76 (edited by Lizon 22-Jul-2009 18:56:41)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"So it still isn't clear to you that your correlation between urbanization and hunger is faulty.  I suppose I'll have to spell it out for you:"

I gave you the links to the relavent data. It doesn't lie. The only thing I stated was that there seems to be a direct link between the 2.

"Your correlation disintegrates when you understand that it is based on an AVERAGE of ALL urban dwellers, not taking taking into account the drastically different situation of the urban poor."

The data is averaged out. That's why it's so intresting to look at. I woulnd't have supported such a conclusion it it wasn't.

"You rest your whole argument on this simplistic, faulty, inconclusive, supposed correlation, and as this correlation has fallen apart, your entire argument holds no water."

Proof proof! I have proof for my arguments, you need to give proof for yours. That's how the game works. ^.^

"What this MEANS, Lizon, is that the data we get is factored in with data from the urban elite."

There is nothing wrong with this. the point is to look at the total population as a whole, not a single segment of that population.

" Why is this?  Isn't this interesting?  I don't suppose you'd have an answer"

Because you have to look at the overal health of the entire system as a whole. Not individual parts. If I were to look at some of the streets around my hometown and use that as the basis of an argument against urban dwelling I would have people running into the woods. however you have to look at the entire system as a whole to realize things are not as bad as they seem. You cannot simply toss out data simply because it does not conform with your ideals.

" so I'll explain: my theory is governments intentionally fudge the numbers to make the situation seem better than it is, so that IDIOTS like you who believe them keep thinking the system is working; keep voting for them; keep believing their vilification of the poor; keep going off to war against these vilified poor; keep dying for them; and keep paying taxes to them; etc.  "

Your inner socialist is comming out. ^.^ What you fail to realise is that these conditions are the same conditions that all urban settings go through. Urban and City growth go through distinct cycles. I pointed out those cycles on my previous post. In a nutshell their:

Stage 1 - Small urban stage, cities are rather small but growing outward. Almost like townships. However due to their central locations as centers of trade and comerce they begin to expans outwards. Groth is gradual.

Stage 2 - Growth stage, the hardest stage for most cities. They experience a period of rapid growth resulting in strains on local resources and facilities to accomidate the growing population. NYC between 1880-1920 had many of the same conditions that you see today in cities around the world. People living in poor living conditions, little access to health care, 3-4 people living per room. This stage is necessary because it leads to...

Stage 3 - Mature stage, the cities have now grown to accomidate their populations and growth. Standards of living are raised across the board. Expansion of infrastructure and distribution channels allows for the accomidation of 10's of millions of people.

As stated me and in the links that I provided it is known that these 3rd world countries are currently at stage 2. In which living conditions are expected to be poor while the cities continue to expand and grow to accomidate their populaions. At their current rate of expansion and growth I expect on average for most cities and urban areas to move onwards to stage 3 in about 100 years or so. Some regions will reach that stage sooner and others later but on average a 100 years seems to be a reasonable estimate.

Will conditions be poor duirng this time frame? Yes.

Will millions, tens of millions, hundreds of millions of people die as a result? Absolutly.

Will it make much of a difference 100 years from now? Probabily not.

I look at things from a very wide angle Xeno, in terms of overalll growth of entire systems over the course of centuries. I look at our current growth with that what we've experienced all throughout history. Cities and urban areas have all gone through these stages before. From Giza in ancient Egypt, to Rome during the Roman Empire. These conditions have come and go and are in a sence expected. Only the ill informed or undereducated ones are the ones who seem suprised when these things happen. You really shouldn't be.

That's the problem here Xeno you don't look at the big picure, of how these same cities will look 4-5 generations down the road. You don't look at historical refrences like Giza or Rome to see that these conditions have happened before and in the end everything turned out well.

"I am searching for data that does NOT have data of the urban elite factored into the average, but have yet to find any."

Why would you want to find data that omit 2/3rds of it's relevent populations? Talk about trying to skew data to benifit your ideals. ^.^

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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77 (edited by xeno syndicated 22-Jul-2009 19:36:59)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

Here Lizon, let me show you how one THINKS while they read.  Let's read the following paper, shall we?


http://www.prb.org/pdf09/64.2urbanization.pdf

I will stop and quote something when we come across something of significance, and then state additional analysis of the facts presented in the reading which correlate via logical association with other knowledge I (but I very much doubt you) have.

1.

"By 2030, according to the projections of the United
Nations Population Division, more people in the
developing world will live in urban than rural areas;
by 2050, two-thirds of its population is likely to
be urban.1 The world

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

DON'T YOU DARE LABEL ME A SOCIALIST YOU @#$% HYPOCRITE.

Don't you get it?  By comparison to the urban poor living in developing countries YOU are the communist.  YOU live in a society with FREE health care, FREE education, unions, pensions, etc.

I'm simply speaking out against the INJUSTICE "westernization" is perpetuating in the developing world.  It has NOTHING to do with communism or socialism or anything of the sort.  It has to do with MORALITY, and HUMAN RIGHTS, EQUALITY OF OPPORTUNITY, ALL the things western thought supposedly holds dear, all the things our vets supposedly fought and died for.   

Don't you DARE ridicule their sacrifice by labeling the person who speaks out AGAINST the CLEAR injustice of what is happening around the world now as a communist. 

If you live in a society with free healthcare, or free education, YOU are the communist by comparison.  Give your head a shake already.  Wake up!


Now, I am not claiming the west is perpetuating this injustice.  I am claiming this "westernization" isn't a correct lable.  In fact, to label it "westernization" dxoes INJUSTICE to all western thought stands for.

You insult YOUR culture by claiming it as such.

What is happening is tyrannical, oppression of the poor by the conniving, corrupt elite of those developing countries, who then go and claim it is "westernization" as an excuse for committing what is virtually genocide against the poor, and they are laughing at the west all the way to YOUR banks. 

"Westernization" it is NOT.  And if you believe that is what it is, well, then, there is nothing more to discuss with you brainwashed commie.

79 (edited by Lizon 23-Jul-2009 21:56:13)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"If we can't accommodate the basic needs requirements of the poor today, how the @$@# do you think we'll be able to accomodate them over the next generation?"

That is assuming that these cities do nothing to expand their resources and capacity. However this isn't the case. Historical data proves otherwise. We will be able to accommodate those people and then some. Furthermore as populations become more urbanized population growth starts to decline slightly. The analysis there fails to take that into account, and there really is no way to measure it.

"In other words, one can argue that it is because governments calculate budgets based on these faulty 'averages' rather than actually determining the real extent of the situation for the urban poor alone that results in health and education to be perpetually underfunded, as well as a shortage of private health care and education, making them inaccessible to those people who need them the most."

Which really doesn't mean anything, conditions in the rural areas are worse considering their case mortality rate is higher. It doesn't matter if it's averages over the total population or not. In terms of the total population in the urban center vs the total population in the rural areas. People live longer in the urban areas. This means as the infrastructure of the cities begin to grow to the point in which it CAN accommodate it's total population life expectancy will increase across the board.

"Even our academics are too #@%-ing lazy (or scared) to get off their fat asses and get out there to the small cities / settlements (even those settlements of 20,000 people are URBAN) and collect the data.  They'll only bother going to the big cities of developing countries, and only if there are 5 star hotels to stay at, and probably delegate everything from their hotel rooms, never setting foot out of the lobby, most likely."

They also focus on the cities because that's where most people live and it's where most people will live in the foreseeable future. I also find it rather amusing that because you can't find data to support your claim it becomes the researcher's fault fornot getting it. That's probability the funniest thing I've heard all day.

"Our academics construct data that does not take into account the actual increased costs associated with urban dwelling.  They might look at, for instance, a rural farmhand who earns $30 a month, and an urban dweller who earns $100 dollars a month, taking thus as a measure of standard of life, when in actuality, the urban dweller spends more than $200 to feed his / her family and is actually going into debt every month, whose family also happens to be suffering from chronic illnesses directly resulting from unsanitary living conditions in the slums, health problems (s)he cannot have remedied as (s)he cannot afford to pay for medical services. "

This is an assumption on your part with no practical data to back it up. A counter argument though would be that rural areas don't have access to medical facilities at all. It's a much different story when one can't afford medical treatment and when one doesn't have it at all to begin with. Course I don't put much relevance into personal opinions.

"All this is in contrast to the rural dweller is easily able to save $10 / month because (s)he gets her food and lodging for free, and whose family experiences none of the chronic illnesses faced by the urban slum dweller family.  Why don't these academics who are responsible for determining the actual, valid, sound facts of the matter, doing the job they are payed hundreds of thousands of dollars a year to do?  I'll answer that.  In some cases, they are probably paid NOT to do their jobs; not to figure out the real situation of the urban poor, because if it ever got out that the system IS failing and, moreover, is doomed to fail..., well, I'll let you THINK about that."

Again you are under the assumption that this is true. In which case you have nothing to back up that claim what so ever. This is your opinion, not a fact. Stop trying to make up "facts" in order to support your claim. Making up stuff out of thin air is a sure sign that you really are getting desperate to prove your case.

"In essence, how the poverty line is determined for the urban poor in developing countries is fudged, BECAUSE it is modeled after the methods for determining the poverty live in developed countries.  Thus, in order to determine the actual poverty line in developing countries, ALL data we currently have would have to be adjusted to account for costs not factored in by poverty line calculations of developed countries: cost of education, cost of health care, cost of drinking water, cost of "protection" pay-offs, etc., which makes utterly horrifying the fact that the poverty line in developing countries is calculated even "less than [the] three times the cost of food" as calculated by developed countries.  DO YOU GET IT YET, LIZON?  I suppose not.  Let's continue..."

Yes and Elvis was abducted by aliens and currently resides at a Casino in Atlantic City. -.- Having fun with your conspiracy theories?

"The urban dwelling poor pay more for their food than the rich.  With multinational intensive agriculture corporations purchasing owning and operating their own farmlands and factory farms, and with these multinationals implementing strict controls over distribution, trucks coming into the city with food no longer stop on the outskirts and let the urban poor market and distribute the food-stuffs from small, family-owned grocery stores anymore."

Most farms are privately owned by individual families. At least here int eh states and most of the western world. The distributors are separate businesses from the farms, they buy form local units and sell those goods to retailers. Some of the larger retailers own their own distribution companies and work through them, but the actual farms are privately owned.

"What has happened is they have been cut-out of the supply-chain, and food is marketed first to the urban elite in supermarkets like Costco and Walmart, and, increasingly, street-vendors' or small grocery-store owners' only supply of product is the same multinational corporations, and thus, paying the same price as the urban elite, these vendors have no choice but to mark-UP the price after transporting product sell to the urban poor of outlying areas.  The urban poor have little choice but to buy the marked-up priced goods, too, as they simply lack the resources (i.e. a car) to transport quantities of goods from city-center-located Walmarts and Costcos themselves."

ROFL! It's called supply and demand and bulk buying. Large retailers like Walmart and Cosco often have the lowest prices out there. I should know, there's a local meat market by my house and their often higher than Walmart down the road. ^.^ Plus there are Walmarts here on EVERY CORNER! Their like weeds, almost as bad as Starbucks, ok those are far worse but you get the idea. Retailers want to be as close to their customers as possible. Since your talking about Cosco and Walmart that would mean your thinking of the States, well if that's the case then 79% of our population is urban elite then...man those elitist, who do they think they are? That poor 21% majority don't know what their missing.....oh wait.

http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census/cps2k.htm

"Does your jaw drop, Lizon, when you read this?  No.  Because you're a twit, who can't assimilate knowledge."

Let's look back at something else we have studied.  According to our nice power point presentation, 49% of urban dwellers in Mumbai live in a slum, remember?  Now, this study says that 80 percent of NONSLUM urban dwellers are living below this FUDGED poverty line.  Are you as bad at math as you are at critical thinking?  Let's go back to grade 2 math for you then:

If 50% already live in slums, 50% don't, right?  Now, of those 50% who don't live in a slum 80% of them live below the poverty line, what percentage of total urban dwellers of Mumbai live below the poverty line, hmmm?  Show me you have aren't a grade-school student and answer it, or #%#-off.

If you really think you're up to it, you might consider the following:"

Assuming of course the power point presentation is correct and that the data gathered are from the same or similar sources. Unknown really, would have to find other references. And it really doesn't change anything really. As I've stated repeatably, these conditions are expected and hardly surprising.

"I'm sure you would be motivated (based on your clear biased - and flawed - intellectual agenda) to assume that not ALL people living in a slum are living below the poverty line.  Good luck finding that information out, though.  LOL.  Ever been to Mumbai?"

No I haven't. I know people form there though. And of course that means you probably haven't been there. wink Usually when people ask "have you been there" in a spiteful manor means that they've never been there themselves and are trying to make a pointed argument to cover up their own inability to produce facts.

"The REALITY of the situation is, Lizon, when you see past the BULL#@% propagated by the fudged data presented by the establishment, there is no clear distinctive advantage to being either of the rural poor or the urban poor.  THIS state of there being no clear benefit of being of either group is the issue here.  It is indicative of the failure of this grand experiment of so called "westernization".  The fact that there is no clear advantage to it makes "westernization" in its current course an embarrassing failure. And the west should be embarrassed.  I doubt you are, though, of course, because, the vast majority of westerners remain oblivious, apathetic, and uncaring.  They have no idea of their PERSONAL culpability for this failure, either."

History proves you wrong again, which I will elaborate further. You consistently look at how things look now,a nd don't look at how they'll look 100 years from now. Your too narrow minded to view things on that scale it seems. Which is disappointing.

"DON'T YOU DARE LABEL ME A SOCIALIST YOU @#$% HYPOCRITE."

Yes and caps make you sound more intelligent how? And you are a Marxist. You haven't provided any evidence to show how your ideas are any different from a Marxist and the similarities are striking. ^.^

"Don't you get it?  By comparison to the urban poor living in developing countries YOU are the communist.  YOU live in a society with FREE health care, FREE education, unions, pensions, etc."

I have free healthcare!? Where, I want to see it? Unions? Pfft, useless things, I was in one once when I was younger, saw no benefit to it. I'm currently not part of one and I like it better. And apparently you never saw the price of college tuition here. o.O

"I'm simply speaking out against the INJUSTICE "westernization" is perpetuating in the developing world."

No you are speaking of your flawed opinion based on assumptions that have no facts to back them up of a perceived conspiracy by the "elitist" to hold you down. Humm, sounds pretty Marxist to me, you keep looking at the "Urban elite" as the bad guys keeping the "poor masses" down. I said it once and I'll say it again, you would have made an easy recruit for the Bolsheviks for the 1917 Russian Revolution.

"It has NOTHING to do with communism or socialism or anything of the sort."

According to your terminology it does. ^.^

"It has to do with MORALITY, and HUMAN RIGHTS, EQUALITY OF OPPORTUNITY, ALL the things western thought supposedly holds dear, all the things our vets supposedly fought and died for."

And we have gotten as close to it as possible than anywhere else on earth. Which means we're doing something right. wink

"Don't you DARE ridicule their sacrifice by labeling the person who speaks out AGAINST the CLEAR injustice of what is happening around the world now as a communist. "

But you are a Marxist. Prove yourself otherwise and that assumption may be re-considered. But as it currently shows, you are a Marxist tot he bone and darned proud of it.

"If you live in a society with free healthcare, or free education, YOU are the communist by comparison.  Give your head a shake already.  Wake up!"

God I wish I had those, would be nice. Too bad I got to pay for everything. Meh!

"Now, I am not claiming the west is perpetuating this injustice.  I am claiming this "westernization" isn't a correct lable.  In fact, to label it "westernization" dxoes INJUSTICE to all western thought stands for."

Westernization and Capitalism aren't perfect. But they'll due for now until we reach our next economic stage, which should be in oh about 150-200 years, give or take a century.

"You insult YOUR culture by claiming it as such."

I'm defending my culture. -.-

"What is happening is tyrannical, oppression of the poor by the conniving, corrupt elite of those developing countries, who then go and claim it is "westernization" as an excuse for committing what is virtually genocide against the poor, and they are laughing at the west all the way to YOUR banks. "

*sighs* You and your conspiracy theories again. Seems you need a brief history lesson.

""Westernization" it is NOT.  And if you believe that is what it is, well, then, there is nothing more to discuss with you brainwashed commie."

Yes it is. And time for a history lesson for the little Marxist. ^.^
--

Now I've stated over and over again about the developing urban centers are currently at a stage 2 phase, let me use some historical data to show what exactly is going on.

Let me use NYC for example. Here is the source for their population data, keep in mind of the time frames for these as the USA was a MUCH different country back then. We were "developing" still.

http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/pdf/census/1790-2000_nyc_total_foreign_birth.pdf
From 1840-1860 the population of this city grew by 260% from 312k to 813k. This is the first imigration era.

Then from 1890 to 1910 you have an increase of 310% from 1.5m to 4.7m.

From that historical reference lets look at Mumbai form 1981 to 2001. It's population grew by 198%.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growth_of_Mumbai

Rio de Janeiro grew by 214% from 1950-1980 (a 30 year period btw, my other comparisons are 20 year periods) from 2.3m to 5m.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rio_de_Janeiro#Population_growth

Tokyo 1900-1935 an increase of 316% from 2.01m to 6.36m
http://www.metro.tokyo.jp/ENGLISH/PROFILE/overview03.htm

Narobi from 1969 to 1995 an increase of 355% from 509k to 1.8m
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nairobi#Population

London from 1851 to 1891 an increase of 235% from 2.3m to 5.5m
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_London#Population

Karachi from 1972 to 1998 an increase of 272% from 3.4m to 9.3m.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karachi

The point of showing these reference links is to cement the legitimacy that rapid growth of urban centers and the subsequent problems that arise from them are not uncommon in human history. Despite this happening over and over again throughout human history. Somehow we managed to get by. Somehow these urban centers grew to meet their populations needs.

Note: I mixed in first world cities with 3rd world cities to show historical comparisons. I omitted the Tokyo growth from 1945 to 1960 specifically due tot he fact it was being rebuilt from WW2. I figured that would be skewed data. I also omitted Karachi from 1941 to 1961 as this was when Pakistan broke away form India and massive migrations ensued. I'm trying to show natural Stage 2 progression, not artificial.

Now I know what your going to say.

"But conditions today are FAR worse than what they were back then!"

I would suggest you look up some history. Look up a book called "THE IRISH IN AMERICA" by John Francis Maguire, it was published in 1898. It talks about the poor living conditions that the Irish immigrants faced in NYC at the time. Chapter 11 is very interesting. Here I'll link it for you:

http://www.libraryireland.com/Maguire/XI-1.php

You will find that the conditions described there are very similar to those that you find in developing countries (and in the 1890's the USA was very much still developing).

The point I'm trying to drill into your thick skull Xeno is that there is historical precedence for the conditions that people currently live in in many developing countries and their urban centers. There is also historical data that shows what happens to this urban centers over the course of decades and centuries.

I was trying to pull data on ancient Rome and Giza but the data there only shows growth every 100 or 1000 year intervals. Both had their slums though this is known.I'm sure if I were to contact historians in Rome directly I could find more precise data (those Romans were quite the record keepers) but that would require much too much effort on my part. ^.^

Furthermore there were civil corruption and high crime in NYC during this time period as well. Lots of it, it was rampant. But once again, after looking at things through the prism of history you can see how things eventually got better over time. I'm sure it will be the same with the developing world over time. History has a habit of repeating itself. ^.^

And a word of advise, don't blame researchers for not getting the evidence you want to prove your point. >.< I don't think you realize your much you were embarrassing yourself with those comments.

Reference Note: In the "western" world the term Ghetto is used instead of Slums. So if you want to research poor living conditions in western cities during their rapid growth states you would have to use that term instead to pull relevant data.

--

Now what all this means in terms of this argument is this.

1. Any data you pull up describing the "horrible" conditions that people live in now does not change the argument that those conditions run parallel to the conditions faced by cities all throughout history. And there is NO evidence that suggests that the outcome now will be any different from what has happened in the past. Trying to pull more and more data to show how bad things are actually reinforces the historical precedence. So there really is no point in wasting your time pulling more information in that regard.

2. Again looking at historical precedence there is every indication to believe that these cities will reach their stage 3 maturity in 50-100 years. This seems to be the common time frame for most cities in countries around the world. Again, the cities of today are following the same pattern of cities form the past. There is nothing to show anything out of the ordinary. So trying to argue that we won't be able their continued population growth really is only an assumption when history shows those cities will be able to handle their populations.

Your argument that conditions are so bad we must do something immediately to improve them.

My argument is that these conditions are the result of these urban centers natural growth to maturity and that if history proves us right (which it hasn't failed so far) these urban centers should be fully mature in 50-100 years. Thus things will turn out very well in the end without having to take any drastic action. Interfearing in the natural growth and maturity of these urban centers is bound to do more harm than good. Let things pan out their way their supposed to pan out and things will be fine.

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"But you are a Marxist. Prove yourself otherwise and that assumption may be re-considered. But as it currently shows, you are a Marxist tot he bone and darned proud of it."

You say this just to aggravate me, I assume.  Or, another reason you try and label me a Marxist is to vilify your opponent - typically the only recourse left to those who have exhausted their intellectual responses.

For you have yet to prove anything I have said or proposed is Marxist, and do so not only by referring to Marxist theory but also Marxism in practice.  You don't do so, of course, because you know that what I propose is in fact against Marxist theory and contemporary Marxist practice.

So why don't you just stop labeling me. It just pisses me off and makes me want to end this discussion.

The burden of proof is on you to prove I am a Marxist, for I vehemently deny it.

---------------
>>>>"If you live in a society with free healthcare, or free education, YOU are the communist by comparison.  Give your head a shake already.  Wake up!"

God I wish I had those, would be nice. Too bad I got to pay for everything. Meh!<<<

It is interesting that you do not say that you do not live in a society with such services.  If you live in the US, you at least have labor unions, public education, public utilities, public emergency services that are at least subsidized by the state - a communist lifestyle indeed by comparison to life in the Mumbai slums.

And yet, ironically, you would vilify me, and probably the urban poor of developing countries as well, as communists simply for aspiring the same social services you of the developed world enjoy.

There are many different kinds of revolutions, yet you seem to think that revolution or anti-status quo sentiment is always necessarily Marxist.  I suppose you think the founding fathers of the US were Marxists, too.

----------
>>>>"You insult YOUR culture by claiming it as such."

I'm defending my culture. -.-<<<<

Ultimately, you have no defense, only accusations.

----------------------
>>>>"Somehow these urban centers grew to meet their populations needs."<<<

Is that all you have?  "Somehow"?  You mean you don't actually know how it happened, and yet you 'somehow' believe it will happen again?  Weak.

--------
>>"And a word of advise, don't blame researchers for not getting the evidence you want to prove your point. >.< I don't think you realize your much you were embarrassing yourself with those comments."<<

Why the %#@ not?  The vast majority of research is government funded, or does not happen without governments' authorization.  Governments are so corrupt they won't fund / authorize research which will reveal facts they don't want 'revealed'.  Researchers know this, and, therefore, it is THEIR RESPONSIBILITY, therefore, to be out there voluntarily, without authorization, on their OWN dime, or having acquired funds from private or NGO sources.  But they don't, because they are lazy and afraid.

--------------

>>>"And there is NO evidence that suggests that the outcome now will be any different from what has happened in the past."<<<

Wrong.  There is ample evidence.  Shall we take this dialogue in this direction, then?  Go ahead.  You start.  Show how there are infinite resources with which the billions of the developing world will establish standards of life equal to that of the developed world.  Show how there is no reason to think the developing world can't 'catch up' to the west.


>>"So trying to argue that we won't be able their continued population growth really is only an assumption when history shows those cities will be able to handle their populations"<<<

It is not only an assumption.  There is plenty of evidence to suggest there won't be enough food, energy, housing, even surface space on Earth to accommodate every family of 2050's human population with a good old-fashioned, middle-class American bungalow and back yard.

-----------
"Your argument that conditions are so bad we must do something immediately to improve them."

No.  My argument is that conditions are not only not improving, but are actually getting worse and will continue to get worse; that this experiment with globalization / westernization is doomed, and that alternative solutions / measures that are CURRENTLY NOT BEING GIVEN ADEQUATE DISCUSSION are required.
------

>>"Let things pan out their way their supposed to pan out and things will be fine."<<

It's interesting you say, 'Let things pan out "[...]their" way[...]'.  And "[...]their supposed[...]"

Freudian mistake, perhaps?

Let me ask you this:

1. Are things panning out the way they supposed they would?

2. Is their supposed way things will pan out actually the way things are supposed to pan out?

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

xeno,

Stop pretending. You are a commie.

82 (edited by Lizon 24-Jul-2009 21:50:03)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"You say this just to aggravate me, I assume.  Or, another reason you try and label me a Marxist is to vilify your opponent - typically the only recourse left to those who have exhausted their intellectual responses.

For you have yet to prove anything I have said or proposed is Marxist, and do so not only by referring to Marxist theory but also Marxism in practice.  You don't do so, of course, because you know that what I propose is in fact against Marxist theory and contemporary Marxist practice.

So why don't you just stop labeling me. It just pisses me off and makes me want to end this discussion.

The burden of proof is on you to prove I am a Marxist, for I vehemently deny it."

Lets see a society that is based on small scale rural infrastructure, in which each individual family unit is self sufficient either as an individual or small community. Abolishment of a currency system in favor of a barter like trade system in which all goods are traded equally and fairly between the common community. Elimination of the labor class so that there is no labor class sort of speak.

Plus it's how you make your arguments, against the "urban elite", the "wealthy elite", and the "government elite". This wording is parallel to that found in socialist and marxist documents and literature.

http://books.google.com/books?id=M689AAAAIAAJ&pg=PA245&lpg=PA245&dq=against+the+urban+elite+socialist&source=bl&ots=W-qpxlspNd&sig=sz0_ckPz9qJv3yxhfB4H3AcDCmI&hl=en&ei=ghBqSpS-KJX0NavX7c8M&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=2

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=libertarian%20socialism

http://www.britannica.com/bps/additionalcontent/18/26998017/Socialist-Paths-in-a-Capitalist-Conundrum-Reconsidering-the-German-Catastrophe-of-1933

Look at the writing syle used in this links and documents and compare them to your own writing style. If you don't want to be labeled as a Marxist stop talking like one. ^.^

"It is interesting that you do not say that you do not live in a society with such services.  If you live in the US, you at least have"

I do live in the US ^.^

"labor unions, "

Which are getting smaller every year cause nobody joins them. I know I wouldn't join one that's for sure.

"public education, "

True of course, but then again public education has been instituted in our country since we were founded. Though at least here in Texas we give people the option of school vouchers that can be used for Private Schooling.

"public utilities, "

The only utility that is public ATM is the water. Everything else is privatized, this included electricity, gas, and telephone services. Their working on a way to allow for deregulation of the natural gas services here as well. They've done it in other states and their trying to duplicate the methods here.

"public emergency services that are at least subsidized by the state - a communist lifestyle indeed by comparison to life in the Mumbai slums."

Pretty much all of our hospital services are privatized. This includes emergency response, if you have to take an ambulance you get a bill from the city for using it's services. Many hospitals use private ambulance services. In areas where there are no public services, only volunteer services private services are chartered by the country or towns to provide services. If you get sick, you better have insurance, else your paying out of your own pocket. Now if your in certain income brackets, like the lower income brackets, well they do get help via state and federal aid programs. But the majority of people simply pay out of pocket or through their insurance company.

This little rant of yours only shows how little you know about how things work over here. ^.^

"And yet, ironically, you would vilify me, and probably the urban poor of developing countries as well, as communists simply for aspiring the same social services you of the developed world enjoy."

They should aspire for more, to become better. To use their abilities to move up in the world. Capitalism has brought more people out of poverty than any other economic system in the history of this planet. Communist wish to squander the growth potential of capitalism. By controlling the means of production to ensure "fair play". It's mealy a means to control the huddles masses. When people are given the opportunity to make their own wealth and improve their own lives many do this. Those who don't, well they'll probably perish. Survival of the fittest I suppose.

"There are many different kinds of revolutions, yet you seem to think that revolution or anti-status quo sentiment is always necessarily Marxist.  I suppose you think the founding fathers of the US were Marxists, too."

They were capitalist. Your the one that keeps arguing about the social "elite" squandering the lives of the poor "pheasants". So yes, what you vouch for is a Marxist / Communist Revolution which will never come to pass. Communism is dead, will be for the nest few centuries at least until our global society reaches the point of a Metals Economy.

"Ultimately, you have no defense, only accusations."

I've been defending capitalism. -.- And when I accuse I provide evidence, something you aren't in a habit of doing. Here's some advise.

"The best defense is a good offense" -Carl von Clausewitz

"Is that all you have?  "Somehow"?  You mean you don't actually know how it happened, and yet you 'somehow' believe it will happen again?  Weak."

That was sarcasm in case you didn't read it properly. The main reason these cities survived is through a combination of smart urban planing via the public and private sector working together. Also technology played a big part in it as well in improving living conditions. As I'm sure it will in the future. Things like renewable energy sources, distillation technology, and genetically engineered crops and livestock all stand to again push our global capacity to new heights. There are a lot of untapped resources on this planet, and it will take smart people form all over the world to tap those resources both now and in the future.

"Why the %#@ not?  The vast majority of research is government funded"

I would argue it isn't. Regardless though government funding isn't a bad thing. It takes a lot of capital investment to raw research. Most medical research is privately funded because the market there is huge. While other research such as in space flight and aerospace you find it's mostly government funded. Depends on the area your looking at. I would argue though that some areas that are largely publicly funded will shift to privately funded research ventures if there is the possibility of profit. The recent interest in private space ventures has the opportunity to really open the doors in that arena.

"Governments are so corrupt they won't fund / authorize research which will reveal facts they don't want 'revealed'. Researchers know this, and, therefore, it is THEIR RESPONSIBILITY, therefore, to be out there voluntarily, without authorization, on their OWN dime, or having acquired funds from private or NGO sources.  But they don't, because they are lazy and afraid."

Most governments want facts so that they can improve your conditions. Your conspiracy theories have no place here without the burden of proof. Which you have failed again to present. Stop trying to make up "facts".

"Wrong.  There is ample evidence.  Shall we take this dialogue in this direction, then?  Go ahead.  You start.  Show how there are infinite resources with which the billions of the developing world will establish standards of life equal to that of the developed world.  Show how there is no reason to think the developing world can't 'catch up' to the west."

I believe I stated a few items already in this thread. Renewable energy sources, fusion energy which will be a reality within the next 50-100 years will make a big impact. Genetically engineered crops and livestock to improve yields world wide. Advanced drugs and nanotechnology i will revolutionize medicine in the foreseeable future. Plus there are the things we can't foresee that haven't come to pass yet. Revolutionary urban designs and advanced infrastructure techniques. Sound policy making from public officials that work with the private sector to to expand opportunities. India is a good example, their "middle class" now numbers over 350m and growing fast. I actually think that India not China will be the worlds next great power, because they got the right ideas to make things work. It's just a matter of the time it takes for those ideas to come to fruition.

Furthermore history shows that urban centers will eventually grow out of their growth states to a mature stage over the course of time. You ran away from the examples I gave, like you always do. And I think it's cause your too proud to admit that history is against your assumptions of how the world works. History may be slow, but it is certain. I have complete confidence that things will turn out A-OK! ^.^

Where is your evidence to the contrary? Spit it out, common. I provided those links for a reason, so show that you are wrong. And you have naturally run away. Very disappointing.

"It is not only an assumption.  There is plenty of evidence to suggest there won't be enough food, energy, housing, even surface space on Earth to accommodate every family of 2050's human population with a good old-fashioned, middle-class American bungalow and back yard."

Again, prove it. Where is this "plenty of evidence". Show me historical precedence for what your accusing of and it may be considered. History again is against you.

"No.  My argument is that conditions are not only not improving, but are actually getting worse and will continue to get worse; that this experiment with globalization / westernization is doomed, and that alternative solutions / measures that are CURRENTLY NOT BEING GIVEN ADEQUATE DISCUSSION are required."

The evidence that you've provided so far indicate that conditions are improving. More people move to the cities, more people live longer in the cities. Population growth continues to skyrocket across the board. Rising populations are clear evidence that you are wrong. The Maps I presented show a clear link between urban settings and low hunger. If westernization was doomed the western world would have collapsed a long time ago. wink Obviously what we did worked, and now other nations are trying to emulate us. Good for them. Soon China and India will be no different form the US/EU. And I bet you'll still be complaining. -.-

"It's interesting you say, 'Let things pan out "[...]their" way[...]'.  And "[...]their supposed[...]"

Freudian mistake, perhaps?

Let me ask you this:

1. Are things panning out the way they supposed they would?

2. Is their supposed way things will pan out actually the way things are supposed to pan out?"

Yes and Yes of course. History is certain. To quote Star Trek:

"Resistance is futile" - Borg

I <3 the Borg, straight and to the point. Can't fight human nature or the flows of history. Best you can do is ride it out and hope for the best, which seems to have worked well for our species for the last few thousand years of civilization. I'm sure it will be that way for thousands of years to come as well.

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

I want to get into the resource scarcity debate:

Look, Malthus made his first predictions about overpopulation and the resource crunch 100 years ago.  When he first proposed the theory, he believed the problem would be food scarcity.

Since that time, however, technological growth proved him wrong.  The primary reasons were threefold:
A: Malthus didn't factor in the multiple stages of production in final goods production, and the fact that even tiny changes in a society multiply in effect.  Some examples:
Trade between nations allows nations with particular climates to grow the most efficient crops for their region, and trade them abroad, rather than attempt to grow inefficient crops, maximizing production.
Pesticides, fertilizers, and mechanization of farming had similar results.

Then you have phase 2: Distribution.  The quicker food can be moved around, the further out it can be shipped.  That helps multiply the effects of international trade, mentioned above.  In addition, it simply means that regions far away from food sources can access food.
Some example advances here: Highway development, refrigeration, and the development and standardization of both supermarkets (central distribution centers for food within urban centers) and the distribution networks.

The point is, though... that a technological advance doesn't necessarily need to be in the field of food production in order to result in a net increase in food.

For example, take the refrigerator as an example.  Before the refrigerator, milk would spoil sooner.  At the distribution level (supermarket), it means stores would have to restock their supplies much more often, while still maintaining enough to satisfy the people.  This creates the possibility for huge amounts of losses due to short term buying habits.
At the individual level, it creates two inefficiencies.  First, and most obvious, food gets spoiled quicker, so people have to dispose of it before it spoils (overconsume).  Second, it means people need to purchase food in smaller quantities (there's a reason why a two liter bottle of soda is cheaper than the equivalent in cans.  Larger quantities means easier and cheaper packaging and distribution of goods).]


B: Malthus thought technology grows at a linear level.  THAT IS WRONG.

Let's go with a few examples first:
Moore's Law.  If technology was linear, Moore's law would be debunked.  But it's proven, time and again, to be the defining principle regarding computer development.
Aircraft.  (Don't count hot air balloons here, because that developed under a different and much simpler technological path).  It took hundreds of years to understand the basic science of flight (in theory, I could extrapolate this for as long as humans envisioned the possibility of flight.. which would bring this timeline back to at least since Greek mythology).  Once flight started becoming an applicable science, many people from across the world started producing prototype aircraft, until we had the Wright brothers in 1900.

Now, here's the trick: Once you overcome the basic hurdles of a technology, traveling further along that technology is no longer an issue of understanding and overcoming basic technical issues.  Now it becomes an issue of seeing how far technology can utilize natural science.  Aircraft construction was no longer about how to actually get off into the air.  It became an issue of how to make bigger, faster, better airplanes.  It took hundreds of years to come up with a basic airplane that traveled for one minute. 

Fifteen years later, the planes were improved to have long enough range and flight range that they were usable during WW1.  They used machine guns to fight each other, and dropped hand grenades or bricks for bombing operations.  Most air operations were on the main front, due to limited range.

Ten years later, a single-person plane crossed the Atlantic.

Fifteen years later: Another war.  The planes had much thicker hulls.  The aircraft range was enough for Germany to bomb the hell out of Britain.  Unlike their predecessors in WW1, these planes (even fighters) carried much heavier payloads, allowing Germany to blitz Eastern Europe.  (Wars have an interesting way of showing humanity how much it has evolved technologically since its last war...).

Now come to today.  We have civilian airliners, able to transport well over 150 people (sometimes much more) across continents, or even worldwide.  Aircraft travel at many times the speed of sound.  Some classes of military aircraft can fly high enough into the atmosphere that the pilots literally need to wear spacesuits due to the lack of oxygen.



When we try to develop a new technology, humans always fall back on the information they already know when developing new ideas.  A person with a Ph.D in physics is more likely to make an advancement in technology than some high school student, because the guy with the Ph.D has more background knowledge.  In the same way, when a society knows more about the world around us, it has more information to fall back upon in creating technologies.  We're no longer inventing.  We're perfecting, which is simply much simpler.


C: Malthus assumed population growth rates were constant.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population_growth_rate

Look at the map at the top right.  Notice something?  In the US, Japan, and Western Europe... population growth is extremely small.  Less than 1% population growth.  That means, in order to satisfy the resource needs of the population, these countries need to only increase production by 1% per year.  That's really not too much.  In fact, in some European countries, populations are completely leveling off, and some are even slightly declining.

There's a simple explanation: opportunity costs of children.  In agrarian communities, children are economic assets, since they can work in the farms at relatively young ages.  Thus, parents are encouraged to have more children in order to get more workers in the field.  In industrialized societies, however, children go to school until they're 18, then college, freeloading off their parents the whole time.  They're an economic cost to their parents.  In short, from a pure economic perspective, raising a kid is a terrible investment.  Go start a small business or something.





Now I want to take a moment and discuss future technologies.  Lizon started on this, but I want to expand here with some less conventional technologies.

First, Lizon brought up one issue I want to expand upon: nanotechnology.  Lizon mentioned that nanotechnology has huge potential implications in medicine, which is most likely true.  However, he missed one of the most revolutionary theoretical technologies proposed by such scientists as Eric Drexler: the molecular manufacturer.

A brief explanation: Picture the replicator from Star Trek.  The concept was that if we can move atoms, one by one, into particular formations, why can't we utilize it on a larger scale, manipulating billions of atoms, one at a time, to create finished goods from the ground up?

It's not bullshit: Credible scientists have started conducting research in the field, and even some private companies have begun attempting to develop the technology.

I'm not saying this is definitely the future of technology.  However, it's an example of how technology can further expand our resources.

If you take some time to look into the field of nanotechnology, it's quite an interesting and extensive field of study.  Lizon and I have only scraped the surface on the issue of nanotechnology.  But the ability to manipulate atoms, one at a time, holds enormous promise.  It's one area in which we could see a massive revolution in the way our society works.



Here's another one that you, xeno, have mentioned yourself: robotics.  No, I'm not talking about artificial intelligence just yet.  Just simple robotics.  Factories, accounting services, and hundreds of other menial tasks either have been taken over by automation or have been made much simpler due to automation.  As physical labor is taken over by machinery, it leaves a higher percentage of humans to work in fields of innovation, such as the arts and sciences.  That alone is a launching point for an enormous growth in technology due to the increase in the percentage of total resources a civilization is putting into the growth and application of technology into society.



Time for a third example: Space.  Why can't we mine the moon?  Or even build a colony there?  It's not possible now, granted... but it's not outside the bounds of scientific possibility.  And science should have already proven that if something is within the realm of possibility, human innovation will eventually make it a reality.

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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

In short... those UN studies, and pretty much every study on population capacity underestimates technological growth.  Most studies, in fact, tend to view technology using the linear basis (assuming net production will increase by X% per year due to technology).  That's a terrible misrepresentation, empirically denied by both short and long term technology trends.

The study is BS.  Pure and simple.

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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"molecular manufacturer"

I'll be honest here. I don't see this technology being used in your everyday home. There simply is no need for it for the most part. I suspect they will be useful in the large scale manufacturing field and such. The only way I can see this working is that people will order an item online or go to a retail store. Look at samples on the showroom, pick out what they want and it's manufactured right there in front of them on the spot and either pick it up there or have it delivered to their home. I mean how often do you buy new furniture, plates, pots, or pans? And lets be honest, there's something about going "Shopping" and seeing a product first hand that you can't duplicate with online shopping. Sometimes you want to see how that chair looks in front of you and take a seat before deciding to buy it.

"Time for a third example: Space.  Why can't we mine the moon?  Or even build a colony there?  It's not possible now, granted... but it's not outside the bounds of scientific possibility.  And science should have already proven that if something is within the realm of possibility, human innovation will eventually make it a reality."

Actually there's nothing really useful on the moon other than Helium 3 and Silicone. The moon is important in terms of simple logistics for the time being. That is until we develop more efficient reaction drives for inter-solar travel. The moon offers the perfect platform for large scale space manufacturing projects. I think it's easier to build something in micro-gravity instead of no gravity at all. Don't have to worry so much about inertia ruining your day.

The biggest gold mines though are going to be the Jovian satellites and the Asteroid belt. Even Mercury has more to offer than the moon due to it's high metal concentrate.

Though at the rate we're going we won't be seeing any of this for at least 200 years. >.< I don't wanna wait! I want my spaceship now! *pouts* tongue

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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86 (edited by Lizon 25-Jul-2009 07:59:03)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"The study is BS.  Pure and simple."

That's why I brought up historical precedence to back up my argument. Better to see how things worked out before than to be pulling numbers out of my arse with best guess estimates.

Now before Xeno begin saying that this technology will only be in the west and won't make it to the 3rd world countries I would beg to differ. 3rd world countries are the ones that will be the biggest market for this technology coming up. While the west will develop and purchase a large chunk of this new technology, it will be more widely used in developing countries and they will be the ones to benefit the most form it.

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

> Lizon wrote:

> "molecular manufacturer"

I'll be honest here. I don't see this technology being used in your everyday home. There simply is no need for it for the most part. I suspect they will be useful in the large scale manufacturing field and such. The only way I can see this working is that people will order an item online or go to a retail store. Look at samples on the showroom, pick out what they want and it's manufactured right there in front of them on the spot and either pick it up there or have it delivered to their home. I mean how often do you buy new furniture, plates, pots, or pans? And lets be honest, there's something about going "Shopping" and seeing a product first hand that you can't duplicate with online shopping. Sometimes you want to see how that chair looks in front of you and take a seat before deciding to buy it.



1: Okay, fine.  That's still a massive change.  If you agree the technology is possible, then there's no disagreement that the implication is a massive increase in production capability.
2: Most people who talk about the technology argue it would be used with the online shopping model.  After all, the system would somehow need to have access to blueprint codes for up to date models, and a system modeled after the modern Internet would probably work very well.
3: Some people still like handmade furniture.  It doesn't mean the industrially produced furniture industry is a flop. 
I'm granting that there will be some people who would rather have their shopping experience, rather than just producing their stuff in some little machine at home or something.

However, the two can run hand in hand.  Modern society has its handmade furniture and industrially made furniture stores.  Industrially made furniture is cheaper.  Handmade furniture is considered higher class.  It would probably be the same with molecularly manufactured versus conventionally manufactured goods.




"Time for a third example: Space.  Why can't we mine the moon?  Or even build a colony there?  It's not possible now, granted... but it's not outside the bounds of scientific possibility.  And science should have already proven that if something is within the realm of possibility, human innovation will eventually make it a reality."

Actually there's nothing really useful on the moon other than Helium 3 and Silicone. The moon is important in terms of simple logistics for the time being. That is until we develop more efficient reaction drives for inter-solar travel. The moon offers the perfect platform for large scale space manufacturing projects. I think it's easier to build something in micro-gravity instead of no gravity at all. Don't have to worry so much about inertia ruining your day.

The biggest gold mines though are going to be the Jovian satellites and the Asteroid belt. Even Mercury has more to offer than the moon due to it's high metal concentrate.

Though at the rate we're going we won't be seeing any of this for at least 200 years. >.< I don't wanna wait! I want my spaceship now! *pouts* tongue



Key words: "at the rate we're going."  See my rant above about exponents.  smile
As for the moon thing... at the very least, there's land.  Xeno said we wouldn't have enough land, which is one thing you usually can't build.
Besides... there may not be a damn thing useful on the moon... but that would be the most awesome two-week tourist destination ever!  Bam, we have an economy!

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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"Key words: "at the rate we're going."  See my rant above about exponents."

I am including exponents. ^.^ We won't develop a decent reaction drive until we have fusion technology. Which should be available between 2040-2060 according to the projects that are on the table. It usually takes 30 years for a new technology to be integrated into everyday use so that brings us to about 2070-2090 as the time frame for a decent reaction drive, at least in terms of experimental technology. Then from there if we look at the airplane parallel another 40 years until we build something large enough to be practical and useful, which takes us to 2110-2130. The wild card here is infrastructure capacity. We essentially have none and would have to build it up from scratch in low earth orbit. That could take decades, that's where I get my 200 year estimate, it's probably closer to 150 years but I like to be conservative in my estimations.

Once everything is built up we're going to spread like weeds.

"As for the moon thing... at the very least, there's land.  Xeno said we wouldn't have enough land, which is one thing you usually can't build."

Actually one thing that you both missed is the fact that we're only using 1/4th of the surface area of this planet, actually far less than that when you include barren or inhospitable regions. But there is a very large frontier out there that is rich in natural resources, food, and space for people to live. If we actually put forth the effort to develop it. The Oceans, the vast areas of water that cover 3/4ths of our planetary surface. I'm sure that things like molecular manufactured Diamond Glass or Nano-Tube reinforced Carbon-fibers can make the possibility of underwater cities and facilities much closer to reality.

It has much to benefit it. You don't need to worry about transporting it into orbit that's for one, the infrastructure to build it is already in place. And it's closer to home. Though I'm sure some enterprising entrepreneurs will realize this and put something into development. I know our military would find the prospect of underwater bases for research and to serve as logistical ports for sub fleets to be of particular interest to at least get the ball rolling on it.

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89 (edited by xeno syndicated 25-Jul-2009 21:56:12)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

The 'quality of life' the majority of humans will experience in the near future is the issue; the quality of life the majority of humans currently SUFFER is the issue.

"Almost half the world

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

I'm starting to wonder if Xeno even reads his own reference links.

http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/pdf/mdg2007.pdf

Almost the entire report is showing off increased health care, sanitation, reduced hunger, and overall poverty across the board. It tries to make the increased income gap as a bad thing when it really isn't. If anything it's a sign of further progress.

As development continues the overall income of everyone in a society increases. So eventually you get to the point in which the bottom 5% income bracket despite being a wide gap from the general average is still more than sufficient to maintain a decent quality of life.

The rest of it shows that conditions are slowly improving, as is expected.

"But is living on 1, 2, or even 10$ a day even an accurate indicator of the level of poverty?  Considering inflation, varying degrees of regional and situational costs of living, I would argue that living on 1, 2, or 10 dollars a day is even more insufficient in developing countries than developed ones, primarily due to the lack of social services for the majority of the populations of developing countries."

Prove it. Prove that $1 a day is insufficient income for the countries in question. I don't want to hear about your arguments. I want to see your proof. Considering exchange rates in some of these places $1 a day is more than enough income.

"Let's look at Mumbai again.  Even studies of poverty levels which do not include relative INCREASE in costs due to having no access to public social services show that 80% of non-slum urban dwellers of Mumbai live in poverty."

References? Links?

"In addition, I think it's safe to assume that the vast majority of urban slum dwellers of Mumbai also live in poverty."

Assume nothing. That's your opinion that is based on what exactly? Where is the proof?

"Therefore, if 50% of all urban dwellers of Mumbai live in slums and virtually all slum dwellers of Mumbai live in poverty, and 80% of other urban non-slum dwellers also live in poverty, then approx. 90% of ALL urban dwellers in Mumbai live in poverty, and these 90% are expected to pay for their own education, healthcare, etc."

So your basing all of this on an assumption you made with no proof to back it up? Are you beginning to see a trend here? You can't find facts to back up your claims so your making them up.....

"What percentage of rural dwellers (most of whom probably have never seen a hospital in their lives) around Mumbai also live in poverty?  Proponents of westernization, globalization, urbanization, etc., would have to agree it would be a higher percentage than the percentage of urban dwellers who live in poverty, as it is their premise that poverty levels DECREASE with urbanization.  So, therefore, shall we estimate that 95% of rural dwellers live in poverty, then?  (Estimating is necessary, because, as we've discussed, no one bothers to get any reliable data.) "

Insufficient data to make a guess. Though it doesn't really matter in the long run. In 50 years most rural areas will have their populations severely diminished if current migration trends hold up which will actually raise their standard of living. Less competition for expanding resources. Historical precedence shows this to be the expected outcome anyways.

"What, therefore, could we estimate is the REAL poverty percentage of those in the entire region of Mumbai both rural and urban who live under the poverty line?  Let's be conservative and estimate it at 92.5%.  And also remember that this percentage of the population pays for their own health care and education costs as well."

So your coming to this conclusion based on your "assumptions" which are based on "facts" that aren't really facts but your assumption of what the facts should be because nobody bothers to get the data to show off your "true" facts that back up your claim? Is anyone else seeing how utterly silly this all sounds?

"Now, what about official governmental national figures?  The Indian government claimed poverty was "decreased from 36 percent of the population in 1993

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91 (edited by Zarf BeebleBrix 26-Jul-2009 07:13:55)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

Godwin's Law!  I win the debate!

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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

Lizon,

Your entire rebuttal is based on 10 dollars a day being a sufficient income for the urban poor of developing countries.  Prove it.

93 (edited by xeno syndicated 26-Jul-2009 07:13:02)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

For Lizon,


"there is a tradition in many newsgroups and other Internet discussion forums that once such a comparison is made, the thread is finished and whoever mentioned the Nazis has automatically "lost" whatever debate was in progress."


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Godwin%27s_Law

Lolzy

Lizon = pwned, again

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

No!  You don't win!  I win!  I called it first!  It's mine!

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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

http://xkcd.com/261/

Make Eyes Great Again!

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96 (edited by Lizon 26-Jul-2009 08:12:42)

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"Your entire rebuttal is based on 10 dollars a day being a sufficient income for the urban poor of developing countries.  Prove it."

Here is a brief overview.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_of_living_in_India

Breakdown of expenses by items.

http://www.nomad4ever.com/2008/12/01/cost-of-living-chart-goa-india-in-rupees-dollar-and-euro/

If I were to make a guess here this is what I figured out.

Housing - Electricity, House/Studio with Aircon (monthly)    Rp300.00    $6.05

Wellness - Haircut (Men)                    Rp30.00        $0.61

Wellness - Toiletries, Tootbrush (non-branded)            Rp20.00        $0.40   
Wellness - Toiletries, Tootbrush (non-branded)            Rp20.00        $0.40   
Wellness - Toiletries, Tootbrush (non-branded)            Rp20.00        $0.40   
Wellness - Toiletries, Tootbrush (non-branded)            Rp20.00        $0.40   

Food - Egg (20 piece)                        Rp12.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - White Rice (1 kg Basmati)                Rp70.00        $1.41
Food - Vegetables, Potatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Food - Vegetables, Tomatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Drinks - Milk Tetra Pack, Nestle (1 litre)            Rs.37.00    $0.75

Food - Egg (20 piece)                        Rp12.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - White Rice (1 kg Basmati)                Rp70.00        $1.41
Food - Vegetables, Potatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Food - Vegetables, Tomatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Drinks - Milk Tetra Pack, Nestle (1 litre)            Rs.37.00    $0.75   

Food - Egg (20 piece)                        Rp12.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - White Rice (1 kg Basmati)                Rp70.00        $1.41
Food - Vegetables, Potatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Food - Vegetables, Tomatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Drinks - Milk Tetra Pack, Nestle (1 litre)            Rs.37.00    $0.75   

Food - Egg (20 piece)                        Rp12.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - Breat/Roti Chapati per piece (12"inch)            Rp10.00        $0.20
Food - White Rice (1 kg Basmati)                Rp70.00        $1.41
Food - Vegetables, Potatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Food - Vegetables, Tomatoes (1 kg)                Rp50.00        $1.01
Drinks - Milk Tetra Pack, Nestle (1 litre)            Rs.37.00    $0.75
                               
TOTAL                                Rp 1296        $27.31
Cost per day per 4 week month (28 days)                Rp 46        $0.97

Course this doesn't include things like clothing and transportation costs. Also this is for a single person living by themselves. If this were a couple things get a bit easier cause you can consolidate expenses somewhat giving more money for more luxury items due to increased income. Also keep in mind I set a very low bar for total expenses. Most people make a lot more income than $1 a day, many make close to double that. Which again increases living standards when you consider that. In terms of the food, I based that on what I usually do when I'm on a budget. Search out for staple foods, and stretch it out. Potatoes, Rice, and Eggs can be stretched pretty far. You don't necessarily need meat to survive, you just need a protein source, and the eggs are very high in protein.

So in the end what I have proven here is 2 things, first it is possible to live off of $1 a day, and that considering that most people in India make considerably more and that many live 2+ per household the standard of living can be raised up pretty high. Eventually to the point in which money can be saved for schooling, doctors and medical treatment, even minor luxuries. A family car even or a nice 2b house is even within the range of possibilities.

Secondly I have shown Xeno's gross incompetence in assuming I didn't didn't have references to back up my claims. I back up my arguments. Now prove to me that you can't live off of $1 a day in India. ^.^

"Godwin's Law!  I win the debate!"

lol, only reason I thought of it was because I just saw Valkyrie recently. :p I was initially thinking Stalin but he actually listened to his generals half the time. ^.^

Note: I just noticed Xeno said $10 a day! Oh wow I can live the life then! Geeze my own house, car, the works! I can eat out every day and still have money in the bank. :p

Fear not the Darkness, for without it there is no Light. Embrace the Light, for it brings forth Darkness. Embrace both, to embrace the gift of Life. ~Kai Master Creed
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Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

First, you'd want to add cost of providing for dependents, so let's say at least double  your 0.97 figure.

Yes, we'll have to at least double your figure BECAUSE you forgot housing (the only cost a couple could really consolidate). 

You forgot housing because the first item that you thought was the cost of renting housing was actually only the cost of electricity. But, of course, you didn't see that because you only see what you want to believe.

Anyway, rent is about $100 a month:

"Housing - Rent, 1 Room (monthly/app.160sqft)    Rp5,000.00    $100.86"

So, first, we'll double your 0.97 to 1.94, and then add 3.60 to your daily total, which brings us to a total of $7 / day for an individual with one dependent to own a one-room apartment with air-conditioning.

Let's say the dependent is a pregnant woman.  When she has a child, this would add another, what, 0.97 to our 7$?

So, now we're basically up to 8 dollars / day.

The new mother can't work for, what, a minimum of 6 months? - about 3 months before birth, and, at least, 3 months after.

But, then, of course she has to start earning something to pay back her family and friends / micro-loan bank (they had to borrow money to pay the hospital bill - which you didn't include in your analysis, of course).

So now she needs to gets a job, and aspires merely to earn half of what her husband makes.  She hopes to earn 3 dollars / day, and, with her husband earning 6, they can pay their monthly costs of 8 dollars a day and still even save 1 dollar a day.

They can afford to live in their own 1 room home (by the way, it isn't a 1 bedroom apartment like you have in the west).  'One room' apartment actually means just 1 room.  No bedroom, no livingroom - it basically means studio).

They can afford to take care of the child and hire a baby-sitter to watch the child while they are both at work.  Oops.  There goes their dollar a day they could have saved, though.  Hmm...

What to do?  There's no daycare or anything like that where she lives.  They are running low on savings, and so they really have no choice but for her to work and then pay for a baby-sitter - just to make ends meet.

She chooses to work.  Who knows?  Perhaps, if she does a good job, she may get a raise after a few months.  Maybe, just maybe, if either of them gets another dollar a day somehow, they will then be getting 10 dollars a day, together.  Perhaps then they can start saving for their child to go to school!

If they save just dollar a day for 4 years, maybe, just maybe, they will be able to afford to send her to a 'kindergarten'.

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"Course this doesn't include things like clothing and transportation costs"

Why didn't you factor those in?

Let's factor in transportation for 3 people.  let's jump ahead 4 years and factor in clothing and transportation for mother, father, and child.

Let's also factor in costs of education for the child / babysitting / daycare.

Let's include costs of health care for mother, father, and child.

Let's also include costs of protection money paid to local mafia.

Let's also include cost of borrowing.

Let's also include cost of paying taxes.

Yes.  They'd have to pay taxes, too.

Why don't we just cut to the chase, and admit 10 dollars / day just wouldn't cut it over there for a nuclear family. 

Let's not even consider what would happen if the father died.

Let's not even consider the plight of single-mothers.

Let's not even consider how much they would have to earn to be able to afford to BUY their own home suburban bungalow with backyard, 2 cars, and college education for their child.

Why don't you jus admit that westernization / globalization is a grand failure for the VAST MAJORITY of the human population on planet Earth?

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"middle-class American bungalow and back yard"

I think that's more suburb then city.

You even know it is suburban.

"their own home suburban bungalow with backyard"

Brother Simon, Keeper of Ages, Defender of Faith.
~ &#9773; Fokker

Re: Solution to socio-political-economic strife

"Why don't you jus admit that westernization / globalization is a grand failure for the VAST MAJORITY of the human population on planet Earth?"

Actually looking at evidence provided by you (Xeno) and Lizon, I personally feel Lizon has more of an argument than you (Xeno).

Brother Simon, Keeper of Ages, Defender of Faith.
~ &#9773; Fokker