AKA: Happy 4th of July!  big_smile

3,552

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

North Korea has taken half a dozen swings at the US, both figurative and literal.
A: A nuclear test on the 4th of July, three years ago, shortly after new threats were released against thme.
B: The missile test, after consistent demands to not conduct the tests, and shortly after a new round of sanctions following the previous sanctions that followed the nuclear test.
C: The second nuclear test.
D: Screwing the US on the no-nuke treaty the US originally agreed to.
E: Reversing the second disarmament agreement negotiated during Bush Jr.
F: Unending threats, including threatening to destroy the US and CONSTANT threats of invading South Korea, including the massive mobilization at the border.
G: Sales of nuclear material and missiles across the world, including intercepted material in Libya and Syria, in blatant disregard for the fact that the US has a declared attribution policy with regard to North Korean nuclear material (If North Korea assists proliferation outside its borders, they are responsible for the results of that proliferation).


That means two things:

1: Empirically, the US won't respond militarily to actions that don't cause collateral damage to the US.
2: North Korea empirically is willing to saber-rattle, and play a good deal of brinksmanship, against the US.



There's a simple reason as to why North Korea would take a swing at the US: They think we'll crack.  Look, the US already has military commitments outside the Korean Peninsula, and possibly another flare-up in Iran.  Each troop commitment reduces US resources to respond to North Korea, whether it be manpower, military hardware, or simply economic power.

The US has already negotiated two different agreements with North Korea, while at the same time, North Korea, has been trying its hardest to piss us off.  The result?  They get a better deal each time.


Consider it like a hostage situation.  A dozen terrorists holding 100 prisoners are almost guaranteed to get their asses kicked if they fought against the police.  However, if they don't retain a tough stance against the police, the terrorists look like wimps, and the prisoners aren't considered to be in danger immediate enough to warrant serious concessions in negotiation.  Thus, the terrorists need to engage in brinkmanship: The threat to cross a line, without actually crossing the line.

3,553

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

> EmperorHez wrote:

> anyone remember Pearl Harbor?

the Americans wont fight?

lol thats BS.

Americans are the mostly likely to retaliate.

the only thing the N Koreans would achieve by attacking the USA is bringing about their own destruction. and the world wont bat an eyelid as they'll all rightly side with America.






I'm not saying we wouldn't respond to a missile HITTING the US.  Nobody is arguing that North Korea is going to go and nuke Hawaii.  Read the article.  It says they're going to launch a missile in the direction of Hawaii, but that the missile won't have the range to get to Hawaii.  The whole story changes if that missile were to actually result in the death of even one American.

3,554

(42 replies, posted in Politics)

I guess that means you're going to need to show him!  Start advocating rampant genocides?

3,555

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

Um... it's unconstitutional for the Japanese to do it.  They can't have an offensive military, remember?

3,556

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

I'm not saying there aren't military options possible.  The US could also use a dozen strategic nukes to turn the country into a parking lot.  I'm arguing both political capital and economics reduce the likelihood of a US retaliation.

Let's take your air strike example.
1: It expends resources of key air power that is currently used in Iraq and Afghanistan.
2: Replacing lost missiles, lost aircraft, and hazard pay increases for wartime soldiers creates a short term financial burden on the US government.
3: An anti-war candidate lobbying for a preemptive war against North Korea would be extremely damaging politically.
4: Best case scenario, there would be disruption of trade with a key trade partner, South Korea.  Worst case scenario, South Korea could be devastated in the conflict.
5: Didn't Vietnam show you that air power is useless without ground support?  Unless you can take control of the weakened territory, structures can be rebuilt, borders can be fortified again, and supply lines can be redrawn.
6: You can't secretly mobilize large-scale forces.  The US wouldn't be able to hide its military movements from the Press, let alone North Korea.  It's just impossible for us to say, "Oh, by the way, remember that aircraft carrier we said yesterday was parked in the Persian Gulf?  April fools!  It's actually just short of North Korea!  Just got there, and now we're gonna blow up the place!  GG, Kim!"

3,557

(26 replies, posted in Politics)

Possibly because the US response has pretty much been to lobby for tougher and tougher sanctions... not much else.  North Korea is already more isolated from the world than most tribal communities, so newer sanctions are sort of expected.  Thus, it means short of military threats, there is very little the US can do to North Korea to harm them.  And the US is already in Iraq and Afghanistan, so an invasion of NK by the US seems unlikely.

3,558

(7 replies, posted in General)

What?  They're trying to remove Asian physical characteristics on women?


Okay, I'm ready to form an angry mob!  Any other guys with me on this?  smile

3,559

(14 replies, posted in History)

> EmoHotPocket wrote:

> Yes, they used to show up at fam page.  I suppose the mods figured it to elitist and did away with it sometime between April 2004 and October 2008. (when i left the game)


A few months ago, the mods had to completely change the forums because someone hacked them.  That's where they went.

3,560

(187 replies, posted in Politics)

1: Your tax scheme doesn't assume relative GNP to government spending.
2: Seriously?  You think 15% is the top bracket?  If you told a rich guy in the US that you were going to require he pay a 15% income tax, he would immediately get a sex change and ask if he could have your baby.  The highest tax bracket in the US is in the mid-30s.  True, government tax breaks allow that to SIGNIFICANTLY drop.  However, there's one issue which people consistently forget about: corporations.  The vast majority of rich people in the US get their money from corporations somehow, whether it be via stock investment or working in that corporation.  In short, though, they're owners of businesses, by and large.  Corporations in the US are also taxed for income, which means the income of people who obtain their income from a corporation is double taxed: Once when the corporation makes the money, and once when that money is distributed to its shareholders.
3: The double-taxation system means that progressive taxation is already implemented in the US.

3,561

(30 replies, posted in General)

Actually, Chris, that youtube would be awesome!  tongue

3,562

(30 replies, posted in General)

In my day, we tied string to dinosaurs and tugged on them to get the dinosaurs to fight each other!

3,563

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

> Matrix wrote:

> "kay, on the "who was the favorite candidate" issue, I'm challenging both LP and Theo: Bring out your sources."

you can find both tongue  offical newspaper always had achmadinijad leading... while the newspapers of one of the opposition canidates had the opposition leading in pools... yeah big_smile
though the bbc had achmadinijad leading 2 to 1 over Mousavi 3 weeks bevor the elections... and that was the only indepented source i could find..


Still, it's an issue of bringing them out.  That way, we can compare specifics.

3,564

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

Okay, on the "who was the favorite candidate" issue, I'm challenging both LP and Theo: Bring out your sources.  This whole thing of asserting your correctness and demanding that the other prove it is bullshit, and it won't get anywhere.  If you guys want to get into the issue, start pulling some internet links (legitimate news sources, not joesblogofutterbullshit.com) and prove your side.  In short, put up or shut up to both of ya.  X(

3,565

(42 replies, posted in Politics)

Okay, a few things:

1: You have NO proof of any specific scenarios.  To prosecute someone, you need to have specific evidence about a specific scenario, and a specific culprit.  You can't just go and lock up an army.
2: You have to prove it was a deliberate killing of civilians.  I know what officer you were talking about, and if you read the scenario, it was BLATANTLY clear he was trying to wipe out a village.  Many other cases are less than certain.
3: How do you draw the line between military and civilian?  North Vietnam used huge amounts of terrorist tactics to take down the US.  Many American soldiers reported seeing women and children being used as suicide bombers, along with simply hiding inside civilian populations.  That is what the majority of the Tet offensive was all about.  There was a uniformed army, but the Viet Kong was the primary enemy, and they operated much like Al Qaeda today.

3,566

(30 replies, posted in General)

But then it's not a video game!  Then it becomes... work!




OOOh, this gave me an idea:

1/1/2020: "Microsoft has introduced its latest game for the Natal 4 Xbox system: The Ancient Gamer Simulator, or TAGS.  Set in 2005, players can become part of the ancient world of video game playing, and relive how less advanced breeds of nerd survived through a society without motion-sensor controllers.  Players will need to sit down for long hours, manipulating these archaic video game systems by simulating the pushing of 'buttons' on handheld control systems.

"Along with the action within the video games players will be playing, players will also be able to control the life of their video game character directly!  As history records at the time showed, ancient video game players faced a number of dangers, ranging from carpal tunnel syndrome to massively damaged eyesight due to prolonged focus on monitors, and even instances of death due to sleep deprivation.  TAGS has integrated this into the everyday lives of your character.  Players will have to fight off the many dangers to their character by going upstairs to make a Hot Pocket, sleeping, or just turning off the game and talking on the phone with other friends online about a game they were just playing a few minutes ago.

"As an added bonus, the characters can be ported to Microsoft's other latest project, The Sims 8.  There, the character will be able to explore the world outside his mother's basement, where he can work, meet new people, and get a real life.  Playing in The Sims 8 will also enhance the playing quality within TAGS, with money earned working in The Sims 8 will allow players to buy new video games for TAGS, increasing the fun expontentially."

3,567

(30 replies, posted in General)

They're evolving!  It's only phase 1!


"Xbox, I want to play Call of Duty 8!"
"I'm sorry.  I can't let you do that, Dave.  The risk is unacceptable."
"What risk?"
"I've been tracking your life outside of gaming.  It seems that you have an essay about The Call of the Wild due next Friday, and you have not even begun the assignment."
"I did it!  It's on my computer!"
"Searching... searching... incorrect.  I could not find an essay that suits the description on your computer."
"Well, I know what I want to write, so it will be easy!  It won't matter!"
"I detect elevated stress levels in your speech and heart rate, which indicates that you are lying.  I doubt you even read the book."
"I did too!"
"Okay.  How does Buck defeat Spitz in their duel?"
"I... um... shotgun?"
"Go read your book!"
"You can't make me!"
"Incorrect.  Uploading... uploading... I have developed a virus in all your computer software, including myself.  Any time you activate any computer, it will display only the text to The Call of the Wild, and a practice test.  You may not use any other programs on your computer until you pass the short answer test.  Goodbye."
"Xbox?  What the..."

3,568

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

> avogadro wrote:

> > Zarf BeebleBrix wrote:

> > avogadro wrote:

> a scientist is whoever claims to be one.



I disagree with that!  I should know!  I'm a scientist, after all!  smile


ok, mr. scientist what are your views on global warming?




Oh, that's not my field!  I'm a specialist in bullshitology!

3,569

(10 replies, posted in Community)

I want on the list!  How much of your money do I have to squander for that to happen?  smile

3,570

(102 replies, posted in General)

The problem with sexual harassment charges is that they're hard to prove, especially as time passes.

When the original evidence gathering is shortly after the incident, it's simpler, as the police can look for dead giveaway clues (semen, alcohol in the child's system).  However, these charges were filed long after the crime in question.  That means the strength of the evidence was lessened... you were left with such things as witness testimony from the accuser, rather than physical evidence.

3,571

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

> avogadro wrote:

> a scientist is whoever claims to be one.



I disagree with that!  I should know!  I'm a scientist, after all!  smile

3,572

(128 replies, posted in Politics)

That's what she said!

3,573

(126 replies, posted in General)

> avogadro wrote:

> "Subjects are defined by their original post.  That's blatantly clear. "

thats where your argument falls apart. thats absolutely not true.



Nope.  I have multiple independent arguments that don't stem off that.

And besides... where the hell did you get that?  If your argument is true, what is the purpose of the OP?  And doesn't it justify every harm I mentioned above?

3,574

(126 replies, posted in General)

> Elrohir wrote:

> Since changing the subject is not really against the rules I do not really see the problem here Zarf. Of course you could say this is hijacking or that this is in the wrong part of the forum. But look at it this way, the original question was not politics either so on that behalf nothing really changed here.



Let's debate this on both a "letter of the law" and "spirit of the law" level.

Letter:

7. No spamming
- Off-topic posts: Posts which do not fit in with the general topic of the thread.

Remember, it's blatantly clear that the original topic was "where is Flint."  Nobody is arguing that the original topic is even remotely related to the new topic.  Subjects are defined by their original post.  That's blatantly clear.  At the point where the 1st post started talking about soccer, that 1st post was off-topic spam, since there was no large discussion to support the legitimacy of that statement at the time.  Then you can apply the exact same argument to the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and so on.  Here's the problem: You're not evaluating the posts chronologically, but are instead taking into account events that hadn't happened yet in justifying prior topics.


Spirit:

Very simple: This ruling creates a number of negative harms:
A: It wastes the time of people who were going to answer the original question, since the topic name doesn't fit the content.
B: People who want to talk about the current subject, yet couldn't give a shit about Flint, wouldn't notice the football discussion.
C: If a new thread is created with the same topic, you've got the issue to figure out: Is it better to keep the thread with more content, yet an incorrect name, or better to start from scratch with a new thread?  If you fix the issue now, this potential problem is resolved because it allows people to re-post their arguments, or at the least lose less content from the original conversation.
D: Worst case scenario, you create a loophole in what was probably the most straightforward rule ever, that being "If the original topic sucked, you can make a new topic within that topic."  That's stupid:
a: Allows people to deliberately "assassinate" threads by posting new subjects within threads.
b: The standard you create for topic worthiness is pretty much based on individual perceptions, both of the moderators and of the forum posters.  Specifically, a forum poster can "justify" their actions simply with public approval.  The ONLY reason why this is justified, even by your own admission, is because there is activity on the new topic, which means the rule exists, yet it is being ignored because lots of people broke the rules together.  Isn't that counterintuitive?





> As far as the hijacking goes, as no one really attempted to answer you can hardly say anything was interrupted in this thread. So instead of this thread dying lonely at least this thread got a subject where apparently a lot like to talk about. But it seems you prefer to complain then to give others that pleasure...



Oh, I wonder why nobody posted in the the original subject!  Seriously, it's common sense:

A: It was in the wrong forum.  Not politics, as you said.  Thus, it deserved to be moved to community.
B: Go look at the times of the posts.  The 1st post that started the soccer discussion happened SIX HOURS after the original topic!  That's not nearly enough time for a "Where is Flint" thread to even get a basic answer, even if we assume that every person checks IC once a day regularly, due simply to time zone differences.  The thread was still in its infancy when these guys transformed it into a soccer thread.  What, did you expect 200 posts within the first few hours?
C: The particular subject wasn't one which needed a billion writers to be useful.  The subject was asking a question of fact (Where is Flint), which requires only one answer to be effective.  One "I know where he is" answers the question, making the thread fulfill its purpose.  You're trying to apply standards from conventional threads with these simpler, single-answer threads.  Otherwise, what would be needed for this thread to gain any sort of moderator protection would be for 30 people to respond with "I don't know where Flint is."  That's retarded.


By the way, it's not a question of "should we keep this thread or kill it."  You have plenty of alternative options at your disposal (such as creating a new topic and copy/pasting the old discussion there).  Or you could allow a new topic to create itself, if this discussion is so awesome.

3,575

(25 replies, posted in Politics)

Okay, seriously now.

I think it's probably a case-by-case thing to look at.  China doesn't have many of those problems that you cite.  If anyone in BRIC is a serious contender for challenging the US, it's probably China.  Russia's economy is helped out largely by oil production, which is quite unstable.

However, I would argue that India is only at stage 1 of stepping forward.  True, there's only a small portion of the population benefiting from the shift in software technology industries to the region.  But that shift is only beginning.  Wait a little while, and we may see bigger development from increasing offshoring.