3,601

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Agreed with LP.  Hopefully, some Western nations will quietly lend military support to revolutionaries in Iran, and be willing to lend support in securing the country's nuclear facilities.

The one thing that worries me about a revolution in Iran is that the chaos created during the coup would possibly allow one of the secret nuclear facilities in Iran to be overlooked due to simple lack of intelligence.  But if the new government would allow Western nations to assist their securing of nuclear assets, that could be fixed.  smile

3,602

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

Yeah, pretty much.  But walking upright in itself was a huge step forward because it required a whole series of additional evolutionary changes.  For example, humans actually give birth to children long before they are actually fully developed.  Walking upright means the birth canal was made smaller, which was extremely problematic for giving birth considering the huge size of human brains.  So we slowly started giving birth to children earlier.

3,603

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

> icantthinkofanythingelse0 wrote:

> peppered moths

i am ok with evolution/natural selection where one color of a moth is more prominent in a certain place but that still does not explain that men were monkeys once.



It empirically proves that evolution and natural selection are demonstrations of how the world works.  It shows that, when two species compete for a similar place in a biome, the species with the traits preferred for that environment would thrive.

The peppered moths demonstrate a very simple mutation over a short period of time.  Evolution is a series of small mutations over a longer period of time.  What explanation can you give for why a microcosm example such as this can't be extrapolated to be empirical evidence for a macro-level event?

Remember, evolution takes a LONG time.  It's not like a monkey just gave birth to a human suddenly.  It took place over tens of millions of years.


Let's take a couple examples of "human" characteristics that define the modern homo sapien.  Each of these traits, when slowly developed, would give humans a competitive advantage over the monkey, which would allow humans to develop:

Walking upright: Would have given a great advantage to creatures that could do it: they could travel longer distances, and could see longer distances than their predecessors.
Brain size, use of tools: Obvious benefit.
Reduced fur: Remember, humans first came out of Africa.  Extremely hot climate.  Hair is hot!  Reduced hair would allow humans to conserve body heat better, reducing the need for food and water.  Monkeys survived because they limited themselves to jungle environments.  Humans (or, at least, animals with this trait) could go further out.

3,604

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

> The Beachwood Year wrote:

> I hold these truths to be self evident:
1. Evolution is in no way science since it cannot be tested or experimented with.
2. I.D. is likewise not science because it too cannot be tested or experimented with.

That is not to say that neither can be studied or proven, it simply says that they are not science.



Bullshit.  Evolution can be tested on microcosm levels.

Check the peppered moth.  Perfect example:

The peppered moth was a white moth in Britain.  It would survive because its white color would blend into the landscape, allowing it to hide from predators.  An uncommon, slight mutation from the white peppered moth was a black version, but it was easily killed off because it was so easily detectable.

Following the Industrial Revolution, the landscape became more polluted.  The landscape darkened.  Suddenly, the white peppered moth died out, replaced by the black peppered moth, since the black color is what now blended into the landscape.

Once pollution regulations were put in place, it reverted, and the white moth came back.


That's how you test it: put animals in an environment in which a common, yet unsuccessful, mutation would otherwise thrive.

3,605

(21 replies, posted in Community)

I got you 127 million gc!


Whoops!  Nevermind!  Gave it to an inactive!  Well, it's the thought that counts, right?

3,606

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

@Otto

Evolution only tries to explain changes in biological beings.  It never even takes a stand on the issue of the creation of the universe, or even the creation of lifeforms on Earth.  How the hell is it supposed to address the issue of the universe's creation?  That's like saying "gravity is bullshit because it doesn't answer this question on my government exam!"

3,607

(54 replies, posted in Politics)

Um... a member of the first family could still marry a member of the royal family.  tongue

3,608

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

> [TI] Mrblonde wrote:

> I think God believes in evolution...



Catholicism has revised its standing on evolution so that evolution is probably true, as long as it is acknowledged that God gave us a soul.  tongue

3,609

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

Cell theory is still a theory too.  So is continental drift.  smile

3,610

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

> Justinian I wrote:

> > Zarf BeebleBrix wrote:

> Come on, isn't there someone here to argue with?  Where's Flint?  Justinian?  Anyone?>

This election is trivial and irrelevant, because at the end of the election the theocratic elites of Iran will continue to exercise supreme authority over all secular government in the country.



There we go!  smile

Refer to the above: Bullshit.  If the theocrats were interested in making sure a hardright state existed, they would have voided the candidacies of the moderate candidates.  But they didn't.

Yes, the ayatollahs are the ones with the real power in the government.  However, it's much easier to work with a president than against him.  That indicates that, if a moderate would have won the election, the ayatollah's position on issues would have changed, since they approved the candidate originally.

Besides, the ayatollahs don't like Ahmadinejad.  Remember that economic crisis I told you about?  The ayatollahs were as pissed off at him as anyone else... and I think I read that they may have actually issued a censure against him.  Not going to say that's 100% true, but it may be...

3,611

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Well, shit.  That sucks.

Okay, let's dust off the nukes now.

3,612

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Come on, isn't there someone here to argue with?  Where's Flint?  Justinian?  Anyone?

3,613

(55 replies, posted in Politics)

um...


Yes, you can "develop" a developing nation.

Exhibit A: South Korea
Exhibit B: Singapore
Exhibit C: Hong Kong
Exhibit D: Taiwan
Exhibit E: Japan

Need I go on?

3,614

(55 replies, posted in Politics)

> esa wrote:

> That would mean a Star Trek society would die out?


Nah, probably not.  I would theorize that, at some point, a population would reach a "minimum tolerance level" of sort, after which the government would start taking action to raise population growth.  A good example would be Russia, where the government has taken efforts to encourage reproduction.  Various cities have been literally holding contests to encourage extra children (there was a contest where someone won a refrigerator if they had a kid on a certain holiday).

In addition, I would theorize that nontraditional childbearing methods would be utilized by the government at that time.  Perhaps, for example, a more benign "Brave New World" style raising system might be created, where laboratory-grown fetuses were then raised in government education centers of sort.

However, there's another possibility: a trend reversal.  Technology allows efficiency of production to grow exponentially.  For example, a Neanderthal may have to track their prey for days in order to catch up with it and wrestle it to the ground (no tools used), the development of a bow and arrow would shorten that time by putting range into the equation.  This could be applied to any technological advance.  Just compare your 40-hour work week to the work times of peasants 200 years ago.

Now, if technology allows individual work times to decline, then it means the strain working puts on the individual will steadily decline.  That means the conflict between work and child raising reduces, allowing adults to raise more children.  At the same time, however, the technology growth would also increase the biome capacity through efficiency of production, reducing the strain on the biome itself.

3,615

(55 replies, posted in Politics)

@420

A solution has already been shown in the developed world: Industrialization.

Look at Japan, Italy, Great Britain, and most other industrialized nations.  Their populations are declining.  Not due to a massive genocide, war, disease, or poverty.  Instead, the population loss is due to a simple, natural factor: people in industrialized societies tend to have less children than in developing societies, due to mixed factors of birth control methods, abortions, the status of a child as an economic liability rather than an asset (such as in farming communities), and women's ability to work outside the house.

Look where population growth is strongest.  It's not in the developed world.  It's in third world nations.  Thus, there's a simple way to control population growth while, at the same time, increase the biome's carrying capacity by increasing efficiency of economic production: Develop the developing world.

3,616

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Free market health care will be the best system ever!  It will provide health care to people before they need it, and will pay people in order to get medical examinations!  Cancer cells will be vaporized immediately after the patient walks into the hospital, and all other ailments will be cured by eating ice cream!





Okay, now this thread can die.  I'm an advocate of free market health care.  For the people to answer "no," they must prove free market health care doesn't match up to my views.  smile

3,617

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/meast/06/10/iran.election.rallies/



A little note: before the election, the Ayatollahs normally throw out many of the more moderate candidates in favor of candidates that will be more in line with their views.  In this case, however, we see clear indications that moderate leaders have been allowed to come into office, namely Moussavi.  This means that the Ayatollahs have turned against Ahmadinejad, as they're pretty much taking drastic measures to get him out of office by allowing a moderate to come into office.


I think this is a possibility for a huge shake-up.  Moussavi wants to reform the government to allow for more international trade.  Since the primary constraint on that is the international sanctions, Moussavi would be forced to negotiate on the nuclear issue in order to open up trade.  Unlike Ahmadinejad, who ran on a platform of "screw you America," Moussavi is banking his political ambitions on the promise of getting international trade to happen.  Huge step forward.

Now, I know what's going to come up next: "But the President doesn't have any power!  It's all in the Ayatollah's hands!"  You're right.  However, the Ayatollahs had the ability to veto Moussavi, no questions asked, if they thought he was too moderate.  They didn't.  He's still in the running.  This means there's been a fundamental shift in the Ayatollah's viewpoints, most likely due to Ahmadinejad's royally pitiful screw-ups on the economy*.

Could this be it?  A peaceful resolution to the nuclear issue, without the need for any bloodshed?




*In case you don't know, here's the economy issue: When oil prices were reaching $80, $90, and $100 per barrel, Iran's economy was flourishing.  Now, normally, oil countries have what's called an Oil Stabilization Fund, a fund for the government to store excess revenue from oil, so that when prices fall, the government can fall back and pull money out of the fund.  Normally, this fund is managed by a small commission that decides whether withdrawals from the account can be deemed "emergency spending" to justify the withdrawal.  Last year, Ahmadinejad shut down the commission, and allowed himself to be the final verdict on whether spending was "emergency spending."  In the process, he used the excess revenues for social programs and various subsidies, including gas and food.  Anyway, fast forward to November last year, when oil prices dropped to $55 per barrel.  The Iranian government opened up their OSF to see how much was there, and the cupboard was bare.

In order to fight the problem, Ahmadinejad attempted to raise taxes by creating a 3% sales tax.  In response, the bazaars in Tehran, the primary financial sector in the country, literally went on strike, protesting Ahmadinejad's handling of the economy.  The tax increase was delayed shortly afterwards.

3,618

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

This thread is an epic fail in political discussion.

3,619

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Wow... um...

Raise your hand if you like threads to have content!

3,620

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Then take that up with Justinian.  tongue

3,621

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

We're talking pretty much about foreign relations here, though.

3,622

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Pretty much.  Although Hitler was pure hard power.  He was harder than a teenager who ate a bottle of viagra.

3,623

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Okay, cool.  So we're in agreement that both are necessary.

That being said, I would argue that there's no way to judge whether one is better than the other because each one is needed in a different situation.  Generally, when in doubt, the use of both methods against the same target is an effective approach, as it allows nations to choose whether they want to be the subject of soft or hard power.  Once used, however, it would define, for the long term, whether hard or soft power was a better tool to be used. 

It's like comparing whether a syringe is better than a chainsaw.  Each one has their uses.  Just as you wouldn't try to operate on someone using a chainsaw, the US shouldn't threaten to nuke Canada over a trade dispute.  The trick isn't to come up with a "when all else fails" approach, but to better know the person you're dealing with so that you know which approach will work.  That's why I go for the carrots and sticks approach: It shows a pattern for long term relations with the target country.  An outright rejection of an offer indicates hostility, while acceptance, or even a counteroffer or negotiation, are indicators that soft power is a better tool than hard power.


If you use soft power in the wrong scenario, you look like a wimp, lose credibility, and are generally ineffective.  If you use hard power in the wrong scenario, you create enemies for absolutely no reason.  Intelligence fixes it.

3,624

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Still, why are they mutually exclusive???  Carrot and stick approaches, such as South Africa, prove that a willingness to use both is the key to power gaining.

3,625

(23 replies, posted in Politics)

Why are hard power and soft power mutually exclusive with one another?