> Soth wrote:
> zarf Beeblebrix wrote
"Here's the biggie: An Iranian ship slips by US fleets and manages to lay some mines in the Strait of Hormuz, shutting down a big portion of oil exports."
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ROTFLOL hahaha thats cute you think that could actually happen 
And why not? Iran just announced they're building a series of naval bases near the strait. They really only need one or two speedboats to get the operation going, whereas the US would need to patrol a pretty big region to stop such an attack.
But the thing is... Iran doesn't even need to succeed in order to succeed.
If they get a few mines dropped in the water (not like "close the strait," number, but "there's some mines here, but we can still get through" levels), the strait would have to be closed in order to find where the mines were, or at least find a safe pathway for ships. That slows down shipping, prices skyrocket.
Hell, they don't even need to carry out the attack. If Iran seriously threaten to close the strait, the very hype of the attack would probably make investors say "oh, shit, they'll do it!," and preempt the attack by buying shares.
Yes, Soth, it's a suicide mission. But... this is Iran. 