1,451

(25 replies, posted in Politics)

"What does everyone think of the Western world uniting?"
I'm absolutely positive towards this, if you mean US,Canada and Europe that is. But I'm afraid it will not happen soon. For many here the US is the big evil empire. There are few like me who want to unite. Maybe if Europe unites chances increase. Biggest part in favor is the fact they are still each others most important economic partners I think.

1,452

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

seems like we got some radio silence here smile

1,453

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

I'm going to fire a candle at my garden. Casualties will be minimal but it provides a clear sign.

1,454

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"oficial numbers... even mousavi uses them..."
official? That makes them valid. hmm

"and you say that less people are living in iran as expected?"
No.

"because 46,5 mil voters out of 70 mil doesn't sound unrealistic"
Its not because its possible that it is true. But it does sounds unrealistic for that country.

"that they already lied the last electione?"
Its very well possible. Do you have any reliable source whatsoever?

"btw they even had 1 mil more voters last time.."
Crazy isn't it? All in all it sounds very realistic.

"so those 46,5 mil might even be to low"
proof?

"same over here...you know in every coutry you need to meet some criterias to be allowed to be on the voting list.
like having a amount of supporters etc.  probatly in your country too.."
Idd. But the criteria are not based on your parties idees.

"your point probatly is that some candidates are not allowed to take part in the electione and canidates have to be approved by the ayatolla, not very democratic if you ask me, though thats not why the people are protesting."
But it is undemocratic and it IS cheating.

"and also that doesn't mean that the manipulated the votes."
but it means they cheated.

"agree to most, disagree to some.. but that has nothing to do with the claimed "proven" manipulatione of votes during the electiones."
Just to make clear that there are other things to call the ellections unfair and the country undemocratic. They do belong in this thread as well.

Equally important as the fact if they did cheat or not is that there is no decent control over it or a way to check if they cheated or not. I'm not saying any election if fool proof, but this one is the opposite.

1,455

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

But next to the possible fraud in votes, there are some facts that are not denied by the leaders of Iran themselves.

Over 1000 Parties are denied the right to compete! That IS cheating. Foreign AND internal reporters said this to be true as well the top leaders.

Then there are some things left in the dark they don't seem to have an opinion about:
1.) Biased media (even more biased then ours yes big_smile )
2.) There are no foreign observers allowed. Not even from Russia or china.
3.) The parliament doesn't have the power it should have
4.) politicians who are political enemies are sometimes arrested.
5.) foreign reporters are sometimes arrested.
6.) Political activists are sometimes arrested
7.) The people in power openly promote one party
8.) Paramilitary organizations use violent tactics

1,456

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Lets be honest and say no poll can be trusted whatsoever. Especially since a lot of them are over telephone lines which could be tapped by special agents or paramilitary organizations. For all they know they could have called themselves to check ones opinion. I was merely reacting to Theo on this one.

"they needed like 12 hours to count this votes."
Which is twice as fast as last time. But he was referring to some bureaus not to the time the last vote was counted obviously.

"and if 39,165,191 out of 46,5 milion voters vote that less as 100%..."
That is the problem when you take Wikipedia for a sole source. 46,5 million is by no way an accurate estimation of how many people are in fact able to vote. Can you tell me where the number comes from? (let me guess, Iranian official -and very unbiased- sources?).

"interesting is by reading our main media over here a lot of newspaper state that the electione was manipulated without giving any proof at all.."
My newspaper, and the national television which is a lot of the time biased never said clearly there is evidence of cheating. They only quoted people who did but also the ones who denied. So it seems like a large generalization for me.

1,457

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Rofl

1,458

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"So...let's wait for his "proof". big_smile I'd be interested in seeing what he considers "proof"."
The fact that ayasmelly said it himself. He said that it was not enough to be influential but he admit there was a big amount of cheating. But if even he sais it before you guys, it shows a great level of biasedness on your sides.

In any case the leaders have to agree with your candidacy and denied over 1000 parties the right to compete. That is a fact they do not deny but it IS cheating.

1,459

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

theo:
You did not understand what I said. I said -I try this one time only again- in TOTAL. So all votes of all districts together have more then 100%.

"You also need to get your information right LP. Ahmadinejad was always the clear favourite."
Proove it. Its just laughable.

1,460

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"Educate yourself."
Then he is not the only one. But let us stick to the debate and not get personal now will we?

"In Iran, there's no such thing as a "registered voter" that is required to vote in a specific area. In Iran, you can vote wherever the hell you want. I could theoretically go from one end of the country to the other and vote there. Having over 100% voter turnout in discticts is very common."
But having more then 100% outcome in total is ridiculous.

"The Ayatollah put it best:"
Idd. the one time he admit there were to many votes himself.

"Even if there were cheating, you have to wonder, who had the motivation to cheat?"
You say that in the next sentence tongue

"Ahmadinejad was projected to win in the polls by a large margin."
It was, in fact, the other way around... but either way your numbers come from the one and only television station in this world we can trust.

"He had no reason to cheat."
Except for the reason people do anything for: power.

"His opponents and the Americans however, did have reason to make it seem as if he were cheating in their efforts to gain power and destabilize the country respectfully."
The americans? I bet thats why BW and flint are not around now. They are busy starting riots in Iran. big_smile Yes its in the intrest of every american but this lies far beyond the power of the CIA or whatever organization. Please. It has been said for years now that the youth, and especially the students are turning more and more away from the current course Iran is taking.

You proof in any way this election was honest and fair. Appart from the media being biased and political oppresion and disappearing opponents. You proof their is any chance at all to check one way or another the results of this election.

1,461

(16 replies, posted in Politics)

I know, I'm still feeling ill.

1,462

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

and deny the fact that great ayasmelly admit it himself...

1,463

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

The link is in dutch morbo. If you want to know who you can find english links yourself for the next links in dutch

http://www.deredactie.be/cm/vrtnieuws/buitenland/090625_iran_cijfers
http://www.eosmagazine.eu/home/ctl/Detail/mid/485/xmid/1009/xmfid/12.aspx

1,464

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

On a more serious note, scientists have researched the results of the Iranian election and discovered that, quote "tough we cannot exclude the fact that the elections have been fair and honest, the great amount of statistical anomalies are to huge not to be -at least-suspicious towards these elections" A whole lot of strange results have been found when calculating the results of this elections. Some of them are unseen in any election in a western nation up to the second world war. Predictions do fail a lot of times but the strange thing with these results is the great difference between the predictions and the -supposed to be real- outcome as well as the amount of times it occurred. The Benford law is one of the many were these elections do not fit.

I have a link but its in dutch. Anyway It makes the fact that the elections would have been honest again less likely, next to the fact the very own leaders admitted it.

1,465

(25 replies, posted in Politics)

China is very explosive especially in some regions. Also notice how a lot of the new economy needs a certain level of freedom which constantly conflicts with the current regime. How can anyone possibly predict what china will look like in 10 years? Same goes for other countries. Impossible to predict how it will end up.

I think oil/coil and other energy resources will play a major role in world economics whatever happens.

1,466

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Yes. Start a new thread, but beforehand make sure you understand the difference
between a /peaceful protest/ and a /riot/."
Generally I Don't simplify things like this when it is the very subject of the debate.

"I am biased too, something Little Paul doesn't seem to understand."
I said it in so many words. tongue But it doesn't matter neither do I care.

"I think the Iranian government is a horrid excuse for an oppressive rulership."
and you are right. Maybe because you are biased but thats a personal argument that doesn't interest me at all. you are right and there is proof enough, facts.

"Thats not going to stop me looking at this situation in a non-biased (or at least to the
degree most possible) way."
The funny thing is, you are in the majority of the threads making arguments based on the fact that I would be biased instead of talking about the case itself. That proofs you are biased but you have no way of telling the same about me. Its an asumption based on the sole fact I despise the regime wich does not make me biased.

"I just hope the Iranian government is toppled with the minimum number of casualties possible."
We all hope this with you. And I hope they do stop shooting and picking people up but I'm afraid the opposite will happen. We will see.

All in all it seems like the majority of your posts are about me, not about the case, so, with no offense, I think I wait a while before opening a new one.

1,467

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"No it hasn't..."
they said it themselves, what more proof do you need?

"They aren't mobile enough to walk out onto a street?"
its stupid to go protest in local village with 5 man to get shot by the local police while nobody sees you.

"Yes. That is a deterrent to riot. I wish that same deterrent was here in
Australia."
You can't be serious. But if you are, we should start a new thread over this yikes

"But like i said in a previous post a minority protesting under the threat of torture does NOT automatically
make that minority a majority."
its a matter of percentages. A great percentage of people would have stayed home if not for the shooting, so you can assume the real amount would be much higher if they did not face shootings and torture.

yet again you fail to answere on some points. Point 4 lowers the percentage of people protesting out of the pool of the wanting to protest civilians. Point 5 does as well.

"Biased."
based on facts.

"How are they?"
its the same discussion as the one I wanted to start another thread about as it would lead us to far off.

"How am i biased?"
because you are taking this debate on a personal level rather then debating facts and arguments as I said in that exact sentence.

1,468

(126 replies, posted in General)

@spartac:
I'm pool.

1,469

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"You haven't given any valid points,"
I bet there are other opinions.

"you haven't explained anything thoroughly,"
I explained you did not answer in saying it has nothing to do with cheating as that wasn't what I was talking about or making an argument for.

"and i have given plenty of answers."
No you did not because you answered by saying it was no evidence for something I did not want it to be evidence for.

"You timeline is incorrect too, since i have always been saying you are biased."
You are playing it personal idd. Seems like you are biased as well then.

"Try re-defining any points you may have in an explicit and clear manner."
I did re paste them above so you can answer this time.

1,470

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

the cheating btw has been proven by now. Its a matter of how big they were cheated. But about the support;

can you reply to the arguments now before you state its clueless again? (and answer to the arguments of twisted and BG as well)

1.) They are not that mobile.
2.) Some of them are/will be shot
You said: "How is that relevant? I know if my fellow Australians would riot here i would assume (and expect) them to be punished too. Iran isn't the most well-equipped country, and the force trying to police the streets wouldn't
exactly be a bunch of 'nice guys'."
No, they don't shoot people here. They use water cannons and things like that.

3.) Some of them are/will be tortured
4.) They have little perspective on a favorable outcome
5.) A lot of leaders amongst the protesters have been captured


you said: "Tough anti-rioting laws and procedures doesn't indicate any wrong doing."
The laws themselves are wrong to start with. But I wasn't talking about cheating as you know by now.

you said: "In fact, if the elections WERE fair and correct, then the country would be democratic. You are using the label 'dictatorship' based on the assumption that the elections were rigged."
No, I'm using the label dictatorship ever since I first posted about Iran on this forum.

you said: "I never said that foreign influences WERE fueling the riots. I'm saying they could."
assumptions then.

you said: "I'm NOT assuming thats what is happening. I doubt it is. But Iran has the right to defend itself against such attacks and its obviously something they don't want to occur. Necessary precautions do NOT indicate any
wrong doing by the Iranian government."
Unless those so called necessary precautions are the crime themselves. In which case the precautions themselves are reason for riots as well. Even under the false premise that evil foreign troops are hijacking the poor and fooled Iranians who can't help it how stupid they are.

"They could well be trying to keep the peace..."
by oppressing there people. That is the solid base for any dictatorship.

you said: "Ah, so you are admitting your completely obvious bias opinion is constructed due to you WANTING the Iranian population to riot and overrun the government. Makes sense."
No, I'm only admitting I want it to continue tough they played it smarter then I originally thought. I gave it a chance to be the final revolt but I did not predict it. I only said there was a chance. I quote myself: Today might be the day but if not its only a matter of time. The "might's" and "maybe's" in the sentences are very important.

1,471

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"You make it sound as if the Iranian government is some awful power-hungry people-killing
menace that only wants to further its own monopoly on Iran."
How else would you describe it? Even the worst gov does something good for its people sometimes but it still a harsh dictatorship holding back its own country.

"you also make it seem like EVERYONE in the country hates the government and wants to remove it."
No.

"Either that or you are making it seem that the MAJORITY of Iranians want to remove the
government."
Idd. And if not, the majority of people who really have a strong opinion about it and it won't be far off.

"The evidence you have given supports none of these arguments. True as they may be, you
are biased and evidence-less."
So, first you do not answer to my points, I explain them, you still don't answer and then you say biased?

1,472

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"Again, this has nothing to do with cheating."
I never said that was proof of cheating. In fact I only handled cheating in the first 2 sentences and you did not read/commend to the others arguments as I said would be useful as you seem to respond to nothing:
"Winning does _NOT_ automatically mean that someone cheating. Thats foolish logic." Wich I find in neither of their explanations.


So I could re post half of my previous thread but that would be silly if you could simply answer to the points as well.

1,473

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

"Irrelevant. Winning does not indicate cheating."
well answer to the arguments of twisted and BG first if you're not convinced I give you mine as well.

"A mere few hundred thousand. Compared to the few million population."
1.) They are not that mobile. 1 million at one place in this huge country is a lot of people. The amount of people who are actually able to protest is much much lower then the current population. Note that less people have the luxury there to take a day off. Note that less people there have a car. Note that you have a certain percentage of old people and children.(though the first one is a small group). Note the size of the country even if it was not mountainous. Note the lack of information because they have no independent media so they will always be unsure what to find when they arrive.
2.) Some of them are/will be shot
3.) Some of them are/will be tortured
4.) They have little perspective on a favorable outcome
5.) A lot of leaders amongst the protesters have been captured
The number is rather large compared to manifestations here where it is far easier to protest and you don't need to fear anything. 1 million. It can't get much larger.


"You also neglect to indicate that thousands of people also attended the winning celebrations and pro-Ahmadinejad
rallies."
That is actually very very little compared to 1million people and considering they have the state tv @their side.

"A minority of the population rioting under the conditions of death and torture does not automatically
switch that minority to a majority. Its still a minority."
It are very convincing arguments not to protest. Its the solid basis for a dictatorship. It can effectively hide a silent majority. In any case it shows the determination of the protesters and that is also important.

"Yeah, it's totally bogus that a government will lock down possible foreign sources of rioting and
attempt to limit the degree that rioters cause civil unrest by limiting the outside factors fueling
the fires. Curse them!"
You make it seem like the riots are directly fueled by foreign influences. Indirectly this might certainly be true but directly they might merely be influenced a little by foreign Iranians but that is not the only group of people they expel neither was it the group I was talking about.

Journalists merely try to shoot as much pictures as they can and get more info. They try to stay low profile. They do not light the fires.

"Of course, but the rioters still have the minority. Friday might also see the end of all riots. "
There is a big chance fires will eventually die out but I keep my hopes up.

1,474

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

lol@zarf

1,475

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

All in all I would favor a revolution now while Iran doesn't have a nuclear arsenal.