Re: Syrian story continues

Yes Libertarian troll behavior with arsehole tossed in is rather meh.

Everything bad in the economy is now Obama's fault. Every job lost, all the debt, all the lost retirement funds. All Obama. Are you happy now? We all get to blame Obama!
Kemp currently not being responded to until he makes CONCISE posts.
Avogardo and Noir ignored by me for life so people know why I do not respond to them. (Informational)

Re: Syrian story continues

Awww, you poor baby.

I legitimately and non-trollingly ask for evidence that the Syrian rebels would be any more just, free, and democratic than the Afghans/Libyans.

Do you educate me with any such evidence? No. Do you cry? Yes. Who's the troll?

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

78 (edited by Little Paul 17-Jun-2012 10:12:43)

Re: Syrian story continues

"But past actions in Iran and Afghanistan were abysmal failures with far worse than no results. Recent actions in Afghanistan and Libya have unclear results, but they're not shining examples of freedom and democratic principles."
Afghanistan is totally different from Syria in that the regime had more support amongst the population. Not saying Assad does not, but his supporter power base is much much smaller then the Taliban had.

"I agree that the Syrian regime is bad. But what evidence do we have that the rebels will be better? They weren't in Afghanistan. The failure of our puppets in Iran only hurt the Iranian people and relations for decades, continuing to this day. It's very unclear whether much or even any progress will ultimately be made in Afghanistan or Libya. What evidence do we have that the current alternative is any better than Assad?"
I admit we don't know the outcome if Assad gets removed. We only have the assurance Assad's regime is the worst possible option. Given what we already knew years before this whole thing started, and the fact most crimes stay hidden in this kind of regimes, I don't want to know how many people die or died because of this regime. Innocent or not.

"People argue that the inaction of foreign nations will cause Syrian rebels to turn to extremist elements, but the fact is that extremist elements will seek to gain power from any regime change."
They always do and they always have a chance, I cannot deny that. In this cases it would be impossible to predict the future. But the population has to follow. They need a powerbase. They don't have a large one now. So I believe chances are rather small.

"Without a clearer picture of the goal and an idea of what a new regime would look like, I cannot agree that American and allied lives should be sacrificed."
Not that many died in Libya.

You are discussing the possible outcomes of a full scale allied military intervention here. Correct me if I'm wrong, I'm only presuming. But there are many other possibilities. Diplomatic pressure could be increased 10 fold still. Right now all they do is talking. Persuading Russia and china to let the regime fall might be enough to kill it and it is possible. Assad has the power to start a democracy any time, but he won't as he faces trial in such a regime. If his chances of survival become lower he might eventually go for it. He's not a total nut like Libyans leader was. Also he did have no way out. It might take only months for the regime to fall if done right.

Next to that there are many other possible options to influence this conflict.

If there is nothing else possible, a military intervention might be desirable i.m.o. I would risk not knowing the outcome of the regime changes over letting an organized army kill its own civilians on this scale, and ofcourse rebels killing soldiers. There is democratic sentiment amongst the rebels, although I admit nobody can say how far it reaches. We can force them to adopt democracy if only we are determined enough to do so. I would risk the cost of a small war and another bad regime over the certainty of having this bad regime for ever.

Re: Syrian story continues

It's not the controlling regime that I compare to Afghanistan, but what's left when that regime is toppled. There are still ethnic divides and there's still conflict.

I don't agree that Assad's regime is the worst possible option. I can think of all kinds of things that have gone on recently which I haven't heard alleged in Syria. I'm all for the people's right to rebel--His regime is certainly evil--but I don't presume that it's literally the worst possible option, nor that this compels us to get involved.

While I don't think any US servicemen were killed in Libya: (1) There was risk that they could have been. (2) There would be significantly more risk in Syria and there would surely be casualties. (3) It's not just US servicemen, but of course the loss of human life in general that I question if we aren't 100% sure that the cause is 100% just.

Russians aren't going to abandon Assad. He's their only Arab ally in the region. Pretending it's possible that we could convince them to is just silly.

I think we're often too quick to assume others are like us in the West. When America rebelled against England, or when the Confederacy rebelled against the Union, each side knew that the other was culturally similar to them. War crimes happen, but generally speaking, both sides knew they wouldn't be enslaved in the event of surrender or some other horrible fate.

These areas of the world are very different. There isn't the Enlightenment faith in human reason and democratic principles. While many appreciate democratic action when given the opportunity to participate, many are skeptical of the legitimacy of elections. There aren't laws and justice systems looking anything like ours. And while, as you say, extremist elements are not particularly popular in most nations/regions, they are the best organized.

I don't share your faith that the next regime will probably be any better. Assad is bad; but people afraid of continued war, afraid of losing their cultural identity under a freer system, and afraid of losing power to ethnic rivals under a freer system don't always make the best decisions. And those who promise the most security, stability, and protection of their cultural values tend to be just like Assad.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

When the hell did Russia get a naval base in the Med? We should bomb that flat.

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Syrian story continues

Egyptians elect radical, despite only minority support. Called it. tongue

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

apparently soviets got a base in Tartous in 1971, so the real question is why is Turkey letting them out X(

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Syrian story continues

"There would be significantly more risk in Syria and there would surely be casualties."
thats one point for you. Syria is more difficult to bomb.

"(3) It's not just US servicemen, but of course the loss of human life in general that I question if we aren't 100% sure that the cause is 100% just."
We are pretty sure what will happen if we don't react. Bloodshed. Whether its a brutal civil war or a slow killing of own population. Thats what we risk by doing nothing.

"Russians aren't going to abandon Assad. He's their only Arab ally in the region. Pretending it's possible that we could convince them to is just silly."
Everyone has his price, high as it may be. The tsar has his own problems to deal with.

"When America rebelled against England, or when the Confederacy rebelled against the Union, each side knew that the other was culturally similar to them. War crimes happen, but generally speaking, both sides knew they wouldn't be enslaved in the event of surrender or some other horrible fate."
Many towns got looted. Large parts of the south were destroyed. It was a socioeconomic disaster. Ok its not like the natives but still not an example of "why bother".

"These areas of the world are very different. There isn't the Enlightenment faith in human reason and democratic principles."
I beg to differ. Even if the idea is only shared by a minority its still there.

"While many appreciate democratic action when given the opportunity to participate, many are skeptical of the legitimacy of elections. There aren't laws and justice systems looking anything like ours. And while, as you say, extremist elements are not particularly popular in most nations/regions, they are the best organized."
Its a big challenge but no reason to keep the country in the dark for centuries to come. It took the west a while to become what they are now, with steps forward and backward, and there's a long process ahead still. That doesn't mean it was all worth it.

"I don't share your faith that the next regime will probably be any better. Assad is bad; but people afraid of continued war, afraid of losing their cultural identity under a freer system, and afraid of losing power to ethnic rivals under a freer system don't always make the best decisions."
Fogi is an enemy. But it already is in Assads regime. The massive killing just didn't make the news. If need be they have to split up the country after he's gone. Its a left over of the colonial age where we believed we could simply "make" a country.

84 (edited by V.Kemp 23-Jun-2012 18:04:09)

Re: Syrian story continues

"We are pretty sure what will happen if we don't react. Bloodshed. Whether its a brutal civil war or a slow killing of own population. Thats what we risk by doing nothing."

We don't risk killing people for 0 gain if we don't react. That's my point. Unless we know we're actually helping the Syrian people--which we don't--unless it's somehow our business, you've hardly provided justification for war.

Your argument is that "well it's bad now" so we should invade? For what gain? You don't know, because we don't know who would rise to power.

It appears the rebels just slaughtered civilians yesterday. As expected, more evidence of what I've been saying all along. Egypt elected extremists into a majority in both parliament and the office of president, more evidence of what I've been saying all along.

Where's the evidence that the rebels are democratic, non extremists who deserve our support? You continually miss the point that you've not provided any justification for war.

"Many towns got looted. Large parts of the south were destroyed. It was a socioeconomic disaster. Ok its not like the natives but still not an example of "why bother"."

And again you missed the point! Reading skills aren't your strong suite, huh? I was talking about the cultural presumptions you make about the Syrian rebels, who you think MUST be better than Assad's regime, because you just presume they're like you or me. You continually provide no evidence that they deserve our support in warfare, and miss  the point every time I question your presumption.

"I beg to differ. Even if the idea is only shared by a minority its still there."

I didn't argue that nobody had democratic ideals. I argued that, because a majority do not, trying to force democracy upon people who aren't prepared to take part in it tends to result in minority extremists with organization taking power, as we're seeing in Egypt. That's my point. That a minority is not extremists and values democratic principles is irrelevant. Again you miss the point! Damn you're consistent.

I never argued that NOBODY held democratic ideals. Why would you presume that? That's just stupid. How is it relevant to what I said to point out that a minority hold democratic ideals? Of course they do. So what? You don't have a point. You're just ignoring all of my points. This is more of the stupid, pointless rambling. I can hardly respect a low level of spamming responses that don't even demonstrate comprehension of, let alone responses to my points and arguments. I can't debate or discuss anything with anyone who cannot comprehend my simple statements in simple English.

I'm not using big words. I'm not using overly complex sentences in conjunction with big words. I don't see any legitimate reason why you're missing the point of absolutely everything I say and responding as if I said something else with irrelevant nonsense.

So there's a minority with democratic values? So what? That's not a response to what I said. That's an obvious fact with no relevance. That's why you don't get respect: because you're being disrespectful to everybody. You're just insulting me and anyone else unfortunate enough to read this drivel with stupid responses like this one. It doesn't make any sense. It's not a response to what I said. It has no relevance to anything. It's just dumb.

"Its a big challenge but no reason to keep the country in the dark for centuries to come. It took the west a while to become what they are now, with steps forward and backward, and there's a long process ahead still. That doesn't mean it was all worth it."

Nobody invaded and pushed freedoms on the West. When an authoritarian regime is in civil war with a wannabe authoritarian regime, the West invading and trying to force a democratic government upon those groups isn't helping them in a "process." To pretend that Syria is in a "process" toward freedoms, or to pretend that they're in a "process" and we should help them by invading them, is just bizarre. There's no parallel. They're culturally very different from the West, and they're fighting for very different reasons. Furthermore, no Western nation was aided in its struggle for self-determination by invasion. Even foreign aid was in the case of sustained war efforts with clear sides with clear causes.

So keep missing points and insulting all of us! Continue not answering our questions regarding the rebels and our lack of any reason to expect them to be better than Assad's regime! Just argue that it's bad, and clearly it'll be better if we rain death from the sky and switch their tyrannical regime out for another one! That always helps.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

85 (edited by Little Paul 24-Jun-2012 19:18:59)

Re: Syrian story continues

Let me refrase this one:
"Even if the idea is only shared by a minority its still there"
I ment "Even if the idea is only shared by a -significant- minority its still important". The word "even" here means I believe its shared by the majority of people.

"It appears the rebels just slaughtered civilians yesterday."
evidence?

"Nobody invaded and pushed freedoms on the West." "no Western nation was aided in its struggle for self-determination by invasion."
actually the allies -did- invade Europe in WW2 and made democracy possible. It was highly questionable who would raise to power, and most historians agree that democracy wasn't very popular in that part of the world back then.

"who you think MUST be better than Assad's regime, because you just presume they're like you or me"
Why would I presume that? I presume a democratic regime would be better and we can enforce that. Never talked about the noble people.

"We don't risk killing people for 0 gain if we don't react."
You ask me what is the difference between us killing specific military targets or the civilians getting killed at mass by the regime? The death toll ofc. The regime is at the brink. It won't stand against pressure. Soldiers will switch sides like in Egypt. They won't fight to the death. Especially the conscripts who are Suni.

Re: Syrian story continues

Evidence? News reports, photos, and videos: the same as everything else we know.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y97bsO3s7VI

If you don't care about the topic enough to know anything about it, why do you make so many assumptions and believe anything about it on faith?

"actually the allies -did- invade Europe in WW2 and made democracy possible."

You can't "invade" your own nation. It's not much of an "invasion" when you liberate your allies--certainly not the type you advocate here.

"You ask me what is the difference between us killing specific military targets or the civilians getting killed at mass by the regime? The death toll ofc."

How can you "enforce" a democratic government by killing specific military targets. You're referring to spending billions in special ops and/or airstrikes involvement when it suits you, and switching to a complete invasion, occupation, and nation-building when it suits you.

I mention death tolls, you refer to limited support. I mention who will take power, you refer to invasion and occupation. Cute.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

87 (edited by Little Paul 26-Jun-2012 15:13:37)

Re: Syrian story continues

"why do you make so many assumptions and believe anything about it on faith?"
I was about to say the same thing. Those images are unverified. Could have been the army as well. Next to that every population has its own criminals who will profit from any situation. So if every non gov is counted as a rebel (even if they name themselves so), this is an unfair judgement of the movement as a whole.

"It's not much of an "invasion" when you liberate your allies"
why? It was occupied by the nazis so they invaded france.

"How can you "enforce" a democratic government by killing specific military targets."
By putting pressure on the new regime. Either military, diplomatic or economic.

Re: Syrian story continues

I'm not judging the movement. I don't claim that those killings were surely done by rebels.

But you DO judge the movement, with no more information than I have. That's my point.

"why? It was occupied by the nazis so they invaded france."

France was liberated and returned to the French people. France was not in civil war. France was not occupied by Allied forces after Axis forces were defeated. France did not have a new constitution forced on it by Allied nations.

"By putting pressure on the new regime. Either military, diplomatic or economic."

How'd that work out in Iran? How's it working out in Egypt?

Your wishful thinking is nice and all, but I'm not convinced it's justification to kill Syrians and get Americans killed in the process.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

"France was not in civil war."
its a matter of how you look at it. Part of the population was involved in resistance and part in collaboration.

"How'd that work out in Iran? How's it working out in Egypt?"
They don't put pressure on Egypt. They never did. They supported the great leader remember. Everything else was show.

90 (edited by V.Kemp 27-Jun-2012 09:08:32)

Re: Syrian story continues

"its a matter of how you look at it. Part of the population was involved in resistance and part in collaboration."

You're right. Maybe authoritarian rule, invasions, imperialism, and genocide are legitimate functions of government. I can see now that you argue a reasonable position.

"They don't put pressure on Egypt. They never did. They supported the great leader remember. Everything else was show."

They've had and retain a relationship with Egypt's military. I'm not sure why I'm bothering responding, considering you have literally no idea what's going on anywhere.

Hell, I agree. Let's invade Syria. You're not in a military, you won't die to Russian hardware fighting to create a power vacuum which extremists will seek to fill.

Let's just ignore the impact this would have on our relationship with Russia, who we currently rely on to supply Afghanistan, while we're at it.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

"You're right. Maybe authoritarian rule",
=nazi's

"invasions,"
=Allies

"imperialism,"
=you fill in

"and genocide"
= Nazi's

"are legitimate functions of government. I can see now that you argue a reasonable position."
Its simply an example of how an invasion is the best option sometimes. Europe became democratic and a better place to live.

Re: Syrian story continues

"Hell, I agree. Let's invade Syria. You're not in a military, you won't die to Russian hardware fighting to create a power vacuum which extremists will seek to fill."
Casualties will be low on our side. Even with Russian material.

93 (edited by V.Kemp 08-Jul-2012 23:52:26)

Re: Syrian story continues

Invasion to liberate a democratic ally and invasion to overthrow a government and occupy a people are not quite the same use of the word. That is to say, just because the word may apply to both circumstances, there are huge differences that your overly-simple discussion of "invasions" misses.

You have absolutely no basis to presume casualties will be "low." Russia doesn't want to lose its only Arab ally, its last source of influence in the region. China's similarly not with us. You certainly haven't offered us justification for getting many people killed to occupy Syria.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

94 (edited by Little Paul 09-Jul-2012 10:31:15)

Re: Syrian story continues

"Invasion to liberate a democratic ally and invasion to overthrow a government and occupy a people are not quite the same use of the word."
What democratic ally? Western Europe was occupied by the Nazis=not democratic. So it was an invasion to overthrow a gov and occupy temporarily till a democratic gov was installed.

That is to say, just because the word may apply to both circumstances, there are huge differences that your overly-simple discussion of "invasions" misses."
Ofc there are huge differences. But it was a reply to your far too general statement.

"You have absolutely no basis to presume casualties will be "low.""
You don't seriously think they will shoot our rockets out of the sky? Western military leaders are aware of the bad publicity of casualties. It will be a little more costly thats all.

Re: Syrian story continues

while we are at it, Russia officially stated "they will not deliver any more arms for the duration of this conflict". Seems like they slowly abandon Syria.

Re: Syrian story continues

"What democratic ally? Western Europe was occupied by the Nazis=not democratic. So it was an invasion to overthrow a gov and occupy temporarily till a democratic gov was installed."

Are you just trolling? Because this is getting really, really stupid. Yeah, the Nazis legitimately gained control of everyone they invaded. Liberating nations from Nazis who invaded them is clearly a perfect parallel to invading Syria.... lulz. That's ridiculous.

"You don't seriously think they will shoot our rockets out of the sky? Western military leaders are aware of the bad publicity of casualties. It will be a little more costly thats all."

You can't occupy a nation with rockets. What happened to your claims of ensuring they move toward democratic government? You're just switching ideas as it suits you, rather than actually making a case for either.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

>>while we are at it, Russia officially stated "they will not deliver any more arms for the duration of this conflict". Seems like they slowly abandon Syria.<<

HA

they will still sell them

they will be DELIVERED by North Korea's merchant marine

The core joke of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy is that of course no civilization would develop personal computers with instant remote database recovery, and then waste this technology to find good drinks.
Steve Jobs has ruined this joke.

Re: Syrian story continues

"You can't occupy a nation with rockets."
You can support the rebels that way and destroy their biggest firepower.

"What happened to your claims of ensuring they move toward democratic government?"
Its the first thing we should try (not like right now, but some serious effort). If it doesn't work, next step would be weakening the army.

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So now you're arguing a Libya-style assault, without regard for who takes power.

I say that's not worth American lives. Syria has access to much better arms than Libya did.

[I wish I could obey forum rules]

Re: Syrian story continues

"So now you're arguing a Libya-style assault, without regard for who takes power."
No, I said First pressure,if that doesn't work support,if that doesn't work then invasion. I also made it very clear I want a democracy there, if need be it should be enforced.

"Syria has access to much better arms than Libya did."
But no arms that can shoot rockets out of the sky.