1 (edited by Little Paul 25-Nov-2010 11:03:17)

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The Euro/USD rate is rapidly changing. The value of the euro is going down partly because of the crisis in Ireland. While every big world econ is trying to lower the value of his currency, Europe is capable of doing that simply by failing.

While Obama is printing money, he couldn't let a state cause a crisis. Europe on the other hand can go on a "save-the-econ" tour again as Obama did and waste even more money. Seems like everybody has his own disaster scenario.

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The stock markets are recovering quite well today, according to the newspapers I read this morning.

God: Behold ye angels, I have created the ass.. Throughout the ages to come men and women shall grab hold of these and shout my name...

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It

Je maintiendrai

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I don't know. I think its high time for discipline or Zeuro. With zeuro meaning zero euro. I'm not a big fan of Merkel, but she does a good job asking for more budget control upon these countries.

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"Good morning Mr. van Rompuy, you've been in office for one year, and in that time the whole edifice is beginning to crumble, there's chaos, the money's running out, I should thank you - you should perhaps be the pinup boy of the euroskeptic movement. But just look around this chamber this morning, look at these faces, look at the fear, look at the anger. Poor Barroso here looks like he's seen a ghost. They're beginning to understand that the game is up.
And yet in their desperation to preserve their dream, they want to remove any remaining traces of democracy from the system. And it's pretty clear that none of you have learned anything. When you yourself Mr. van Rompuy say that the euro has brought us stability, I supposed I could applaud you for having a sense of humor, but isn't this really just the bunker [or banker?] mentality. Your fanaticism is out in the open.
You talk about the fact that it was a lie to believe that the nation state could exist in the 21st century globalized world. Well, that may be true in the case of Belgium who haven't had a government for 6 months, but for the rest of us, right across every member state in this union, increasingly people are saying, "We don't want that flag, we don't want the anthem, we don't want this political class, we want the whole thing consigned to the dustbin of history."
We had the Greek tragedy earlier on this year, and now we have the situation in Ireland. I know that the stupidity and greed of Irish politicians has a lot to do with this: they should never, ever have joined the euro. They suffered with low interest rates, a false boom and a massive bust. But look at your response to them: what they are being told as their government is collapsing is that it would be inappropriate for them to have a general election. In fact commissioner Rehn here said they had to agree to a budget first before they are allowed to have a general election.
Just who the hell do you think you people are.
You are very, very dangerous people indeed: your obsession with creating this European state means that you are happy to destroy democracy, you appear to be happy with millions and millions of people to be unemployed and to be poor. Untold millions will suffer so that your euro dream can continue.
Well it won't work, cause its Portugal next with their debt levels of 325% of GDP they are the next ones on the list, and after that I suspect it will be Spain, and the bailout for Spain will be 7 times the size of Ireland, and at that moment all the bailout money will is gone - there won't be any more.
But it's even more serious than economics, because if you rob people of their identity, if you rob them of their democracy, then all they are left with is nationalism and violence. I can only hope and pray that the euro project is destroyed by the markets before that really happens."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fyq7WRr_GPg

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

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I'd say it's high time for the privatization of the monetary system. A return to the gold standard would greatly improve monetary stability, not to mention the positive effect of allowing interest rates to rebound to their market equilibriums. There's no reason why silver couldn't be used as a unit of exchange, either, assuming demand was high enough. I'm impartial to gold, however.

Caution Wake Turbulence

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Naw. Lets have a land standard. Gold just doesn't match the value of our assets anymore.

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> Justinian I wrote:

> Naw. Lets have a land standard. Gold just doesn't match the value of our assets anymore.


Did you sleep through 2008?  tongue

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9 (edited by Justinian I 28-Nov-2010 00:08:21)

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The value of all our land is still more valuable than all of that puny metal we have.

Besides, the value of gold changes too. Land is also much more useful, while gold just looks pretty.

10 (edited by Godwin's Law 28-Nov-2010 01:50:22)

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1: When the government does back currency with gold, the price of gold is much more stable because the flow of gold is controlled.  In addition, it creates an increased demand for gold, raising the price to where it could be competitive with land values.
2: As you said, gold just looks pretty.  It's always looked pretty, and it always will look pretty.  There's its value.
3: Land, in contrast, is highly unstable.  A hundred acres of land bordering a river would be very valuable.  What about if some guy upstream decides to build a factory or a cattle ranch, polluting the river?  How about a home
4: For an object to be an effective storage value unit for currency, it needs to be safeguarded.  Gold is simple in this regards, because it's simply a shiny brick.  We take our gold and stick it in a safe.  Land (especially in the amounts you're talking about) can't be secured.  Directly, land is susceptible to all sorts of risks, ranging from environmental concerns to something as simple as graffiti, all of which will hurt the land's value.
Indirectly, however, land use is a devaluing mechanism, depending on how it is used.  A factory, for example, will slowly damage the land surrounding it by decreasing vegetation.
If land used to back up currency is allowed to still be used, it is susceptible to these changes in the value.  If it's taken out of use, then you've just created a massive recession from private land being purchased en masse to just sit there (where I could argue that it would still be susceptible to problems, as per "problem of the commons" scenarios).
5: This is the part where I compare your proposal with xeno syndicated economics.  When the US currency was backed by gold and silver, that meant that you could go to a bank and literally exchange your money for gold and silver.  The very reason why backing worked was because, at any time, you could turn around and obtain a physical item.  How would you obtain land in this scenario, though?  You would get a document indicating that you own a square foot of land in Virginia?  Unlike gold, land is only usable in large quantities.  As a result, it's rare that an individual would even want to exchange their currency unless they were super-rich.  Two implications:
A: In effect, you didn't back the currency, because only a handful of the population can actually exchange the currency and benefit from it.
B: The ONLY currency fluctuations you would see, then, would be massive fluctuations of millions of dollars, since the only people that can possibly manipulate the currency are the few people with huge amounts of currency on hand.
6: I'd imagine that the very purchasing of land would be a massive social upheaval event.
7: If an individual wishes to exchange their currency for land, how do you value it?  How the hell do you value a small piece of land among a massive swath of land?  Land is solely valued by its utility.  As such, a square inch of land would be worth nothing, yet a square inch among a square mile of land would be worth infinitely more.  The system you propose would, in effect, create its own fluctuations in prices.


Gold is much better.  Once purified, gold is the same regardless of where it was mined, where it's currently located, etc.  You can find the value of your entire gold stockpile easily by simply looking at the price of gold, and multiplying.  Thus, it's an inherent value storage.  Your system would require land continual land value audits, based largely on speculation, in order to come up with a random guess.

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@Justinian I

You've given up, haven't you? tongue

Caution Wake Turbulence

12 (edited by Justinian I 29-Nov-2010 03:04:17)

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I wasn't even being serious about the land standard. I just think a gold standard is not necessarily. The monetary system can be stable if you prevent systemic externalities. Our government, on the other hand, only creates them when it pushes for policies to increase "social justice" and home ownership. It should let banks make rational decisions, and only regulate when necessarily to prevent undesirable externalities, like pollution from factories or risky investments by banks. And don't say that the market corrects externalities, because a purely free market has never existed to test that claim, and it is unlikely that such a system will happen.

13 (edited by Godwin's Law 29-Nov-2010 03:41:22)

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> Justinian I wrote:

> I wasn't even being serious about the land standard.


Not buyin' it!  tongue

Make Eyes Great Again!

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14 (edited by Acolyte 29-Nov-2010 05:46:28)

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Justinian I: "I wasn't even being serious about the land standard. I just think a gold standard is not necessarily. The monetary system can be stable if you prevent systemic externalities. Our government, on the other hand, only creates them when it pushes for policies to increase "social justice" and home ownership."

The monetary system is inherently more stable when it is fixed to something tangible, rather than the whims of bankers who hold their meetings behind closed doors. The government has historically abused its ability to print currency, especially in times of war. The effects are equitable with counterfeiting, where the people who get to spend the "new" money first reap a greater reward than those who obtain the money last. By then, it has already depreciated in value due to inflation.

Although fractional reserve banking could very well happen in a free market on money, I don't have much faith in the business model. It's performance would have to be determined based on its own merits. I object to the fact that we are not given a choice in our unit of exchange.

"It should let banks make rational decisions, and only regulate when necessarily to prevent undesirable externalities, like pollution from factories or risky investments by banks. And don't say that the market corrects externalities, because a purely free market has never existed to test that claim, and it is unlikely that such a system will happen."

A purely free market doesn't /have/ to exist to test that claim. Externalities don't have much meaning in economics, anyway, as they can not be revealed through human action -- the foundation of economic science. An action merely reveals a preference, not the why or how. The reason an individual chooses a particular course of action over another is irrelevant. It's unimportant to the economist if an action is motivated by an externality or something else, whatever transactions result (if any) must be treated the same.

Take your pollution example, the most commonly given example of a negative externality. Let's say I own a factory making Whatsits, the byproducts of which pollute a nearby river much to the chagrin of the property owners downstream. Assuming the property owners have any actual claim to the river, then I should have to negotiate with them. It's impossible to predict what solution we may settle on. I may have to pay them restitution, I might have to move my factory elsewhere, I could pay /them/ to move, or better yet reduce the amount of pollution somehow; either by installing some sort of control device or using a different chemical for my Whatsits that release a less harmful byproduct. It doesn't matter which solution or how it is arrived at, from the perspective of the economist all that can be revealed is that everyone involved prefers the solution to the situation that existed beforehand.

Another example might be an airport that has an approach path over a crowded neighborhood. The residents might complain that the noise of approaching aircraft is detrimental to their quiet enjoyment. I won't get into the difficulty in determining the value of subjective conditions like happiness and satisfaction, however the airport has other options at their disposal than restitution. Such as changing their approach procedure to overfly a less densely populated area or where there are fewer residential neighborhoods. They could impose restrictions on aircraft performance, such as how fast they may go and at which altitudes they may cross specific intersections.

The point is that anything is possible, though I am the first to admit that the free market is no panacea. Individual people and private enterprise alike are wholly capable of making mistakes, and no one has the foresight to predict every possible outcome or consequence of an action. My position is merely that mistakes are more readily corrected for, and less pervasive, than those committed by government.

Caution Wake Turbulence

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@zarf
I do not agree, altough much of your arguments are valid, but I will only answer when I have enough time.

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Apparently we're propping up the Euro with another $900 billion...Mr. Scott, full power to the printing presses!

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

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