFuels

> Einstein wrote:

> Worstrum I transport food, and I see the different areas of loss.

Take Tomatoes

1) Harvest happens only after some drop of plants, and while multiple harvests happen, sometimes the loss can be large.

2) Transportation time and tomatoes fall out of the trucks all the time

3) the tomatoes are hand inspected and some bad ones found

4) some crops are lost due to preventible diseases or insects

5) Some government policies (big in California, Oregon, and Washington) reduce available water even in times of surplus water (A fish that suffers pain, but does not die reduced crops in California significantly for a while... due to the fish getting pulled to the suction tubes for the water canals... a judge blocked half the water to Central California)

6) At the unloading phase tomatoes fall all the time (maybe 3% wastage here)

7) At the cooking level sometimes issues happen in the companies

8) product expired happens a good bit



All before the consumer.



I know there is lose of produce before it gets to the consumer, that is why I was using loses BY the consumer. The figures quoted as loses by the consumer are loses after production, transportation, selling, etc. So this has very little to do with my point. You are merely stating that there are other loses on top of the loses I stated.

"[About] 100 kilograms (220 lb) per person and year

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: BioFuels

PROOF that alcohol solves everything

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/sideshow/wine-dregs-cut-cow-methane-emissions-makes-better-163439720.html

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Re: BioFuels

bad tomoatos are used to make ketchup! big_smile

Airwing

Re: BioFuels

I'm opposed to all agencies making regulations without going back to Congress.

The system of having the EPA write its own regulations and then calling on Congress to pass laws striking them down if they suck, gives the presumption of power to non-elected agencies.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: BioFuels

> ~Wornstrum~ wrote:

> So we have 57375000 acre's of farmland producing ethanol, so if we stopped ethanol production and produced food, we would get 57375000*4.2=240975000 tons of corn.

So in 2010 there was 1300000000 tons of food wastage, so lets take our extra food we obtained from stopping ethanol production and take it away from our wastage (1300000000-240975000=1059025000). This is still over 1 billion tons for food wasted in the world each year.

Ethanol production is only but a very small component of the food production in the world, yet it leads to starvation of the masses?





Oh, I almost forgot to address this issue.

The problem here is that, as a whole, grains such as corn, rice, or wheat are considered inelastic goods.  That means, unlike other items we may normally buy, people have little choice in whether to buy or refuse to buy the item in question.  As a result, even with relatively small changes in supply, the price will increase by a greater percentage than the percentage by which the supply itself changed.

Also, remember that the starvation occurring is in some of the poorest parts of the world.  Why do I note this?  In the US, food accounts for about 3% of a person's expenditures.  This could definitely be higher, but probably not more than 10% (so... a person making $30,000 per year would probably only spend $3,000 on food for the year).  In contrast, in nations like Egypt, that percentage can increase to as much as 30% of total income.  That's where the impact comes: If I make $1,000 per year, $365 of which goes to food ($1 per day on food), and the price of food jumps 10%, I have to spend $401 to obtain the same amount of food... many people in these countries have very tight budgets, and are simply unable to meet that added price increase as a result of demand.  In this case, a 10% increase in the price of food requires a person to obtain a 3.6% increase in income (and this is assuming inflation and all other expenses remain flat, which is very unlikely).

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Re: BioFuels

Corn is an essential food product of Mexico... those tortillas do not make themselves!

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)