Topic: Sollution for Iraq

Lets not debate the endless struggle about wheter the war was justified or not. There are far to many threads about that.

But fact is, there needs to be a sollution for the future. After giving it a good thought, this is my scenario:

It would be a mess to pull back troops now and end up in a civil war. So keep the troops for now.
I think its best to split the country in 3. Have 3 more or less autonomic regions inside a country or, why not, 3 different countries.
However, the oil fields should be neutral territory and fall into the hands of an organisation wich is controlled by the 3 countries or regions with a fair "key" of sharing the profit they make from it.

Possible drawbacks I see with this plan:
Some people will have to move to another area because of ethnic violence
There will always be some disagreement about the "key"
Some people inside iraq might want to keep iraq the way it is now.

Still I think its worth it. You're thoughts?

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Iraqis want to remain a solid country.  They're already a democracy and they're arguing over how to split their country.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Last night i saw some arguing in TV.. one american guy who lives in germany now said:
"And slowly america luckily seems to realize that having elections in a country does not make it a democracy"

I can not agree more to this statement. Only because in iraq elections had been held.. it long does not reach the state of a democracy. a lot of work has to be done till then. Same goes for Afghanistan though. They will need time to develop.

i do not think splitting the country into 3 countries would do any good.. kurds may support it.. but that will cause big trouble with turkey. I do not know how other iraquis feel about it tbh.

There are troops needed in iraq. but i do not know if it should be american troops since they are hated among a par of he population.
Maybe a "peaceforce" made of other arabic countries could do better.
Iraqis can not handle their security yet. I would say an arabic peaceforce should try to make it as safe as possible.. they can not do any worse then US is doing now. west has to keep up training police and army.

4 (edited by Little Paul 05-Jun-2008 17:59:31)

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Turkey will have to accept it. And it would do much good Schniepel as it might stabilize the area and therefore prevent a civil war.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Turkey would NOT have to accept it, they can put 100,000 men beyond their borders anytime they like.  They threatened to do that to Syria a few years ago and Syria backed down.  Turkey has NATO equipment and unlike any other member of NATO apparently, the will to fight.  And nobody in NATO would fight to stop them.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

6 (edited by Blizzard 05-Jun-2008 18:42:45)

Re: Sollution for Iraq

berlin wall here we come -_-

let me add to that...

if they want to kill themselves, so be it... i think its time we just left them to die...

The tallest blade of grass is the first to be cut

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Schniepel....as a German......how can you say, Elections does not make a democracy ??

Are you crazy dude ??

OK, at what point SHOULD elections be held ??

I mean, you have one side SCREAMING to turn over power to "The Iraqis" and the same people saying, "They cant live under a democracy."

So, basically, its turn it over to the animals, and may the largest, best equipped militia rule the day ??

Wouldnt that be the same as saying:

Lets hope some military strong man can take over like Saddam, and we can blame the Americans for how messed up they are for the next few Decades.



My God.  You people....LEFTISTS.....have no clue.

Come .......joust w/the master.
I'm always Right.   You are just intellectually Left.....behind.
Individual patriot, and a REAGAN Conservative.

8 (edited by TheYell 06-Jun-2008 01:45:41)

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Stop oversimplifying, [man of simplicity].

☑ Saddam Hussein ☑ Osama Bin Laden ☐ Justin Bieber

Re: Sollution for Iraq

"I think its best to split the country in 3. Have 3 more or less autonomic regions inside a country or, why not, 3 different countries."

I respect the intent but a few issues that would arise

Each region would need to have its own military as neither region would be willing to send their troops for any co-operative effort.  So every region has its own military and they are going to be pointing primarily at each other and the possibility of civil war increases.  Not to mention neither region would be able to maintain a force to fend off any of the many Middle Eastern nations that would love nothing more than to wipe them out.  So cohesion is necessary and that just goes out the window if you parcel out the country.

There are 10 kinds of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

from my perspective

the iraqis problem is the american troops... i doubt any iraqi really praises them, or even likes the troops so i think they should all pack there bags and steadily move out big_smile

and leave iraq to being iraq, let them figure out what they wanna do

Re: Sollution for Iraq

good thinking dps.
"So every region has its own military and they are going to be pointing primarily at each other and the possibility of civil war increases"
nobody forbids the presence of a peace-keeping force. In the long run, the climat will change.

"Not to mention neither region would be able to maintain a force to fend off any of the many Middle Eastern nations that would love nothing more than to wipe them out."
It would take more then a small force to protect them against neighbouring countries thats true. And its the biggest disadvantage of the whole thing. But it won't cost as much to have a few bases around when the country itself is peacefull. Though that might be wishfull thinking.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

ideally they would be separated into separate companies, ideally, my recliner, me, and the cold beer in my hand would be my own country, but ideals have no place in reality. larger countries have huge advantages that cannot be ignored. and violence among the Iraqi's wont stop just because they're separate countries or just because the americans are no longer in the streets. peacekeeping forces need to stay in the country and stabilize it. its going to take time and resources, but its the only solution to the problem.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

technically having elections does make it democratic. but who gives a damn if its democratic? democracy is mob rule, democracy is violence and uncontrolled oppression, its what your governments tell you anarchy is.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

How about breaking the country into 7 pieces.  No, wait....how about 15 pieces ??

WTF .... 

You all really have no clue.  Iraq is just fine.  It will be just fine.
The Iraqi military is forming and becoming quite a force.  LOYAL to IRAQ.

The pieces are falling into place. 

Of course as a good conservative, and a person who has faith in a people to live free and peaceful when given the chance....

I believe Iraq will be just fine.

You all......   Look at what you think

How pathetic is that ?

Come .......joust w/the master.
I'm always Right.   You are just intellectually Left.....behind.
Individual patriot, and a REAGAN Conservative.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

"Iraq is just fine.  It will be just fine."

i loled

<parrot> there is also the odd  possibility that tryme is an idiot
<KT> possibility?
<genesis> tryme is a bit of an idiot
<Torqez> bit?

16 (edited by TheYell 06-Jun-2008 03:32:19)

Re: Sollution for Iraq

BW and I were politically aware during the 1970s and 1980s.  We have a memory of Angola and Mozambique and Kampuchea and Uganda and Namibia and Peru and El Salvador and the Philippines and Beirut.

Iraq is doing fine and will be fine, if we don't leave it buttnaked for Turkey, Iran and Syria to carve into zones.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

I don't know. It's getting better, but fine... I think we have different definitions.

That said, I think splitting it into three regions would be a good thing, but definately keep it one country. Model it after the early US or modern Belgium for that matter. Each region will more or less rule itself with a federal government to deal with national defense and things of that nature.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Yeah our standards are shaped by civil wars that lasted 25 years and killed up to 40% of the populace. But us Cold Warriors are being crated for museum display, we're not believed these days

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

No, I believe what you say, and believe it or not, even though I wasn't following events back then, I have done a fair amount of research about those events after the fact. My question is this, when did "better than before" become fine. Fine is no,or more likely, small problems.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Well that's at the end of the internal conflict. For a state in the process of internal conflict the level of violence and political development is proceeding favorably.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

A young government like that of Iraq is going to have issues.  You have to remember that the Iraq now is pretty much a new nation and it has several factions vying for power (since they were kept under a ruler that had nothing but).  It's only been, what?  Six years?  The US declared independence in 1776, we didn't have our current Constitution until 1783, and we weren't so confident of our nation until after the War of 1812.  That's almost four decades.  The new Iraq has a lot to tackle and a lot to fix, but let's be honest here, has the Iraqi government collapsed?  Has the Iraqi people (as a whole) taken up arms and rioted through the streets against the Iraqi government?  Has sectarian violence completely spilled into full-blown civil war? 

Take a look at Iraq, take a look at the progress its making and tell me that the nation of Iraq is failing.  The Iraqis are taking more and more control of their country and when American troops feel confident that the Mahdi army is no longer a threat, that cleric Moqtada Al-Sadr is now a politician instead of a militia leader, that Al Qaeda will find its resources limited in Iraq, that sectarian violence won't renew, that the Iraqi military can maintain peace and security, and that the influences of Iraq's neighbors will be limited, only then will the strong American presence end.

Iraq is for the Iraqi people.  Americans don't want Iraqi lands, we have no reason to stay there indefinitely, just stay there long enough to maintain peace and security.

22 (edited by Justinian I 06-Jun-2008 05:00:45)

Re: Sollution for Iraq

No Democracy has ever persisted without a strong middle class and educated population. Show me a time when it has been otherwise. A critic like me can easily explain the continuity of Iraq's government by attributing it to American support, and without us it would be in big trouble. Second, even a failing democracy can persist for a few years, look at the First French Republic. The Iraqi government will be unable to deliver and satisfy the population. What we need to do is install a pragmatic-minded dictator loyal to the US, and then leave once he has an iron grip on the country.

So BW and Yell. Tell me a time when a Democracy was able to continue without a strong middle class and educated populace. You may cite early America, but then our country had much more limited voting restrictions then. In our early history we had a strong middle class, and that middle class and the landowning elite ruled the country. It was only after more than a century later when education was widely available that we were able to viably operate with universal suffrage.

But in Iraq...

Laughable middle class. Poorly educated population, and most live in squalor. You're telling me that a democratic government with universal suffrage can survive? WTF?

Let me tell you this

IT NEVER HAPPENED BEFORE! And when it's been tried, it FAILED!

Re: Sollution for Iraq

Justinian

19th century America. I don't think the class paradigm carries back that far (a big reason I'm not a Leftist) but most of America lived rurally without ownership of land--our nuclear family of four was an aberration, of the eight or so folks who might live on a farm or ranch title would vested in only one--and literacy was limited to basic math and some reading. And quite a few lacked that.

France, Italy and Germany voted away their democracies in the early 20th century. They weren't illiterate or impoverished.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Sollution for Iraq

I'll go one step further than Skoe on this one, just because it's fun.  smile

In spite of how the Iraq war started, it's now become an issue of US national security, considering the oil resources there.  Therefore, we can't possibly just leave the region.

The three state solution further harms this ends because we now would have three states to keep tabs on.  Any one of the states could destabilize the region by rejecting the international accord on oil, as they are currently rejecting the distribution of oil as one sovereign entity.  To make things worse, you would further instill nationalism among each sect, as the zero sum profits from oil become national policy, rather than political banter.

Now to the dictatorship idea.  This is an interesting idea, frankly, although it leaves a major problem.  Sorry, Justinian, but this would devastate the US image abroad.  It would be the perfect way to make everyone confirm that the war was for oil (I've argued about this position in the past, but frankly, I don't have enough time for my 2-page post about the war-for-oil argument).  The US would easily lose credibility both among Western nations and in the Islamic world, only furthering terrorism against the US.

That leaves only one option: continued US troop presence.

Now, I don't need to defend whether democracy is possible there.  The only thing I have to defend is whether a perpetual status quo is more desirable than the prospect of the alternatives.  Why?  Two reasons:
1: Continued presence and aid can give Iraq the time to develop a middle class, and
2: The worst case scenario is that the US is occupying the region, stamping out terrorism there.

Now, why is #2 good?  Because after 5 years, if the Iraq war would have caused major threats to the US, it would have done so already.  What makes the future occupation any different from the past?

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Re: Sollution for Iraq

just think how many conflict we would solve if we found an alternative fuel source -_-

The tallest blade of grass is the first to be cut