Re: Growing population problem

That article doesn't disagree with my premise;

My premise is that there are available resources to sustain unfettered population growth, but that these resources are inacceible, untapped.

The article deals with only those resources that are being tapped currently, and the depletion of the CURRENT sources of resources.

This merely exemplifies the reason for the scarcity and thus inflated prices that I am talking about.

I'm done trying to explain the obvious to you, Wornstrum:

THERE ARE VAST AMOUNTS OF UNTAPPED SOURCES OF RESOURCES

These resources may not be the kind we currently use for our products, however.  For example, finding means to transmit electrical energy wirelessly from orbit from solar power collectors ( solar power is an untapped resource) and doing so INSTEAD of oil, would solve the energy crisis.

Re-designing urban areas to PRODUCED food using vertical, poly-culture agriculture techniques, and thereby have urban areas able to produce enough food for the urban population, would solve the food crisis.

Producing food in urban vertical space is an untapped resource.

There are plenty of untapped resources right under our noses.

Re: Growing population problem

Yet won't be utilized, unless theres a way to throw a meter on the suns ray's to charge you for the amount you use it'll go practically nowhere.

I have 0 zilch, nada, 没有, faith in just about 80% of humanity. Lazy, corrupt, greedy, viral life forms that eat and shit everything they can consume without working for it. Go down your local ghetto and that's just a taste of the laziness. CEOs and owners recording massive and record profits , yet lay off thousands of workers.... The politicians.... I don't even want to get started on that.

Re: Growing population problem

> Bacchus wrote:

> Yet won't be utilized, unless theres a way to throw a meter on the suns ray's to charge you for the amount you use it'll go practically nowhere.

I have 0 zilch, nada, 没有, faith in just about 80% of humanity. Lazy, corrupt, greedy, viral life forms that eat and shit everything they can consume without working for it. Go down your local ghetto and that's just a taste of the laziness. CEOs and owners recording massive and record profits , yet lay off thousands of workers.... The politicians.... I don't even want to get started on that.

Here is something I have been pondering lately:

Which are better, those whom you speak of in your local ghetto, or the CEOs (and their minions) and politicians?

Re: Growing population problem

> Einstein wrote:

> Sorry for much shorter post than anticipated I am fairly sick (flu and walking pneumonia same time, thought I was going to die last night)

Oh, and Einstein, just noticed your post saying you were sick.  I hope you're feeling better.

Re: Growing population problem

"I'm done trying to explain the obvious to you, Wornstrum"

You have explained very little, in fact all you have done is state an opinion and backed it up with insults. I DO understand what you are trying to explain, I just reject it (there is a difference). You have not once backed up your argument, whereas I have even used references.

Your point is that technological advancement will always be able to compensate for any demand placed by human involvement. Technological advancement is what got us into this sort of problem in the first place. Increasing the population using advancements creates more potential to increase population and thus leads us back to the need for more advancement, "population grows to the limits of current technologies to support it, followed by technological innovation (e.g., long canals in Mesopotamia, green revolution in India, biofuels in Brazil and U.S.) accompanied by more population growth and environmental deterioration" (http://www.ejsd.org/docs/The_Population_Bomb_Revisited.pdf) (which is your point, and is what you suggested you wanted...the need drives advancement). "But West points out an alarming pattern: the cycle of innovation needs to increase in frequency as the size of the population increases. The bigger we grow, the faster we must innovate to keep pace." (http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/2011/10/31/why-innovation-wont-defuse-the-population-bomb/). "Lovelock fears we won

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

56 (edited by xeno syndicated 12-Nov-2011 21:53:31)

Re: Growing population problem

"Technological advancement is what got us into this sort of problem in the first place"

I stopped reading right there, lol.  Its the premise of your foundational philosophy which is erroneous.  The premise of this whole thread, and the premise of any of your sources that you might quote to support it which are false.

You want a source that proves there are untapped resources, okay:

http://www.nrel.gov/csp/pdfs/32160.pdf

"The success of wind power developers in upgrading the technology to address environmental
and design concerns holds much promise for the potential for solar power. CSP technologies,
including parabolic trough, power towers, and dish Stirling, appear to be ready for commercial
use. As with most other renewable forms of energy, CSP technologies will require incentives,
such as buydowns, investment and production tax credits, and green energy premiums paid by
utility customers, until sufficient cost reductions have been achieved to make CSP competitive
against conventional generating technologies."

Here's another:
http://www.good.is/post/the-potential-for-solar-power-is-enormous/

and this figure tells it all:

http://pre.cloudfront.goodinc.com/posts/full_1288647313solarpotential.jpg

The sheer amount of waste we are committing by not using solar energy more is absolutely astounding.  Governments subsidizing oil production is a crime.  Notice the figure refers to total RESERVES of fossil fuels as a small percentage of the ANNUAL amount of solar energy Irradiated FROM Earth.

This is just one example of the plenitude of untapped resources available to us, and, THEREFORE, neo-Malthusian theory, the premise upon which this wornstrum started this thread (and thus any source which he might use to support the blatant falsity of neo-Malthusian thoery), is false.

Your whole premise, is thwarted by SIMPLE COMMON SENSE, regardless of any sources:

Human beings have not tapped all of the resources available in our environment, and when economic incentive becomes such that it becomes economically feasible to tap those untapped resources, we will do so.

In other words, the sooner the oil-companies go bankrupt, the better.

Stop propagating the lies the establishment uses to justify mass-oppression of the vast majority of humanity.  You are a propagandist for evil people, of an establishment which historians will convict as perpetrators of the most heinous crimes against humanity every witnessed.

And whoever you are, wornstrum, know that what you post here will be your legacy to future generations, proof that you are simply on the wrong side of the debate; and laughable in your ignorance.

Re: Growing population problem

"This is just one example of the plenitude of untapped resources available to us"

Not once did I say there wasn't untapped resources...my point (if you actually read before you comment) is that technological advancement IS needed, which is what you also agree upon with your comments. Human growth then becomes dependant on technological breakthroughs to continue unfettered growth.

"You are a propagandist for evil people, of an establishment which historians will convict as perpetrators of the most heinous crimes against humanity every witnessed."

This is why I posed the question, is it better to let people die, or to prevent them being born?

Your argument is pointless. You make arguments based on the very thing neo-Malthusian theory states, that we will become dependant on technological advancemnet as the population grows (WHICH IS YOUR ARGUMENT!). If population continues at the current rate, then technological advancements will need to continue at the same rate. This just creates a dependance on technology to "save the day", at which point the level of advancement itself won't be sustainable (ie. as stated that advancements on the scale of "Industrial revolution or Information Technology Age" will be needed every year).

"proof that you are simply on the wrong side of the debate; and laughable in your ignorance."

You have yet to prove otherwise. Linking posts to possible advancements doesn't dispute my point, but actually supports it.

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

58 (edited by xeno syndicated 13-Nov-2011 07:08:24)

Re: Growing population problem

"is it better to let people die, or to prevent them being born?"

You just don't get it, do you?  THESE ARE NOT THE OPTIONS ON THE TABLE.


What we are CURRENTLY doing, however, due to neo-Malthusian @#%-shit, is letting people die AND preventing them from being born, which is a CRIME.

Take away the tax incentives offered, charge the fossil-fuel-based energy producers for the damage their product inflicts on our lives and on our environment, and suddenly, low and behold, there's suddenly economic incentive for us to start developing solar-power energy.

Did you read this part of the source I provided with regards to this figure:

http://pre.cloudfront.goodinc.com/posts/full_1288648544File_Solar-land-area.jpg

If you had solar stations of the required magnitude (of which there is plenty of space, far smaller in area that the oil fields) at only those locations, we could supply the entire world's energy needs.

Give your head a shake.  Neo-malthusianism is not only wrong, but also perpetuates the greatest crime against humanity the world has every witnessed, and is doing so right now.

Re: Growing population problem

Still not the point Xeno...I did read the references, and I do understand your point, but you are suggesting that in order to maintain population growth we place a dependance on technological advancement...also according to your articles, the technology is still not capable of actually providing (ie. storage, demand...my family actually use solar already, and anything we feed back onto the grid, so it has it's usages but is still not a solution to the power problem...in fact the articles themselves call for more innovation to make this sort of technology viable)...Don't get me wrong, I understand and agree that technological advancements will make alot of things better, but is not an answer to my question or is not a solution (as per my arguments above, it just shifts dependance from current methods to a need to develop at the same rate of population growth, and any dependance to survive is a gamble).

You have yet to actually argue against my points, and your main argument seems to be more of an emotional response, which I am actually eager to hear more about. WHY does it become a crime against humanity? If it becomes a choice, how does it break from any human rights currently established?

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Growing population problem

"the technology is still not capable"

Ah but the question is, what could we have been doing differently over the past 200 years that could have made the technology available today?  Instead of wars, wasteful systems of production, government, distribution; if under actual rule of actually just laws; if under actual liberty instead of the pseudo lip-service politicians pay to it, what could we have accomplished?

This is the topic historians will be dealing with, if they aren't already, and believe you me, their prognosis on recent generations (as well as ours) will not be flattering in the least.

"If it becomes a choice, how does it break from any human rights currently established?"

The forces holding us back; the systems that sabotage our efforts are systemic in nature, that is that they are ingrained in our very systems of governance, cultures, education systems.

Transformational change is required for the survival of our human dignity.

Re: Growing population problem

"Ah but the question is, what could we have been doing differently over the past 200 years that could have made the technology available today?"

Innovation comes out of necessity. In fact 200 years ago the biggest concern for human life would have been health issues such as diseases. Changes 200 years ago (Small pox vaccinations) were the start of current concepts such as vaccinations. In an earlier post, you used innovation and technological advances as a solution to the current level of demand, which comes out of necessity. This is the cycle that actually needs to break. Demands/need lead to innovation, innovation leads to excess, excess leads to a growth in consumption, which again leads to demand/needs. With growth, this cycle also grows, and thus the dependance on innovation. Yes, changes can be made now and earlier that would make the supply and demand of today balanced, but it wouldn't stay that way.

"Instead of wars"

Military investment has been responsible for many innovations, such as the jet engine, the internet, even the integrated curcuit's first application was American ICBMs (and reduced the cost to allow IC's to be used in other applications).

I honestly believe we are both unhappy with the current establishment of society, hence the start of this post.

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Growing population problem

Offering apologetic arguments for the military industrial complex which currently holds humanity hostage will not win you points with historians, wornstrum.

Re: Growing population problem

Historians can judge me how they see fit, however I do not back down from my last comment. The last greatest innovation on this earth was due to military expenditure. Do you really think we would have the Internet now if it wasn't for military expenditure? I made this comment because you suggested where we would be without these things, and my point is we couldn't possibly know because global military innovation has created some of the greatest technological breakthroughs out of necessity, a necessity that wouldn't have been there without the military. The point about necessity is something you raised earlier, or at least was my understanding of your comments, that needs lead to innovation, and thus continued unfettered growth will force further and greater innovations (I am sorry if this is not what your point was, this is how I understood your comments about innovation). We have armies/navy/airforce in the world now, I neither created nor continue to fuel their existance, so I doubt historians would ever care or even disagree with my assessment of military involvement in the world. It is an observation or our history.

My point was that innovation comes out of necessity, and by allowing necessity to govern the flow of innovatoin makes us dependant on innovation (ie. exponential population growth forces innovation at a similar rate, and thus a dependance). In the short term that sounds like the greatest thing, but in the long term, it just shifts our own dependance from natural resources (whether renewable, non-renewable, future innovations, etc) to a need to innovate to compensate for future growth.

I give your invention the worst score imaginable. An A minus MINUS!
~Wornstrum~

Re: Growing population problem

I've lost about 4 different posts I was writing to this thread, but before I try for a 5th time, I'd better ask:

In a developed society, what types of Malthusian crises are you arguing will occur?  Remember, your developing economy examples are all crises of food and water.  These are price inelastic goods, in that if general prices increase as a whole, there are no alternatives to buying water or food (assuming the developing nation is a localized economy not integrated in the global market, as is empirically the case with the vast majority of nations in this category).  In the developed world, though, food and water demand is considered an inferior good relative to income, in that the higher one's income, the lower the relative spending on food and water.  Even when people do spend more on food, there's a biological maximum limit to the quantity a person can demand.  Beyond that, increased costs associated with products are more a result of changes in the type of good and that good's production, increasing quality, rather than quantity, which doesn't threaten a Malthusian crisis.

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